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2011 CFN 5-Year Program Rankings - 61 to 80
UCF QB Jeff Godfrey
UCF QB Jeff Godfrey
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 23, 2011


CFN's 2011 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... Teams 61 through 80


Preview 2011 - No. 61 to 80

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis


2011 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
- Bottom 20 | No. 81 to 100 | No. 61 to 80
- No. 41 to 60 | No. 26 to 40 | No. 11 to No. 25
- No. 10 Georgia | No. 9 Virginia Tech | No. 8 Alabama
- No. 7 Boise State | No. 6. LSU | No. 5 Texas | No. 4 Oklahoma
- No. 3 USC | No. 2 Ohio State | No. 1 Florida
- 2010 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

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Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allows a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we created the CFN Five-Year Program Analysis highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies.

One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we list the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.39
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.84
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 10.58
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 29.76
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.56
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.97
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.18
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.20
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.14
- Bad Wins: Wins over teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 11.27
- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

80. Indiana
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Ranked 103rd in 2005 and 2006, the Hoosiers improved thanks to the unyielding belief by the late Terry Hoeppner that the school really could be a football power. Last year, IU was a dropped pass against Iowa from going to a bowl, but the program made a change and Oklahoma assistant Kevin Wilson is taking over with the idea that the offense should be able to explode with a little bit of time. It’s going to take a while, but Wilson’s no-nonsense approach should work. For now, the ranking isn’t all that bad even with a lack of wins and with wins in just 22.5% of Big Ten games. The APR Score of 9 is fantastic and players are getting drafted from time to time, but the victories have to come. Under Wilson, they eventually will.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 38.71
2010 Ranking: 86
2009 Ranking: 92
Attendance Score: 3.71
APR Score: 9
Drafted Players: 7
FBS Wins: 19
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2.5
Elite Losses: 10
Bad Wins: 11
Conference Score: 2.25

79. Syracuse
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: It seems like ancient history when Syracuse was in the national title hunt and was an NFL talent factory. Now, head coach Doug Marrone appears to have restored a little bit of the glory for a program that had no business being 97th in 2010. It’s not like the Big East is a killer, but the Orange hasn’t been able to do much in conference play with winning a mere 23% of the time. On the plus side, SU hasn’t had any Bad Losses, but there have been a mere six Quality Wins. Marrone’s job is to produce a winner to get the fan base back, and after the attendance averaged out just over 33,000 per game in 2008, over 40,000 fans came out per game this year. When the Carrier Dome is packed and rocking, it’s one of college football’s better home field advantages.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 40.73
2010 Ranking: 97
2009 Ranking: 84
Attendance Score: 3.70
APR Score: 6
Drafted Players: 8
FBS Wins: 19
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 8
Conference Score: 2.29

78. Western Michigan
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: WMU used to be a MAC powerhouse, and it’s close to getting back there with a great team returning for 2011. After being ranked as low as 106th in 2006, the Broncos are climbing their way back up on wins, with the 29 against FBS teams more than anyone ranked below them. The Attendance Score is always going to be a problem, and the place isn’t exactly an NFL talent factory, but the APR Score is great and winning 62% of MAC games is excellent. It’ll take a huge season to make a move up after the 8-5 2006 season is out of the formula next year, but head coach Bill Cubit has the team to do it.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 41.73
2010 Ranking: 70
2009 Ranking: 86
Attendance Score: 1.83
APR Score: 7
Drafted Players: 2
FBS Wins: 29
Quality Wins: 2
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2.5
Elite Losses: 5
Bad Wins: 16
Conference Score: 6.15

77. Rice
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: While Rice didn’t get a huge bump up the rankings, losing the 1-10 2005 season from the formula is a big help. However, the ranking will fluctuate wildly with a 10-3 2008 season followed up by a 2-10 2009. It’ll take a few big seasons to stay up this high in the rankings, but a perfect APR Score and that big 2008 campaign should provide a few years to start to do more. Averaging around 17,000 fans per game and the always-low Draft Score will be a drag, but it’s an easy situation for Rice; the wins have to start coming more on a regular basis.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 43.50
2010 Ranking: 81
2009 Ranking: 75
Attendance Score: 1.75
APR Score: 10
Drafted Players: 3
FBS Wins: 26
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 5
Elite Losses: 1
Bad Wins: 9
Conference Score: 5.25

