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2011 CFN 5-Year Program Rankings - 26 to 40
Clemson DE Brandon Thompson
Clemson DE Brandon Thompson
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 24, 2011


CFN's 2011 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... Teams 26 to 40


Preview 2011 - No. 26 to 40

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis


2011 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
- Bottom 20 | No. 81 to 100 | No. 61 to 80
- No. 41 to 60 | No. 26 to 40 | No. 11 to No. 25
- No. 10 Georgia | No. 9 Virginia Tech | No. 8 Alabama
- No. 7 Boise State | No. 6. LSU | No. 5 Texas | No. 4 Oklahoma
- No. 3 USC | No. 2 Ohio State | No. 1 Florida
- 2010 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

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Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allows a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we created the CFN Five-Year Program Analysis highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies.

One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we list the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.39
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.84
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 10.58
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 29.76
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.56
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.97
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.18
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.20
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.14
- Bad Wins: Wins over teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 11.27
- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

40. Michigan State
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The Spartans appear to have finally turned a corner under head coach Mark Dantonio. The talent has always been around East Lansing, and the potential was always there, and now it’s all coming together on the field and in the rankings. Next year, the 4-8 2006 season won’t be a part of the equation and finally, MSU should be a top 25 program. The Attendance Score is always great and the 35 wins are nice, and the 35 FBS wins are decent, and now it’s time to go to another level. More draftable players is a must and winning more than 53% of Big Ten games should be a given going forward.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 72.29
2010 Ranking: 50
2009 Ranking: 46
Attendance Score: 7.29
APR Score: 5
Drafted Players: 10
FBS Wins: 35
Quality Wins: 18
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 10
Conference Score: 5.25

39. Texas Tech
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The program got into the top 25 under Mike Leach, but he never got the Red Raiders a Big 12 title. It’ll be even harder now in a ten team conference, and Tommy Tuberville has to try to crank out even more production from both sides of the ball. The APR and Attendance Scores are average, but the biggest problem overall is the lack of draftable players. When Texas and Oklahoma are sending players to the NFL on a regular basis, only sending nine players to the big league isn’t going to cut it. The 15 Quality Wins are decent, but not good enough. The one Elite Win, though, the classic Michael Crabtree game against Texas in 2008, will be in the equation for the next few years.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 72.53
2010 Ranking: 34
2009 Ranking: 29
Attendance Score: 5.28
APR Score: 5
Drafted Players: 9
FBS Wins: 39
Quality Wins: 15
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 14
Conference Score: 5.75

38. Miami
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: It’s been fun. Forgetting for a moment what might end up happening down the road after the Nevin Shapiro fall out, on the field, Miami has been crumbling for years. Remember, this was the No. 1 program in college football in the CFN 2003 and 2004 rankings, and then it fell to fifth and it was like the world was ending. Those days are a long, long time ago, and now the program is nothing special. What’s the most telling? No Elite Wins and just 15 Quality Wins. Miami used to beat all the big boys, but that’s not happening anymore. The one good side is the APR Score, with the players going to class and ranking a Stanford-like 9. Also a plus, as always, is the Draft Score, sending 21 players to the NFL; the most of anyone outside of the top 27.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 72.64
2010 Ranking: 29
2009 Ranking: 21
Attendance Score: 4.64
APR Score: 9
Drafted Players: 21
FBS Wins: 31
Quality Wins: 15
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 12
Conference Score: 4.75

37. South Carolina
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: South Carolina hasn’t been awful over the last several years, but being among the elite is breaking new ground. Last year might not have finished up well, but an appearance in the SEC Championship game is a huge step forward, and with a monster recruiting class ready to shine, the needle is pointing up for Steve Spurrier’s club. The 14 drafted players will only go up, and the 32 FBS wins will only get better, but the biggest leap should come in the conference play after winning just 45% of SEC games over the las five years. The Attendance Score will always be steady thanks to some of college football’s most loyal fans, but the APR needs to be better for a school that’s supposed to be one of the best in the SEC.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 73.48
2010 Ranking: 36
2009 Ranking: 39
Attendance Score: 7.73
APR Score: 5
Drafted Players: 14
FBS Wins: 32
Quality Wins: 16
Elite Win Score: 1.5
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 8
Bad Wins: 9
Conference Score: 4.50

