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CFN Prediction - Austin Peay at Memphis

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 17, 2011


Week 3 CFN Fearless Prediction & Game Story - Austin Peay at Memphis


2011 Predictions & Game Story 

Week 3 - Austin Peay at Memphis

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Sept. 17 at Memphis 27 ... Austin Peay 6
CFN Analysis: COMING

(AP) MEMPHIS, Tenn. -- Taylor Reed threw for career-highs of 332 yards and three touchdowns to lead Memphis to a 27-6 win over Austin Peay on Saturday night.

Reed rebounded after the freshman had lackluster performances in Memphis' losses against Mississippi State and Arkansas State. But the Tigers (1-2) were never threatened by Austin Peay as Reed was stellar in this contest, completing 20 of 30 passes.

Memphis took a 20-0 lead that was highlighted by Reed's 42-yard touchdown pass to Tannar Rehrer in the second quarter and a 22-yard passing score to Kevin Wright in the third. Kicker Paulo Henriques added two fields of 30 and 44 yards.

Reed's final touchdown throw came in the fourth quarter when he completed a 93-yard pass to Billy Foster, who finished with 118 yards on four catches for the Tigers.

Jake Ryan threw for 245 yards, one interception and had two interceptions for the Governors (0-2).

Austin Peay (0-1) at Memphis (0-2) Sept. 17, 7:00

Here’s The Deal … For struggling Memphis, a visit from Austin Peay is just what the Porter ordered. Head coach Larry Porter has won just one game since taking over the Tigers in 2010, losing to Mississippi State and Arkansas State by an average score of 53-8 to begin the 2011 campaign. The school continues to inject fresh youth into the two-deep rotation, while considering changes in an effort to mix things up. A win—against anyone—would do wonders for the school at this time.

Austin Peay comes out of a bye week with its own set of problems and hurdles that need to be cleared. The Governors were walloped by Cincinnati, 72-10, giving up 10 offensive touchdowns. After going 2-9 a year ago, the program is hoping to make modest gains up the Ohio Valley Conference ladder.

Why Austin Peay Might Win: As toothless as the Memphis D has been so far, it’s going to be vulnerable against anyone, including Austin Peay. In Ryan White, the Governors boast a running back they can count on for 20-25 quality carries. He and backup Wesley Kitts both ran for 65 yards in the loss to Cincinnati. The backfield tandem should be no less successful this Saturday night. At quarterback, Jake Ryan is beginning his third year as a starter, and is poised to become an even bigger factor as the catalyst of the offense.

Why Memphis Might Win: Porter has high hopes for his skill position players on offense. This week, he gets an opportunity to see them produce up to his expectations. The Tigers may be young, but their ceiling is high. The team’s leading rusher and passer, Artaves Gibson and Taylor Reed, respectively, are rookies evolving on the fly. A veteran presence is provided by big-play WR Marcus Rucker and do-everything athlete Billy Foster can frustrate defenses with his speed. Memphis gets a rare opportunity to execute without a swarm of tacklers attached to its best playmakers.

What To Watch Out For: Memphis has plenty of potential along the D-line, even if the results haven’t been there so far. DE Frank Trotter is the team’s best pass rusher, and NT Dontari Poe has the next-level size to eat up blocks. The secret weapon, though, might be DT Johnnie Farms, the former top recruit who didn’t qualify at North Carolina. One of the shining stars of the Arkansas State loss, he piled up the big plays, collecting four stops behind the line and 1.5 sacks. This group boasts the right mix of talent to oust the Governors.

What Will Happen: Since Memphis doesn’t get many opportunities to play the favorite role, it’ll revel in a rare chance to throw its weight around on Saturday night. The offense will produce enough big plays, the defense will control the line of scrimmage and the program will be victorious for the first time since last Sept. 18. In the big picture, it might not matter, but it’ll do wonders for the Tigers battered psyche and confidence.

CFN Prediction: Memphis 42 … Austin Peay 16
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