76. Middle Tennessee
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The Sun Belt titles haven’t exactly been flowing as expected, but Rick Stockstill has done a good job of keeping the Blue Raiders in the bowl mix on a regular basis. The 30 FBS wins are the most of anyone outside of the top 70, and the APR Score has improved. More than anything else, the decent showing is from the wins, especially in conference play. After ranking 96th in 2009 and in the 100s in the mid 2000s, the program is doing a good job because of the success on the field. A Sun Belt title or two, though, would be nice.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 44.21
2010 Ranking: 73
2009 Ranking: 96
Attendance Score: 1.95
APR Score: 8
Drafted Players: 3
FBS Wins: 30
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 6
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 14
Conference Score: 6.76

75. Kansas State
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Back when things were really rocking under Bill Snyder, this was a top ten program. Going from 11th in 2003 down to 75th, it’s been a steady slide down the charts with the wins slowing down and the lack of production in conference play being a problem. Winning 40% of Big 12 games isn’t exactly what Wildcat fans were used to after so much success over a decade ago, and the average attendance and lousy APR Score doesn’t help. More NFL caliber players and a bigger draft score would be nice, but it’s all about winning in Manhattan and KSU should do more of it with a strong team returning for 2011.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 44.22
2010 Ranking: 72
2009 Ranking: 73
Attendance Score: 4.72
APR Score: 4
Drafted Players: 8
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 13
Conference Score: 4.00

74. Northern Illinois
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: It seems like the ranking should be higher with so much success last year and so many good teams on a regular basis, but the 2-10 2007 season will be on the books for another few years. The APR Score of 9 is fantastic, but the Attendance Score needs to bounce back up and the conference wins have to continue. The 22 Bad Wins lead the nation, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing; the Huskies beat the bad teams in the MAC. Now it’s time to finally, FINALLY, win a MAC title game, and new head man Dave Doeren is good enough to take what Jerry Kill did over the last few years and make it happen.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 45.44
2010 Ranking: 74
2009 Ranking: 69
Attendance Score: 1.79
APR Score: 9
Drafted Players: 3
FBS Wins: 29
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 22
Conference Score: 6.15

73. Purdue
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: It seems like Purdue should be stronger in the rankings, but winning 40% of the Big Ten games has kept the program down and the 25 FBS wins simply aren’t enough. The Elite Win over Ohio State a few years ago helps, but more Quality Wins is a must to make more noise in the new Big Ten world. The NFL players are coming to West Lafayette with the ten players drafted over the last five years the most out of anyone outside of the top 72. The Attendance Score is second of all the teams outside of the top 66. Head coach Danny Hope hasn’t had any injury luck, but he has the pieces in place to start to come up with winning seasons on a regular basis.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 47.90
2010 Ranking: 67
2009 Ranking: 62
Attendance Score: 5.40
APR Score: 4
Drafted Players: 10
FBS Wins: 25
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 12
Conference Score: 4.00

72. Ole Miss
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The Rebels hung around the 40s for a while before slipping down the charts and getting as low as 78 a few years ago. Houston Nutt came up with a strong 2008 and an excellent 2009, but last year was a disaster for the rankings going 4-8 starting out with a horrible Bad Loss to Jacksonville State. On the plus side, the 3-8 2005 season doesn’t count in the rankings and the 4-8 2006 season won’t count next year, so the chance will be there to move up with a winning season. Now Nutt has to get his players in the classroom to improve on the miserable APR Score of 2. Rebel fans might care about that, but they have a bigger problem with winning just 30% of SEC games over the last five years. With the SEC West the best division in college football, making a huge move could be tough.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 48.11
2010 Ranking: 69
2009 Ranking: 78
Attendance Score: 5.36
APR Score: 2
Drafted Players: 11
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 9
Elite Win Score: 2.5
Bad Loss Score: 3
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 10
Conference Score: 3.00