36. Hawaii
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The ranking went up after the 5-7 2005 season was taken out of the equation, but next year, the 11-3 2006 season won’t be in the mix. In the last season in the WAC, Hawaii has to take advantage of the relatively light schedule before going off to the Mountain West, but Bryant Moniz and the passing game should keep on rolling. The APR is solid and winning 75% of WAC games is fantasic, but the biggest plus are the 40 FBS wins, tied for the second-most of any program outside of the top 20. Interestingly enough, the 12 players drafted by the NFL are more than Michigan State, UCLA, Boise State, West Virginia, and Oklahoma State.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 73.90
2010 Ranking: 46
2009 Ranking: 44
Attendance Score: 3.90
APR Score: 7
Drafted Players: 12
FBS Wins: 40
Quality Wins: 13
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 20
Conference Score: 7.50

35. Rutgers
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: While this might not be as high as Scarlet Knight fans might like after a ton of recent success, it’s a far cry better from how things used to be after ranking 112th in 2003 and 107th in 2004. Next year, though, the program could go into a freefall after the 11-2 2006 season isn’t in the equation. The bloom is off the Greg Schiano rose after so much success a few years ago, but the 4-8 2010 campaign might have been an aberration. Considering what Schiano started with when he took over, one bad year won’t make anyone quake. For those professors and administrators worried about the football program’s success possibly cheapening the university’s academic integrity, Rutgers came up with a perfect 10 APR Score.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 74.07
2010 Ranking: 33
2009 Ranking: 42
Attendance Score: 4.47
APR Score: 10
Drafted Players: 13
FBS Wins: 34
Quality Wins: 16
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 14
Conference Score: 4.86

34. Michigan
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The self-proclaimed Leaders and Best haven’t been doing much leading and haven’t been the best at anything lately. A fixture in the top ten for years, Michigan slipped down to 28th last year and dropped even further this season. The slide should continue after the 11-2 2005 season doesn’t count in next year’s rankings, but new head coach Brady Hoke is a tremendous talent who should quickly make the program a monster again. The Attendance Score will always keep the Wolverines from slipping too far, and now everything else has to follow. Winning fewer than half of Big Ten games over the last five games is unacceptable, and an APR Score of 4 is inexcusable. The Bad Losses to Appalachian State in 2007, Toledo in 2008, and Illinois in 2009 will be on the books for the next few years.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 75.74
2010 Ranking: 28
2009 Ranking: 10
Attendance Score: 10.99
APR Score: 4
Drafted Players: 20
FBS Wins: 33
Quality Wins: 14
Elite Win Score: 2
Bad Loss Score: 4
Elite Losses: 11
Bad Wins: 7
Conference Score: 4.75

33. Georgia Tech
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The ACC Championship season of 2009 – and Georgia Tech did win the ACC Championship, no matter what the NCAA says – helped the ranking, but the program has been strong for a long, long time. The attendance is usually tied in to the success, dipping below an average of 50,000 per game after the disappointing 2010. The 36 FBS wins are excellent and winning 65% of ACC games is outstanding. Throw in the 14 players drafted, the APR Score of 8, and the 16 Quality Wins, and Tech is a good program with top 25 potential if Paul Johnson can make up for the problems of last year.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 76.18
2010 Ranking: 18
2009 Ranking: 30
Attendance Score: 4.93
APR Score: 8
Drafted Players: 14
FBS Wins: 36
Quality Wins: 16
Elite Win Score: 2
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 16
Conference Score: 6.50

32. Oklahoma State
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The Cowboys came up with a good jump in the rankings after the 4-7 2005 season came out of the equation, and the success should keep on coming is the 2011 season is as strong as expected. Mike Gundy is putting together a strong power that should quickly improve in several areas. The pathetically low number of players drafted – 8 – will shoot up over the next few years, and the 60% winning clip in Big 12 play will be better. The one big category that has to change is Elite Wins: 0. OSU wants to be a bigger player in the Big 12, and it wants to start winning championships, but that will only happen with a few big wins over the league’s elite.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 76.43
2010 Ranking: 51
2009 Ranking: 51
Attendance Score: 4.68
APR Score: 6
Drafted Players: 8
FBS Wins: 39
Quality Wins: 18
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 12
Conference Score: 6.00

31. Pitt
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Dave Wannstedt might not have been able to come up with the really big win, and he might not have been able to get the Panthers over the Big East hump and into the BCS, but he did a great job of bringing in the talent with 17 players drafted over the last five years. While winning 57% of Big East games wasn’t good enough, and coming up with more than 34 wins over FBS teams led to Wanny’s demise, the 19 Quality Wins over teams that finished with winning records is impressive. Now it’ll be up to Todd Graham to take what Wannstedt did and improve upon it, and now the bar is set: win the Big East title or bust.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 77.85
2010 Ranking: 38
2009 Ranking: 47
Attendance Score: 4.63
APR Score: 7
Drafted Players: 17
FBS Wins: 34
Quality Wins: 19
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 6
Conference Score: 5.71

