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Indiana State 44 ... at WKU 16
Posted Sep 17, 2011

Week 3 CFN Fearless Prediction & Game Story - Indiana State at WKU

2011 Predictions & Game Story 

Week 3 - Indiana State at WKU

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Sept. 17 Indiana State 44 ... at WKU 16
CFN Analysis: COMING

(AP) BOWLING GREEN, Ky. -- Ronnie Fouch threw for three touchdowns Saturday night in Indiana State's 44-16 win over Western Kentucky, marking the Hilltoppers' 17th straight home loss going back to 2008.

Indiana State (2-1) never trailed after Fouch found Justin Hilton from 14 yards out in the first quarter. Fouch, the former backup to Jake Locker at Washington, finished 14 of 24 for 227 yards with one interception.

The victory was the Sycamores' first over a Football Bowl Subdivision opponent since 2001. Indiana State hadn't won a nonconference road game since 2004.

Shakir Bell paced the Sycamores' ground attack with 221 yards on 25 carries, including a 46-yard touchdown in the second quarter. Kicker Corey Little made all three of his field goals.

Running back Bobby Rainey tied a school record for Western Kentucky (0-3) with his eighth straight 100-yard rushing game. Rainey had 105 yards on 23 carries.

Indiana State (1-1) at Western Kentucky (0-2) Sept. 17, 7:00 ESPN3

Here’s The Deal … Former Gateway Football Conference rivals Western Kentucky and Indiana State will meet once again this Saturday night in Bowling Green. The two teams last played in 2007, and the Hilltoppers have defeated the Sycamores the last 12 meetings in a row. WKU will be looking to earn their first win of the season after losing to Kentucky and Navy to open the season.

ISU has been one of the worst teams in the FCS over the past decade, but the Sycamores turned things around last year with a 6-5 record. With a victory over Butler last week, they enter this matchup with a .500 record and will be looking for their first win against an FBS opponent since they defeated Eastern Michigan back in 2001. WKU is dubbing this game as a white-out, and the school hopes to use this step down in competition as a chance to regroup after a rough first two weeks.

Why Indiana State Might Win: Last week the Sycamores exploded for 456 yards of total offense and 48 points against Butler. While the Bulldogs football team is not quite on par with their basketball counterparts, it was still a nice victory for ISU. RB Brock Lough is averaging a healthy 7.2 yards per carry with 3 touchdowns, and if the Sycamores can get their ground game going against the WKU defense that ranks 111th in the country against the rush, then ISU has a chance at getting their first win in a decade over an FBS team.

Why Western Kentucky Might Win: Part of the reason for WKU’s horrendous rushing defense statistics is because the Hilltoppers faced perennial rushing juggernaut Navy in their last game. Without having to worry about defending the triple-option the WKU defense should be able to handle the ISU attack. WKU gave Kentucky a run for their money in the first game of the year and only lost by a score of 14-3, so the Hilltoppers have shown some improvement from their 2-10 team from a year ago. Led by RB Bobby Rainey who has rushed for over 100 yards in each of the first two games, the WKU offense should be able to move the ball at will against the inferior Sycamore defense. If WKU can figure out the quarterback situation and control the clock with their running game, the ‘Toppers should be able to get their 13th consecutive victory in this series.

What To Watch Out For: KR Antonio Andrews. The kick returner for WKU averaged 33.8 yards per return in the Hilltoppers contest against Navy. If he gets the opportunity, he could showcase his explosiveness and set the WKU offense up with great field position or go ahead and put six points on the board himself. In a game that looks to be fairly evenly matched, it sometimes comes down to one play that determines the outcome, and Andrews is one of those playmakers that can influence the momentum of the game.

What Will Happen: Indiana State has shown significant improvement over the past couple of seasons under head coach Trent Miles, but Western Kentucky has too much star-power to lose this game. Rainey will rush for over 200 yards, and the Hilltoppers will get at least one touchdown from the defense or special teams to win this game that will be closer than expected. This is a game the Sycamores may be able to win in the next year or two, but they are still not quite ready for the step-up in competition.

CFN Prediction: Western Kentucky 37 … Indiana State 27
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