2011 Predictions & Game Story
Week 2 - Iowa at Iowa State
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Sept. 10 at Iowa State 44 ... Iowa 41 OT
CFN Analysis: Iowa State, you have your new superstar. Steele Jantz pulled the team out of the fire in the final moments to beat Northern Iowa, and then he turned things up several notches to pull off a thrilling win over Iowa with 279 passing yards, four touchdowns, and 42 rushing yards on 16 carries. He was great in the clutch just to get the game into overtime, and he kept the offense moving with third down play after third down play. The 11 penalties were way too many, but most of the mistakes were overcome by key stops, holding Iowa to three field goals to keep the game close early, and forcing a field goal in the third overtime. Now the Cyclones have to build on this and come up with a big performance at Connecticut before starting out Big 12 play against Texas. Outside of the Kansas game, there isn’t a gimme in the bunch the rest of the way.
Iowa is supposed to be in a bit of a rebuilding season, but the defense was supposed to be better than this. The offense worked out just fine, with James Vandenberg throwing for 207 yards and two scores and Marcus Coker running for 140 yards and two scores on a tough 35 carries, but too many drives stalled. The Hawkeyes could’ve put the game away, but settled for Mike Meyer field goals. The defense was the bigger problem, failing to stop Steele Jantz in key moments, and now it’s rallying time. The Hawkeyes are better than Pitt and ULM, and they need to show it in the next two home games before starting out Big Ten play against Penn State. The key, again, will be converting drives and taking advantage of opportunities.
(AP) AMES, Iowa -- James White's 4-yard TD run in triple overtime pushed Iowa State past rival Iowa 44-41 on Saturday, snapping a three-game losing streak to the rival Hawkeyes in thrilling fashion.
Steele Jantz led the way for Iowa State (2-0) with 279 yards passing and four touchdowns and White added a pair of OT touchdowns.
White's 1-yard run put the Cyclones on top 38-31 in double overtime, but Iowa quarterback James Vandenberg's 23-yard TD pass to Keenan Davis tied it back up.
Iowa went ahead 41-38 on Mike Meyer's 34-yard field goal. But the Hawkeyes defense had no answer for Jantz and White in extra time.
Marcus Coker had 140 yards rushing and two touchdowns for Iowa (1-1).
Coker scored on a 4-yard run to open overtime. Iowa State answered on fourth down, as Jantz threw a 4-yard touchdown to Darius Reynolds to tie it at 31.
Iowa took a 24-17 lead on Coker's 1-yard TD run with 5:50 left in the fourth quarter, which looked like it might decide the game. But Iowa State responded, tying the game at 24-all with 1:17 left in regulation on Jantz's 4-yard TD pass to Darius Darks.
This was the first overtime game in 59 meetings between Iowa and Iowa State, who've played off and on since 1894.
The Hawkeyes and Cyclones haven't played many as thrilling as this one -- the highest scoring game in the history of the series.
Iowa's sluggish offense sprung to life early in the fourth quarter. Vandenberg converted a key third down with his feet and found Marvin McNutt for a 29-yard completion to Iowa State's 2-yard line on another third down.
Coker punched it in, and Vandenberg's toss to Keenan Davis for a two-point conversion gave Iowa a 24-17 with 5:50 left.
Jantz wasn't done, though.
Jantz looked as though he'd thrown a potential game-tying TD off a scramble with 3:03 left, but a holding call brought it back. Jantz recovered with a 40-yard toss to Darius Reynolds on the next play, putting Iowa State at Iowa's 15-yard line, and converted a fourth-and-1 to keep the drive going.
Jantz's game-tying touchdown throw highlighted the athleticism he showed all day in just his second game for the Cyclones. He looked right, avoided the rush, scrambled left and found Darks on the sidelines with a pinpoint toss.
The Cyclones took their first lead with 2:02 left in the third quarter. Aaron Horne took a short Jantz pass 57 yards, and Jantz hit a wide-open Josh Lenz for an eight-yard TD to put Iowa State up 17-16.
The Cyclones had the Hawkeyes on their heels to start the fourth quarter. But kicker Zach Guyer missed a 38-yarder with 10:20 left, and Iowa went 80 yards to take the lead.
Iowa's Mike Meyer put the Hawkeyes up 13-10 early in the third quarter with a 20-yard field goal, then hit a career-long 50-yarder to make it 16-10.
Iowa looked set to run away from Iowa State in the opening half like it did in last year's 35-7 rout. But the Cyclones made up for a critical fumble in the second quarter to pull even by halftime.
