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CFN Prediction - Stony Brook at Buffalo
Posted Sep 8, 2011

Week 2 CFN Fearless Prediction & Game Story - Stony Brook at Buffalo

2011 Predictions & Game Story 

Week 2 - Stony Brook at Buffalo

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f Stony Brook (0-1) at Buffalo (0-1) Sept. 10, 7:00, ESPN3

Here’s The Deal … This should be a battle. Stony Brook could’ve and should’ve beaten UTEP, pushing the Miners in a 31-24 overtime loss, and one of the favorites for the Big South title should give Buffalo a major push, if not be dead even in the matchup. The defense is strong, the running game is great, and the talent level if enough to match what the Bulls bring.

UB can’t afford to lose this game. After a rough first season under Jeff Quinn, the team came out and did a decent job through the air in a 35-16 loss to Pitt, and it was competitive throughout, but the production has to start coming. The Ball State game next week in Muncie now looks tougher than expected, and with Connecticut and Tennessee to follow, this is a must win to avoid a possible disastrous start. After this, it’s possible that UB isn’t favored until mid-November against Eastern Michigan, and even that game might be even.

Why Stony Brook Might Win: Pitt was able to run the ball on the UB defensive front without a problem, and while Stony Brook doesn’t have the same talent level, it’s ultra-effective on the ground. Six different players got carries with Miguel Maysonet running for 103 yards and Brock Jackolski tore off 96 yards and a score in a backfield full of options. The Seawolves are loaded with wave after wave of good runners to keep a good rotation going, and Buffalo could have problems in the second half against the fresh legs. On the other side, Buffalo needs to show it can run the ball, and Stony Brook is coming off a strong game holding UTEP to just 36 yards on the ground.

Why Buffalo Might Win: Can the Bulls bomb away? Chazz Anderson didn’t exactly light up Pitt last week, and he wasn’t efficient or effective, but he threw for 276 yards for a passing game that showed a sign of life for the first time in a few years. Stony Brook got lit up by UTEP’s Nick Lamaison for 365 yards and three touchdowns, and while that was out of necessity with the Seawolves stuffing the running game, it showed the weaknesses in the secondary. Receiver is UB’s biggest strength, and the production has to come for a full sixty minutes to make Stony Brook press.

What To Watch Out For: It’s not like UB didn’t try getting the ground game going. Branden Oliver ran it 35 times for a grinding 114 yards, and unlike UTEP last week, the Bulls will stick with the ground attack even when it’s not working as well as hoped. The sophomore is a 5-8, 200-pound speedster from Miami, and after being hit with a knee injury early in spring ball of last year, he ended up leading the team in rushing … with just 298 yards averaging 2.9 yards per carry. Extremely quick, he’s great at darting in and out of traffic and is the shiftiest back.

What Will Happen: It should be a terrific game. The Bulls will show enough offensive balance to keep Stony Brook’s defense on its heels, and while the UB run defense will have problems with several different backs getting a shot, Anderson and the passing game will come though when needed. UB will give up 250 yards on the ground, but it’ll control the game with several key third down conversions.

CFN Prediction: Buffalo 30 … Stony Brook 27
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