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Mr Pac-10’s Weekly Review

Mr Pac Ten
Posted Oct 25, 2010


Collegefootballnews’ Matthew Smith Reviews all the Pac-10 Games, Week Eight

Rising:
Cal: A huge bounce-back win for the Bears in a game they really couldn’t afford to lose.
Washington St: An even more competitive loss than the last couple, and this time on the road against a quality opponent.
Arizona: A very convincing win for the Wildcats.
Oregon: The Ducks did everything they needed in this game.

Hovering:

Falling:
Stanford: Not a good showing against the Cougars. Still, they won and no one got hurt.
UCLA: Things keep on getting worse.
Washington: They just got totally clobbered, and Locker’s health isn’t looking great.
Arizona St: Just an awful performance by the Sun Devils.

@ Cal (-3) 50, Arizona St 17
my pick: Arizona St 28, @ Cal 24

What to take from this:
If you’re Arizona St:

Absolutely nothing was working in this game for ASU. There really isn’t anything good to say about this effort. Now, if they even want to reach six wins (much less seven) they’ll need to avoid losing home games against Wazzu and UCLA as well as pull an upset against USC, Stanford, or Arizona. That’s far from impossible, but it’s going to be difficult.

If you’re Cal:
This was a great bounce-back win for Cal. Everything was working in this game for the Bears. Now they need to keep it up on the road, with a very tough road trip to Corvallis coming up.

@ Oregon (-24) 60, UCLA 13
my pick: @ Oregon 31, UCLA 10

What to take from this:
If you’re UCLA:

Down 15-0 with little sign of life from either the offense or the defense, the Bruins drove down the field, desperately needing a touchdown to change the momentum. Instead they meekly kicked the field goal, and the rout was on. Yes, they were on the road, in a hostile environment, against a far better team. But they made their bad breaks too, with that horrific coaching decision, not to mention three turnovers to Oregon’s zero. Quite honestly, other than what increasingly looks like a major outlier win at Texas (who just feel flat this weekend against Iowa St), this simply hasn’t been a particularly good team. Could they rebound and somehow reach 6-6 and a minor bowl game? It’s possible… but not unless they start playing much better and stop beating themselves, both on the field and on the sidelines.

If you’re Oregon:
Another home game against a substantially inferior opponent, another ridiculous blowout. Next week, against an up and down USC team on the road, will be more telling, but this was another solid performance by the Ducks.

@ Arizona (-6.5) 44, Washington 14
my pick: @ Arizona 31, Washington 28

What to take from this:
If you’re Washington:

The Huskies pretty much got their asses kicked in this one. When Locker isn’t 100%, this team just isn’t good… and it looks like he might not be 100% for a while.

If you’re Arizona:
A dominating win for a Wildcat team that had been a little off ever since the Iowa win. They’re starting to look like a really good football team again. Especially good is how well Matt Scott played in relief of injured Nick Foles; if he can keep this up, the Wildcats might not miss a beat in Foles’ absence.

@ Stanford (-34.5) 38, Washington St 28
my pick: @ Stanford 45, Washington St 13

What to take from this:
If you’re Washington St:

This was another reasonably competitive effort by the Cougars, this time on the road against what’s supposed to be one of the Pac-10’s best teams. Right now, they’ve made it through the league’s top three (Oregon, Arizona, Stanford) without really getting rolled, and now they get a much easier closing stretch, with a number of games that are potentially winnable if they can continue to improve. And for anyone who still thinks this is the worst team in a BCS league, it really isn’t. Minnesota and Duke are right in the ballpark… and Kansas gets the “win”. That’s another sign that this team is actually getting better. It’s not yet showing up in the win column, but there’s a shot that it might this year, and a much better shot that it will next year.

If you’re Stanford:
This was clearly not a good effort from the Cardinal. They got the win, and no one got hurt, so it’s not really a huge deal, but it wasn’t a good sign. The secondary got exposed again, and the offense really wasn’t on. They’re going to have to up their level of play if they want to hang around the top of the league, because this level of effort is going to get them beat a few times before the end of the season.

Pac-10 Games Record:
This Week: 3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS
Season: 42-8 SU, 18-25 ATS

National Games of the Week:

@ Missouri 36, Oklahoma (-3) 27
my pick: Oklahoma 28, @ Missouri 27

@ Auburn (-6) 24, LSU 17
my pick: @ Auburn 24, LSU 21

Wisconsin 31, @ Iowa (-5.5) 30
my pick: @ Iowa 28, Wisconsin 17

National Games Record:
This Week: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS
Season: 15-12 SU, 11-15 ATS

Bad Lines

San Diego St -23 @ New Mexico
Missed by 13 points

Toledo -11.5 vs Ball St
Missed by 4.5 points

Ohio St -23.5 vs Purdue
Covered by 25.5 points

UNC +6.5 @ Miami
Missed by 16.5 points

Bowling Green +2.5 vs Kent
Missed by 22.5 points

Miami (OH) +3 vs Ohio
Missed by 18 points

Bad Lines Record:
This Week: 1-5
Season: 9-23-2

Mr Pac-10's 2010 Blog

Questions, comments or suggestions? Email me at cfn_ms@hotmail.com

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