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at Bowling Green 58 … Morgan State 13

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 10, 2011


Week 2 CFN Fearless Prediction & Game Story - Morgan State at Bowling Green

2011 Predictions & Game Story 

Week 2 - Morgan State at BGSU

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Sept. 10 at Bowling Green 58 … Morgan State 13
CFN Analysis: COMING

(AP) BOWLING GREEN, Ohio. -- Matt Schilz threw five touchdown passes in the first half, leading Bowling Green in a 58-13 rout of Morgan State on Saturday night.

Schilz finished 16 for 23 passing with 258 yards and an interception, leading the Falcons (2-0) to a 35-10 halftime lead with his prolific first-half passing.

Bowling Green outgained the Bears 572-193 in offensive yards, including a 304-37 margin through the air.

Schilz connected with Eugene Cooper on touchdown passes of 37, 6, 23 and 18 yards in the first half. Four of Cooper's six receptions were for scores, as he finished with 134 yards.

Jordan Hopgood rushed 12 times for 90 yards and also had 37 yards and a touchdown on three receptions for the Falcons, who have won consecutive games to open a season for the first time since 2003.

Travis Davidson led the Bears (0-2) with 89 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Morgan State (0-1) at Bowling Green (1-0) Sep. 10, 7:00

Here’s The Deal … The MAC is taking an apparent breather against an FCS opponent - and the two teams could not be on more polarizing paths. While Bowling Green passed a decent test on the road at Idaho in convincing fashion by grinding out the time of possession, Morgan State barely showed a pulse by getting blown out by its cross-town rival and colleague, Towson.

The Bears don't have the firepower or the defense to hang around, even against a MAC team, and while this might be nothing more than a paycheck game, they're going to bomb away to try to make this interesting. Bowling Green will be using this game as a further tune up for the next week against Wyoming, and more importantly, the beginning of the MAC season with a showdown against Miami University the week after. Morgan State is simply looking for any sense of vital signs and respect and is simply ready to get back to dating the girl in their league via the MEAC Conference race. It needs a good showing to boost the confidence that has to be teetering on shattered.

Why Morgan State Might Win: It’s game two, not mid-season for Bowling Green, and overconfidence could be a problem for the Falcons against a team that did little to stir up any kind of fear by mustering only 160 total yards of offense last week against Towson. BGSU had a surprising cake walk against Idaho and is brimming with confidence, and it'll surely be looking ahead, even after struggling so much in a bad 2010. 

On the field, MSU needs to come up with big plays in the return game and have to show an ability to control the clock on the ground. Despite the disappointing offensive performance last week, the returners more than held their own with 271 yards to consistently put their team in great field position and to rank No. 1 in the FCS in returns after just one week. If there is any team that is prone to giving up possession eating chunks on the ground, it’s the Falcons, even though they weren't pounded on by Idaho. Last week aside, BGSU was downright awful against the run the last couple of years as it tried to get acclimated to a 4-2-5 alignment. If Morgan State can continue its electric return game and capitalize on the same missed opportunities it let slide last week by finding the gaps in the defense on the ground, things could remain close and get interesting.

Why Bowling Green Might Win:  Bowling Green had a balanced offense on the road against an FBS team and seemingly could do anything it wanted as the situation dictated, and shockingly came up with a great pass rush against the Vandals and forced several mistakes and errors. Offensively, BGSU came up with  478 yards of total offense on the road, and there shouldn't be any problems against the weak MSU defense.
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On the road, the Falcons had the ball almost four times more than Idaho and pounded out 187 yards on 48 carries on the ground. On the flip side, Morgan State gave way in time of possession in a big way to a lesser opponent last week, only holding on to the ball for 20:37 as Towson converted 12-of-16 third down chances. The Falcons plan will will try to jump on the Bears early with an aerial assault, followed by taking the air out of the ball later in the game.

What To Watch Out For: Bowling Green is going to come out slinging the ball up and down the field once they step off of the bus. Get used to the call of Schilz to Jorden to provide the fireworks. Matt Schilz is now past his learning curve year and should have the map now to bomb away in the BGSU offense. The redshirt sophomore’s co-partner in crime is clearly one of the best WRs the MAC has to offer in senior Kamar Jorden. Though the 6-1, 203-pound receiver was a missing in the game last week because of the score, he won’t disappoint this week. Look for Morgan State to roll the dice and bring pressure to make up for the difference in personnel. When it does, Jorden should be able to get the best of some one on one match-ups for plenty of big play potential.

For Morgan State, redshirt junior Tyrone Hendrix. returned a kickoff 85 yards last week, and then followed it up with an encore return of 55 yards. The loss wasn’t for his efforts. If Bowling Green has anywhere near the offensive success that it had last week against stiffer competition, the speedy return man will get plenty of opportunity to showcase his skills. Hendrix’ exploits earned him FCS National Kick Returner of the Week, and he has the potential to do something special each time the BGSU special teams unit kicks to him.

What Will Happen:
The Falcons are going to come out with their guns a blazin’. They’ll start bombing away at will and will mix in the run just enough to keep the Bear defense on its heels and continue the early onslaught through the air. The Bears will have a good return or two for good field position but stall and have to settle for only field goals and missed opportunities.
The reality is that the difference in skill level will just be too much for Morgan State to overcome and the game will be out of hand early in the second half. Once the backups are in, BGSU will milk out the clock for a second straight week with a steady diet of good-old-fashioned, smash-mouth football in the heartland to seal the victory with ease.

CFN Prediction: Bowling Green 42 … Morgan State 6
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