2011 Predictions & Game Story
Week 2 - Texas State at Wyoming
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Sept. 10 at Wyoming 45 … Texas State 10
CFN Analysis: COMING
(AP) LARAMIE, Wyo. -- Brett Smith ran for two touchdowns and passed for another as Wyoming beat Texas State 45-10 Saturday.
Smith scored on runs of 29 and 2 yards in the first-ever meeting between the Cowboys and Texas State. He completed 16 of 31 passes for 236 yards and had two interceptions as Wyoming gained 618 total yards on offense and converted 10 of 15 third downs.
Ghaali Muhammad rushed for 123 yards and a touchdown, and Brandon Miller added 101 yards for Wyoming. Miller and Alvester Alexander each scored on 1-yard runs.
Meantime, the Cowboys' defense held Texas State to 189 total yards, including a net minus-1 yard on three possessions by the Bobcats during the third quarter when Wyoming extended a 17-10 halftime advantage to 31-10.
Terrence Franks led Texas State with 42 yards rushing and scored the Bobcats only touchdown on an 8-yard run.
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Texas State (0-1) at Wyoming (1-0) Sept. 10, 7:00, mtn.
Here's The Deal … Texas State is in a holding pattern this year before leaving the Southland – whose conference title the Bobcats aren't even eligible for – for the WAC, but the opening week performance wasn't exactly anything to send shivers down the FBS's spine. Texas Tech ripped apart TSU in a 50-10 layup, but things ease up a bit after this road trip to Wyoming, with Tarleton State up next and with Southland play kicking in against Stephen F. Austin. For now, Dennis Franchione's program is just looking to get better and find things to build on, and beating the Cowboys would do wonders to show that next year, this could be a decent non-BCS team.
Wyoming struggled in its opener against Weber State, but it came through late to pull off a 35-32 thriller. The offense threw the ball better than it has in years, and the young team played with surprising maturity, but now it'll be tested a little more. After this game, the Cowboys might not be favored in another game until the UNLV game in mid-October, and even that's a dicey. They can't afford to blow this.
Why Texas State Might Win: The Wyoming secondary was ripped to shreds. Weber State has a good passing game, and it showed with 314 yards and with the pressure put on all game long with several big plays, while the running game helped the cause with Josh Booker running for 117 yards and a score. The TSU spread attack is still trying to learn how to work effectively, and while it didn't get anything going through the air against Texas Tech, six players combined for 256 yards and a touchdown as the quarterbacks – Tyler Arndt and Shaun Rutherford – were able to come up with big yards. Linebacker is a huge problem for the Cowboys, and there could be huge problems when the Bobcats get room to run through.
Why Wyoming Might Win: Wyoming doesn't have the passing game of Texas Tech, but it should be able to throw on a 4-2-5 Bobcat defense that will give up the short to midrange passes. Red Raider QB Seth Doege dinked and dunked his way to 326 yards and three scores, and this week it could be Brett Smith who puts up the big yards. The freshman threw for 294 yards and three scores against Weber State, and ran for 44 yards and a score, and he should come up with a huge statistical performance.
What To Watch Out For: 5-10, 187-pound Wyoming sophomore Robert Herron is a smallish, quick target who got a little bit of work catching six passes for 57 yards. Now he'll be asked to become more of a gamebreaker and will get the ball in his hands in a variety of ways after finishing second on the team with 235 rushing yards averaging 5.9 yards per carry. The potential is there for him to become one of the offense's breakout stars, and he showed why last week with seven catches for 104 yards and two scores, and he might get the ball out of the backfield from time to time this week.
What Will Happen: Texas State is going to give Wyoming a whale of a game. It'll get up early and will keep the pressure on all game long with its great ground game, and then Smith will take over. He'll bomb away for 300 yards as he tries to get the Cowboys back in the game, and for a second straight week, he'll help pull out a thriller.
CFN Prediction: Wyoming 38 … Texas State 34
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