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2011 5-Year Program Rankings - No. 7 Boise St
Boise State QB Kellen Moore
Boise State QB Kellen Moore
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 24, 2011


CFN's 2011 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... No. 7 Boise State



Preview 2011 - No. 7 Boise State

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis


2011 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
- Bottom 20 | No. 81 to 100 | No. 61 to 80
- No. 41 to 60 | No. 26 to 40 | No. 11 to No. 25
- No. 10 Georgia | No. 9 Virginia Tech | No. 8 Alabama
- No. 7 Boise State | No. 6. LSU | No. 5 Texas | No. 4 Oklahoma
- No. 3 USC | No. 2 Ohio State | No. 1 Florida
- 2010 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

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Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allows a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we created the CFN Five-Year Program Analysis highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies.

One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we list the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.39
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.84
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 10.58
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 29.76
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.56
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.97
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.18
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.20
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.14
- Bad Wins: Wins over teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 11.27
- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

Boise State
- 2011 Preview

2011 TOTAL SCORE: 109.68
2010 Ranking: 11 | 2009 Ranking: 11

Program Analysis: Yes, Boise State got to fatten up on a WAC schedule, but it has proven itself time and again in the big games against the top teams. It has gotten to a point when beating the Broncos has become a major event, and now, after years and years and years of winning, the program is finally in the top ten.

The move to the Mountain West should be a better indicator of just how good Boise state really is and really can be. While the WAC has had a few good programs over the last few years like Hawaii, Nevada, and occasionally Fresno State, the new conference will be much tougher week-in-and-week-out. However, don’t expect too much to change, and don’t expect a big drop despite a rebuilding season. If Boise gets by Georgia in the opener, watch out; the only other real test on the slate will be against TCU, and that’s at home.

The 57 FBS wins over the last five years don’t just lead the nation, the lead by a ridiculous three victories over the No. 2 team in the category, Ohio State, are five more than Oklahoma, and are at least six more than everyone else. Ten teams in the 2011 CFN Program Rankings have as many wins or fewer over the last five years – 14 - as Boise State came up with in 2009 alone.

The Attendance Score will always be a drag, averaging around just 32,000 per game, and the ten players drafted are the fewest of anyone in the top 31 – only BYU is lower - but the impressive APR Score helps make up for it. The conference winning percentage of 95% it the best in the nation, and the Elite Win Score of 5.5 is fantastic, but even with all the greatness and even with all the numbers, the program still has to prove it on a national scale to get into the national title hunt.

Attendance Score: 3.18
2006: 30,453
2007: 30,338
2008: 32,275
2009: 32,782
2010: 33,269

APR Score: 9

Drafted Players: 10
2007: Gerald Alexander, Legedu Naanee, Korey Hall, Derek Schouman
2008: Ryan Clady, Orlando Scandrick
2009: None
2010: Kyle Wilson
2011: Titus Young, Austin Pettis, Brandyn Thompson

FBS Wins: 57
Quality Wins: 24
2006: Oregon State, Hawaii, at Utah, at San Jose State, at Nevada, Oklahoma (Fiesta Bowl)
2007: Southern Miss, at Fresno State
2008: at Oregon, Louisiana Tech, at Southern Miss, at Nevada, Fresno State
2009: Oregon, at Fresno State, at Bowling Green, Idaho, Nevada, TCU (Fiesta Bowl)
2010: Virginia Tech, Toledo, Hawaii, Fresno State, Utah (Las Vegas Bowl)

Elite Win Score: 5.5
2006: Oklahoma (Fiesta Bowl)
2007: None
2008: at Oregon
2009: TCU (Fiesta Bowl)
2010: Virginia Tech, Utah (Maaco Bowl)

Bad Loss Score: 0

Elite Losses: 3
2006: None
2007: at Hawaii
2008: TCU (Poinsettia Bowl)
2009: None
2010: at Nevada

Bad Wins: 17
2006: Sacramento State, Louisiana Tech, Utah State
2007: Weber State, at Utah State, Idaho
2008: Idaho State, at New Mexico State, Utah State, at Idaho
2009: Miami Univ., UC Davis, San Jose State, New Mexico State
2010: at Wyoming, at New Mexico State, at San Jose State

Conference Score: 9.5
2006: 8-0
2007: 7-1
2008: 8-0
2009: 8-0
2010: 7-1