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2011 5-Year Program Rankings - No. 8 Alabama
Alabama RB Trent Richardson
Alabama RB Trent Richardson
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 24, 2011


CFN's 2011 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... No. 8 Alabama


Preview 2011 - No. 8 Alabama

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis


2011 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
- Bottom 20 | No. 81 to 100 | No. 61 to 80
- No. 41 to 60 | No. 26 to 40 | No. 11 to No. 25
- No. 10 Georgia | No. 9 Virginia Tech | No. 8 Alabama
- No. 7 Boise State | No. 6. LSU | No. 5 Texas | No. 4 Oklahoma
- No. 3 USC | No. 2 Ohio State | No. 1 Florida
- 2010 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

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Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allows a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we created the CFN Five-Year Program Analysis highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies.

One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we list the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.39
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.84
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 10.58
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 29.76
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.56
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.97
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.18
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.20
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.14
- Bad Wins: Wins over teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 11.27
- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

Alabama
- 2011 Preview

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 104.65
2010 Ranking: 10 | 2009 Ranking: 20

Program Analysis: Don’t expect the Tide to hang around here for very long.

The rise up the charts would’ve been much stronger but the 10-2 2005 season doesn’t count in the formula. Next season, the 6-7 final season of Mike Shula will be gone, and the ranking should fly up the charts.

Nick Saban has rebuilt the powerhouse into something truly special, and with one of the best annual recruiting jobs of anyone in college football, and with the coaching continually top notch, Bama isn’t going to slip and should be a fixture in the top ten, and probably the top five, for several years to come.

The 19 drafted players over the last five years should be double that in a few seasons with the pipeline to the pros flowing as well as it ever has, even in the best of the Bear Bryant years, and now it’s time to win some more big games. The Elite Win score is nice, but the nine Elite Losses aren’t all that great and there were a few years when the program couldn’t do much in the bowls – the 2009 Sugar Bowl is still a bit too fresh. But with a loaded team returning and with a double-digit win season all but assured, there’s no reason to think that the Tide can’t be in the hunt for the No. 1 overall spot at some point in the next three seasons. Saban has made the program that good.

Attendance Score: 9.40
2006: 92,138
2007: 92,138
2008: 92,138
2009: 92,012
2010: 101,821

APR Score: 7

Drafted Players: 19
2007: LeRon McClain, Kenneth Darby, Ramzee Robinson
2008: NONE
2009: Andre Smith, Glen Coffee, Antoine Caldwell, Rashad Johnson
2010: Rolando McClain, Kareem Jackson, Javier Arenas, Terrence Cody, Mike Johnson, Marquis Johnson, Brandon Deaderick
2011: Marcell Dareus, Julio Jones, James Carpenter, Mark Ingram, Greg McElroy

FBS Wins: 45

Quality Wins: 24
2006: Hawaii
2007: Arkansas, Houston, Tennessee
2008: Clemson, at Georgia, Kentucky, at Ole Miss, at LSU
2009: Virginia Tech, Arkansas, at Kentucky, at Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, LSU, at Auburn, Florida (SEC Championship), Texas (BCS Championship)
2010: Penn State, at Arkansas, Florida, Mississippi State, Michigan State (Capital One Bowl)

Elite Win Score: 5
2006: None
2007: None
2008: at Georgia
2009: Florida (SEC Championship), Texas (BCS Championship)
2010: at Arkansas, Michigan State (Capital One Bowl)

Bad Loss Score: 1.5 – 2006: Mississippi State

Elite Losses: 9
2006: at Florida, at LSU, Auburn
2007: Georgia, LSU
2008: Florida (SEC Championship), Utah (Sugar Bowl)
2009: None
2010: at LSU, Aubun

Bad Wins: 12
2006: Duke, FIU
2007: Western Carolina, at Ole Miss
2008: Tulane, Western Kentucky
2009: FIU, North Texas, UT-Chattanooga
2010: San Jose State, at Duke, Georgia State

Conference Score: 6.75
2006: 2-6
2007: 4-4
2008: 8-0
2009: 8-0
2010: 5-3