The Hawkeyes moved down the field with ease on their first drive, and Vandenberg's 6-yard TD pass to Kevonte Martin-Manley -- his first career catch -- made it 7-0. Meyer's 42-yard field goal early in the second quarter pushed Iowa's lead to 10-0.
Shontrelle Johnson fumbled on Iowa State's second trip inside the red zone. But Coker gave it right back two plays later, and Jantz found Darius Reynolds for an 11-yard touchdown pass to pull the Cyclones within 10-7 with 7:40 left in the first half.
Iowa hadn't allowed Iowa State to score a meaningful touchdown since 2006, but that toss was the first of many in a game neither side of this heated in-state rivalry will ever forget.
Iowa State's fans, who have endured weeks of speculation about the future of the Big 12 and three years of frustration to the Hawkeyes, stormed the field in celebration after White's winning score.
Iowa (1-0) at Iowa State (1-0) Sept.
10, 12:00, FSN
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Here’s The Deal … For a long time this was an interesting rivalry that transcended record, talent, and circumstances, with Iowa State battling the Hawkeyes for years and coming up with several big upsets. But over the last few seasons, it’s been all Iowa with three straight wins by a total of 87 to 15, and this year it’s going to take something special for the Cyclones to reverse the trend.
The Hawkeyes are rebuilding a bit and don’t have the firepower on offense or the line on defense of the last few seasons, but they’re still good, they’re still going to be a factor in the Big Ten race, and they’re still being underestimated by many assuming it’ll take at least a year to get back to normal. After dominating Tennessee Tech 34-7 in the opener, Iowa goes on the road this week before dealing with its toughest non-conference game of the year against Pitt. On the flip side, Iowa State is coming off a close call against Northern Iowa, who battled tooth and nail in a 20-19 Cyclone win on a last minute touchdown run from Steele Jantz. With a trip to Connecticut up next before dealing with Texas in the Big 12 opener, coming up with a win could be a must to avoid a rough rest of September.
Why Iowa Might Win: Iowa State struggled way too much with the Northern Iowa running game last week, and Iowa should be able to pound away throughout. Northern Iowa got 127 rushing yards out of quarterback Tirrell Rinnie as part of a 204-yard day against the Iowa State defense, but the bigger problem was on the other side of the ball: turnovers. The Jantz threw three interceptions as part of a four turnover day, and if the Hawkeyes can turn the Cyclones into a passing team, the chances for big defensive plays will be there for the taking. Jantz only completed 18-of-40 passes for 187 yards, and Iowa’s secondary should come up with at least two picks.
Why Iowa State Might Win: It’s not like the superior Iowa offensive line dominated in the opener. The Hawkeyes only pounded out 148 yards against Tennessee Tech, and while there weren’t any problems overall in the blowout win, the production came in one big second quarter and without too much help from the ground game; an 88-yard pass play to Marvin McNutt took control of the game and a pick six put it away. In the second half, Iowa tried to pound away just to get the game over, and it struggled a bit to much. Northern Iowa’s rushing production last week against ISU came from the quarterback, and there aren’t any worries of a repeat from Iowa’s James Vanderberg. Marcus Coker has to handle the workload, but he struggled in the opener. Mika’il McCall was the team’s most productive runner last week, but he’s out for the year with a broken ankle.
What To Watch Out For: Will the Iowa State offensive line be able to match the production of the Iowa offensive front five? The Cyclones have an NFL talent in Kelechi Osemele, but he’s battling through an ankle injury and wasn’t quite right in last week’s game. He’ll be helped by getting back massive guard, Hayworth Hicks, who’s back after missing the UNI game suspended. He should provide a big boost to the ground game up the middle. They’ll have to protect Jantz, who’s the main man the rest of the way with Jerome Tiller, the expected starter this offseason, done for the year after having academic issues.
While Jantz isn’t a top passer, Iowa’s James Vanderberg will be the key to the season and needs to be effective and efficient against the questionable Cyclone secondary. Vanderberg emerged from Ricky Stanzi’s shadow and had a strong first game, completing 13-of-21 passes for 219 yards and two touchdowns, with a touchdown run, with most of the production coming in the first half. As long as he’s getting time to work – and he’ll get a bit of a break with ISU defensive end Roosevelt Maggitt out for the year with a knee injury.
What Will Happen: The Iowa running game will struggle as the Iowa State linebacking corps cleans up everything in the second level and keeps the big plays to a minimum. Vanderberg will be the difference with an efficient, effective performance throughout, while Jantz, on the other side, will run for yards but will give up the ball at least twice to make a tight game a bit of a blowout late.
CFN Prediction: Iowa 31 … Iowa State 16
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Iowa -7 O/U: 44
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