The below table contains Compu-Picks projections for the 2011 season against the
2011 5Dimes over/under lines (
link 1
link 2).
Since nine new teams were added to the list of lines compared to earlier editions,
I thought it would be interesting to show the Compu-Picks picks against this new set of lines as well. Please keep in mind that these new lines
came out after Compu-Picks posted win total projections and after the market has reacted to a number of older lines, so I wouldn't be surprised
if these picks end up a bit worse than the ones I published for the Hilton and TheGreek opens.
| Team | Over/Under | Pick | Confidence | Wins | Losses |
| Florida State | 9.5 | Over | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami (Florida) | 8 | Under | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Virginia Tech | 10 | Under | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kansas | 3.5 | Over | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Missouri | 7.5 | Over | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas | 8 | Under | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cincinnati | 6.5 | Over | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pittsburgh | 8.5 | Under | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Rutgers | 6.5 | Under | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Michigan | 7 | Under | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Michigan State | 7.5 | Over | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Penn State | 7.5 | Over | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wisconsin | 9.5 | Under | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brigham Young | 8.5 | Over | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Notre Dame | 8.5 | Over | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Texas Christian | 9 | Over | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oregon State | 6.5 | Under | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington | 6.5 | Under | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Utah | 7.5 | Over | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Florida | 7.5 | Under | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia | 8.5 | Under | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| South Carolina | 9 | Over | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tennessee | 6.5 | Over | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Auburn | 6 | Over | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Louisiana State | 9.5 | Under | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mississippi | 4.5 | Over | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mississippi State | 7.5 | Under | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| | |
| Subtotal | | | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| | | | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| | | | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| | | | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | | | | | Result |
There are a few important notes and caveats I need to make about this model:
1) Compu-Picks does not endorse implicitly or explicitly any form of illegal gambling.
Compu-Picks is intended to be used for entertainment purposes only.
2) No guarantee or warranty is offered or implied by Compu-Picks for any information provided and/or predictions made.
3) This preseason model is primarily based on the main compu-picks model. Essentially, it attempts to predict how well a team will rate given its rating history,
as well as a number of other data points, such as returning starters, draft talent lost, turnovers, recruiting, etc. This means, among other things, that the rankings
are power rankings based on how good a team projects to be, as opposed to a more cynical (though accurate) model that attempts to project how the BCS will rank a team
by making adjustments to favor those with easy schedules and punish those with tough schedules.
2011 Compu-Picks Blog
Questions, comments or suggestions? Email me at cfn_ms@hotmail.com
