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Compu-Picks: 2011 Over/Under 5Dimes Lines

Mr Pac Ten
Posted Aug 6, 2011


2011 Compu-Picks 2011 Preview: Picking against the 5Dimes win total lines

The below table contains Compu-Picks projections for the 2011 season against the 2011 5Dimes over/under lines ( link 1 link 2). Since nine new teams were added to the list of lines compared to earlier editions, I thought it would be interesting to show the Compu-Picks picks against this new set of lines as well. Please keep in mind that these new lines came out after Compu-Picks posted win total projections and after the market has reacted to a number of older lines, so I wouldn't be surprised if these picks end up a bit worse than the ones I published for the Hilton and TheGreek opens.


Team Over/Under Pick Confidence Wins Losses
Florida State 9.5 Over 1 0 0
Miami (Florida) 8 Under 3 0 0
Virginia Tech 10 Under 1 0 0
Kansas 3.5 Over 2 0 0
Missouri 7.5 Over 1 0 0
Texas 8 Under 1 0 0
Cincinnati 6.5 Over 2 0 0
Pittsburgh 8.5 Under 3 0 0
Rutgers 6.5 Under 3 0 0
Michigan 7 Under 1 0 0
Michigan State 7.5 Over 1 0 0
Penn State 7.5 Over 1 0 0
Wisconsin 9.5 Under 2 0 0
Brigham Young 8.5 Over 1 0 0
Notre Dame 8.5 Over 1 0 0
Texas Christian 9 Over 2 0 0
Oregon State 6.5 Under 2 0 0
Washington 6.5 Under 1 0 0
Utah 7.5 Over 1 0 0
Florida 7.5 Under 2 0 0
Georgia 8.5 Under 4 0 0
South Carolina 9 Over 1 0 0
Tennessee 6.5 Over 2 0 0
Auburn 6 Over 3 0 0
Louisiana State 9.5 Under 3 0 0
Mississippi 4.5 Over 2 0 0
Mississippi State 7.5 Under 1 0 0
Subtotal 1 0 0
2 0 0
3 0 0
4 0 0
Total Result
There are a few important notes and caveats I need to make about this model:

1) Compu-Picks does not endorse implicitly or explicitly any form of illegal gambling. Compu-Picks is intended to be used for entertainment purposes only.

2) No guarantee or warranty is offered or implied by Compu-Picks for any information provided and/or predictions made.

3) This preseason model is primarily based on the main compu-picks model. Essentially, it attempts to predict how well a team will rate given its rating history, as well as a number of other data points, such as returning starters, draft talent lost, turnovers, recruiting, etc. This means, among other things, that the rankings are power rankings based on how good a team projects to be, as opposed to a more cynical (though accurate) model that attempts to project how the BCS will rank a team by making adjustments to favor those with easy schedules and punish those with tough schedules.

2011 Compu-Picks Blog

Questions, comments or suggestions? Email me at cfn_ms@hotmail.com

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