71. Washington
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: It wasn’t all that long ago when Washington was a college football superpower. It was a national player, it was in the Pac 10 title chase on a regular basis, and then it all went horribly wrong. The Huskies went 11-1 with a Rose Bowl win in 2000, and then came three okay years that weren’t quite what the program was used to. One 1-10 2004 season later, and then the slide in the rankings started to come, bottoming out after an 0-12 2008 season that’ll be on the books for a few more years. Steve Sarkisian is trying to bring back the glory coming off a winning season and a Holiday Bowl win over Nebraska. No, the program isn’t back yet, but it’s a start. After winning 31% of conference games in the last five years, step one is to be better in Pac-12 play.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 49.25
2010 Ranking: 80
2009 Ranking: 99
Attendance Score: 6.39
APR Score: 6
Drafted Players: 6
FBS Wins: 21
Quality Wins: 11
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2.5
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 3
Conference Score: 3.11

70. Virginia
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: 18th in 2005, Virginia has gone from being decent to down the tubes ranking 48th last year down into the 70s after the 7-5 2005 season came off the books. Going 3-9 in 2009 and 4-8 in 2010 is the problem, but head coach Mike London has done an awesome job of recruiting since taking over the gig and the needle is pointing upward. With 11 drafted players over the last five years, there talent base has been decent to build around, and now more wins have to come. Virginia is a fantastic academic institution, and the APR of 6 should be far better, but on the field, more good wins are a must. It’s time for the Cavaliers to be a part of the ACC title chase again, and London appears to have the program on the way.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 50.05
2010 Ranking: 48
2009 Ranking: 34
Attendance Score: 5.30
APR Score: 6
Drafted Players: 11
FBS Wins: 23
Quality Wins: 10
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 2.5
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 9
Conference Score: 4.50

69. Ohio
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Ranked in the 100s just five years ago, Ohio has turned into a major player in the MAC under head coach Frank Solich. It’s not the sexiest program around, and it hasn’t made the national noise of Temple, Northern Illinois, or Central Michigan, but the wins have been coming in with 31 against FBS teams the most of anyone outside of the top 65. The 20 Bad Wins are a ton, but that’s the cost of doing business in the MAC. The Attendance and Draft Scores will always be low, but this is a regular player in the MAC East race and Solich’s program isn’t showing any signs of slowing down.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 50.21
2010 Ranking: 71
2009 Ranking: 93
Attendance Score: 1.71
APR Score: 7
Drafted Players: 3
FBS Wins: 31
Quality Wins: 8
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 20
Conference Score: 6.75

68. Northwestern
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The time to think of Northwestern as the sad sack program of the 1980s is well in the past. Gary Barnett started the fun, the late Randy Walker kept it going, and true believer Pat Fitzgerald is trying to take the Cats to a whole other level. That’ll come when the school finally wins a bowl game again, but everything else is in place with a perfect APR Score, more wins in Big Ten play, and a growing fan base helped by a major effort to get Chicago more into its local college team. NU will always get roughly a quarter of the fans in the house that Ohio State and Michigan do, but the system is working.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 51.09
2010 Ranking: 59
2009 Ranking: 55
Attendance Score: 2.84
APR Score: 10
Drafted Players: 3
FBS Wins: 30
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Win Score: 1.5
Bad Loss Score: 4
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 16
Conference Score: 4.50

67. Mississippi State
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The SEC’s punching bag for years, Mississippi State has risen up out of the 90s and into the 60s in just two years. Head coach Dan Mullen has been brilliant in turning the Bulldogs into a factor in the West, and while a terrific 2010 season might have been just the beginning, it’s going to be hard to make too much headway in a division with Alabama, LSU, Auburn, and Arkansas. MSU is ahead of Ole Miss in the rankings, and that’s good enough for now. After winning just 35% of SEC games over the last five years, anything Mullen and the Bulldogs can do in conference play will be a plus. The Draft Score is going to go up, and the Attendance Score will remain steady.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 51.36
2010 Ranking: 82
2009 Ranking: 98
Attendance Score: 4.86
APR Score: 5
Drafted Players: 8
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 9
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 10
Bad Wins: 10
Conference Score: 3.50

