2011 5-Year Program Rankings - No. 9 Va Tech

CFN's 2011 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... No. 9 Virginia Tech

Preview 2011 - No. 9 Virginia Tech

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
 
2011 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
- Bottom 20 | No. 81 to 100 | No. 61 to 80
- No. 41 to 60 | No. 26 to 40 | No. 11 to No. 25
- No. 10 Georgia | No. 9 Virginia Tech | No. 8 Alabama
- No. 7 Boise State | No. 6. LSU | No. 5 Texas | No. 4 Oklahoma
- No. 3 USC | No. 2 Ohio State | No. 1 Florida
- 2010 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

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Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allows a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we created the CFN Five-Year Program Analysis highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies.

One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we list the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.39
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.84
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 10.58
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 29.76
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.56
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.97
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.18
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.20
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.14
- Bad Wins: Wins over teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 11.27
- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

Virginia Tech
- 2011 Preview

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 103.37
2010 Ranking: 8 | 2009 Ranking: 8

Program Analysis: The ACC got its money’s worth when it picked up Virginia Tech.

With three ACC titles in the last four years and with great season after great season, the Hokies have been the class of the conference and have more than filled the void left when Florida State started to struggle. Now it’s time to start coming up with more big wins in the really big games to try to take things to another level.

The Bad Loss to James Madison aside last season, for the most part, Tech doesn’t usually lose to the weak and the sad with losses to Boise State and Stanford in 2011, eventual national champion Alabama in 2009, and to a 12-1 Kansas in the 2008 Orange Bowl all on the slate. However, for all the good things Frank Beamer has been able to do with his program for so many years, he’s overdue to be in the national title chase again after having a shot with Michael Vick in 1999.

The APR could stand to be better and the Attendance Score will always be limited to Lane Stadium’s size, but being the star of the ACC keeps the program easily in the top ten. Winning 80% of ACC games is fantastic, and the 48 FBS wins are amazing, but the margin in the top ten razor thin. Had the Hokies not gagged away the James Madison game, they’d have been ranked No. 8 again for the third straight year, and that loss will be on the books for another four years.

Attendance Score: 6.62
2006: 66,233
2007: 66,233
2008: 66,223
2009: 66,233
2010: 66,233

APR Score: 5

Drafted Players: 20
2007: Aaron Rouse, David Clowney, Brandon Frye
2008: Duane Brown, Brandon Flowers, Eddie Royal, Chris Ellis, Xavier Adibi, Carlton Powell, Josh Morgan, Justin Harper
2009: Victor Harris
2010: Jason Worilds, Kam Chancellor, Ed Wang, Brent Bowden, Cody Grim
2011: Ryan Williams, Rashad Carmichael, Tyrod Taylor

FBS Wins: 48

Quality Wins: 26
2006: Cincinnati, Southern Miss, Clemson, at Miami, at Wake Forest
2007: East Carolina, at Clemson, at Georgia Tech, Florida State, at Virginia Boston College (ACC Championship)
2008: Georgia Tech, at North Carolina, at Nebraska, Maryland, Boston College (ACC Championship), Cincinnati (Orange Bowl)
2009: Marshall, Nebraska, Miami, Boston College, East Carolina, Tennessee (Chick-Fil-A Bowl)
2010: at Boston College, at NC State, at North Carolina, at Miami, Florida State (ACC Championship)

Elite Win Score: 3
2006: at Wake Forest
2007: Boston College (ACC Championship)
2008: Cincinnati (Orange Bowl)
2009: None
2010: None

Bad Loss Score: 1.5 – 2010: James Madison

Elite Losses: 5
2006: None
2007: at LSU, Kansas (Orange Bowl)
2008: None
2009: Alabama
2010: Boise State, Stanford (Orange Bowl)

Bad Wins: 12
2006: Northeastern, at North Carolina, Duke
2007: William & Mary, at Duke
2008: Furman, Western Kentucky
2009: at Maryland, at Virginia
2010: Central Michigan, Wake Forest, Duke

Conference Score: 8.00
2006: 6-2
2007: 7-1
2008: 5-3
2009: 6-2
2010: 8-0