30. California
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The bloom might be off the rose for Jeff Tedford, who hasn’t been able to get the program over the hump and wasn’t able to fill the void left when USC got nailed with NCAA sanctions, but Cal is still excellent. The APR Score of 9 is worthy of a school this good, and the 20 players sent to the NFL are terrific, and the 36 FBS wins are strong. However, there aren’t enough big wins with just 14 victories over teams that finished with winning records, and the lack of Elite Wins shows partly why the Bears haven’t been able to get to the Rose Bowl.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 78.21
2010 Ranking: 27
2009 Ranking: 19
Attendance Score: 6.13
APR Score: 9
Drafted Players: 20
FBS Wins: 36
Quality Wins: 14
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 5
Bad Wins: 10
Conference Score: 5.33

29. Notre Dame
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Notre Dame was a top 15 program in the early-to-mid 2000s, and then came the rough patches. The 3-9 2007 season is still on the books for another two years, and next season, the 10-3 2006 season won’t count in the formula. Fortunately for Irish fans, Brian Kelly has a great team returning and a manageable schedule that should be nice enough to hope for a double-digit win season. The perfect APR and great Attendance Score help, and despite what many believe, the NFL talent is coming to South Bend with 17 drafted players over the last five years. Now it’s time to come up with bigger wins, and with no Elite Wins in the ranking, it’s time for Kelly to wake up the echoes and come up with the huge signature moments to take the program to another level.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 78.23
2010 Ranking: 32
2009 Ranking: 28
Attendance Score: 8.08
APR Score: 10
Drafted Players: 17
FBS Wins: 34
Quality Wins: 14
Elite Win Score: 0
Bad Loss Score: 1.5
Elite Losses: 7
Bad Wins: 8
Conference Score: 5.40

28. Florida State
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: There was a time when Florida State ruled the world, ranking second in 2003, and with some sensational recruiting classes and excellent talents in place, head coach Jimbo Fisher has the program headed back in the elite direction. The APR of 3 is miserable, and winning 55% of ACC games is inexcusable, but most shocking, considering what a factory FSU has been over the last two decades, are the lack of NFL draft picks with just 15 going to the next level over the last five years. That’s great for most teams, but not for Florida State. However, the number of Quality Wins is the biggest plus, coming up with 20 victories over teams that finished with winning records; more than anyone outside of the top 23.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 78.94
2010 Ranking: 30
2009 Ranking: 18
Attendance Score: 7.69
APR Score: 3
Drafted Players: 15
FBS Wins: 36
Quality Wins: 20
Elite Win Score: 1.5
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 9
Conference Score: 5.50

27. Clemson
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: Clemson hasn’t been able to hang around the top 25, but it’s a fixture in the top 30 after several decent years. Getting 22 players drafted is impressive, but it only magnifies the lack of consistency that a team with so much talent hasn’t been able to do more than just get to one ACC title game. Winning 60% of ACC games is good, the APR Score of 8 is great, and the Attendance Score from the Death Valley faithful is always a plus. Now it’s time to come up with more wins, with just 34 FBS victories over the last five years. The lone Elite Win came over Wake Forest in 2006 and won’t be in next year’s rankings.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 79.57
2010 Ranking: 23
2009 Ranking: 27
Attendance Score: 7.82
APR Score: 8
Drafted Players: 22
FBS Wins: 34
Quality Wins: 15
Elite Win Score: 1
Bad Loss Score: 1
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 12
Conference Score: 6.00

26. Arkansas
- 2011 Preview

Program Analysis: The Hogs went from the 40s up into the cusp of the top 25 after the 4-7 2005 season was taken out of the equation, but next year, the 10-4 2006 season won’t count. Fortunately, Bobby Petrino is doing a phenomenal job of taking what Houston Nutt was able to get rolling and make it better, stronger, and more consistent. Now he has a powerhouse on his hands after taking the team to the Sugar Bowl, and the production only seems to be improving. The APR Score of 4 is embarrassing, and winning 55% of SEC games isn’t great, even in the SEC West, but 36 FBS wins are great and the Elite Win Score is higher than anyone outside of the top 21. The 12 Elite Losses are whopping; welcome to live in the SEC.

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 79.93
2010 Ranking: 41
2009 Ranking: 49
Attendance Score: 6.93
APR Score: 4
Drafted Players: 15
FBS Wins: 36
Quality Wins: 16
Elite Win Score: 4
Bad Loss Score: 0
Elite Losses: 12
Bad Wins: 12
Conference Score: 5.50