66. Illinois
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: It might not be what Illini fans might want, but considering the program was 101st in 2006, getting into the 60s is a nice comeback now that the 2-9 2005 season isn’t in the formula. Next year, the 2-10 2006 season won’t count, and Ron Zook’s team should be in the 50s. No, there hasn’t been much building off the 2007 Rose Bowl season, and yes, Zook is on a hot seat with a new athletic director taking over, but the Draft Score is excellent, the APR is decent, and the wins should get better, again, as the poor seasons of the recent past starting to be out of the mix.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 51.48
2010 Ranking: 75
2009 Ranking: 89
Attendance Score: 5.48
APR Score: 7
Drafted Players: 13
FBS Wins: 21
Quality Wins: 10
Elite Win Score: 1.5
Bad Loss Score: 4.5
Elite Losses: 11
Bad Wins: 9
Conference Score: 4.00

65. Southern Miss
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Much was made about letting go of longtime head coach Jeff Bower, and while Larry Fedora hasn’t been great, he has kept the wins coming. The 34 FBS wins over the last five years are the most of anyone in the bottom half, and it helps to win 63% of Conference USA games. Getting only three players drafted is a problem, and averaging fewer than 30,000 fans per game will always hurt, but the program knows how to win, it has been good enough in the recent past to be up in the 30s, and the potential is there to do even more with an explosive offense returning.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 53.17
2010 Ranking: 64
2009 Ranking: 52
Attendance Score: 2.92
APR Score: 5
Drafted Players: 3
FBS Wins: 34
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 14
Conference Score: 6.25

64. NC State
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Remember when NC State used to be a major ACC factor? Tom O’Brien was supposed to step in and take the Wolfpack to another level, but he hasn’t been able to do enough in conference play coming up with wins just 40% of the time in the ACC. The 22 FBS wins are low, but the Draft Score is decent and the 15 Quality Wins are fantastic. State is an afterthought in the conference at the moment, and losing Russell Wilson isn’t a positive from a PR standpoint, but more key wins at key times have to come. O’Brien has to start working some of the same magic he came up with at Boston College.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 54.66
2010 Ranking: 65
2009 Ranking: 56
Attendance Score: 5.66
APR Score: 5
Drafted Players: 10
FBS Wins: 22
Quality Wins: 15
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 0
Bad Wins: 8
Conference Score: 4.00

63. Fresno State
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Pat Hill’s Bulldogs were never quite able to turn the corner and be what Boise State became, but they’ve still been good. With 33 wins and a decent 62.5% clip in WAC play, this has been a strong last five years, but the ranking is still way low compared to where things were at in the early 2000s, and they aren’t even in the same zip code as Boise State’s numbers. The Attendance Score has dipped a bit, and it would be nice to get more players drafted, but other than the high expectations, Fresno State hasn’t been that bad. But work needs to be done with the 8-5 2005 season not counting in next year’s rankings.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 56.11
2010 Ranking: 54
2009 Ranking: 48
Attendance Score: 3.61
APR Score: 6
Drafted Players: 10
FBS Wins: 33
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 15
Conference Score: 6.25

62. Arizona State
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Is this finally the year Arizona State becomes relevant again? It’s been way too long since the Jake Plummer days, and after a brief upturn, the production simply hasn’t been there on a regular basis. The 13 players drafted is impressive, the 30 FBS wins are good, and there aren’t any Bad Losses, but the Sun Devils haven’t won more than half of their conference games over the last five seasons and head coach Dennis Erickson hasn’t been able to turn the corner. This season, though, the team is loaded with experience from a team that came really, really close to having a good 2010, and the wins have to start coming. With USC ineligible to play for the Pac-12 title, ASU has to win the South.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 56.47
2010 Ranking: 53
2009 Ranking: 36
Attendance Score: 5.56
APR Score: 6
Drafted Players: 13
FBS Wins: 30
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 11
Conference Score: 4.67

61. UCF
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: There might be some controversy around the program, but on the field, George O’Leary’s club has been fantastic, highlighted by a 2010 Conference USA title and a bowl win over Georgia. There haven’t been any Bad Losses, and the APR Score is phenomenal, but is there room for growth? With Miami about to hit the skids, the time is now to get more players from down the road and upgrade the talent level even more, while continuing to shine in conference play is a must. In a league full of offensive superstars, the more the Knights can keep doing defensively, the better. Getting more draftable players would certainly help the cause, and more and more good talents are starting to take notice.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 56.86
2010 Ranking: 57
2009 Ranking: 74
Attendance Score: 3.86
APR Score: 9
Drafted Players: 8
FBS Wins: 33
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 16
Conference Score: 5.50