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at Hawaii 56 … UC Davis 14

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 24, 2011


Week 4 CFN Fearless Prediction & Game Story - UC Davis at Hawaii


2011 Predictions & Game Story 

Week 4 - UC Davis at Hawaii

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Sept. 24 at Hawaii 56 … UC Davis 14
CFN Analysis: All the talk over the last few weeks of the passing game sputtering and struggling went bye-bye in a breathtaking half by Bryant Moniz. All he did was complete 30-of-40 passes for 424 yards and seven touchdowns, while also running for 50 yards, spreading the ball around well as the Warrior offense exploded like it hasn’t been able to do all season long. Now it’s time to keep up the momentum on the road. After the UNLV performance of last week, losing to one of the worst teams in America 40-20, Hawaii apparently woke up and now looks ready to be the favorite for the WAC title.

(AP) HONOLULU -- Bryant Moniz set a Hawaii record and tied an NCAA record by throwing seven touchdown passes in the first half as the Warriors routed UC Davis 56-14 on Saturday night.

Moniz led the Warriors to a 49-0 lead before sitting out the second half. He finished 30 of 40 for 424 yards, a school record for yards passing in a half, and added five carries for 50 yards.

He tossed four TDs in the first quarter for the Warriors (2-2), who snapped a two-game losing streak. The senior tied Florida's Terry Dean (1994), Florida's Doug Johnson (1997) and San Diego State's Dennis Shaw (1969) for the record.

The seventh TD was an 8-yarder to Royce Pollard with 3:57 left in the half. Pollard hauled in three of Moniz's scores and finished with nine receptions for 145 yards.

Hawaii was too athletic for UC Davis (1-3), which was playing its second FBC team this month.

UC Davis (1-2) at Hawaii (1-2) Sept. 24, 5:00, ESPN3

Here’s The Deal … Hawaii needs to find its mojo. The normally dangerous Warriors are 37th in the nation in passing, can’t find any rhythm, and couldn’t stop giving the ball away in a weird 40-20 loss to UNLV last week. With WAC play kicking off next week at Louisiana Tech, everything has to start humming on both sides of the ball, and playing UC Davis should be just the tonic needed. Being at home should help, too.

The Warriors managed to beat Colorado in the season opener at home, but struggled on the road against Washington and UNLV. Is the swagger back? If the Warriors can’t get by UC Davis at home, it might not be.

The Aggies have a nice passing game of their own, and they showed it off last week in a 31-3 blowout over San Diego, but they started out the year getting blown away by Arizona State and they don’t have the defense to do what they need to if Hawaii is playing like Hawaii.

Why UC Davis Might Win: Turnovers. To have any shot against the Warriors on the road, the Aggies have to win the turnover margin and they have to do it by a lot. Fourth among all FCS teams, there hasn’t been an interception thrown in 120 passes, and the two fumbles have been offset by ten takeaways. Hawaii killed itself last week with four fumbles against the Rebels and now have six on the year to go along with a pick. If UC Davis is +2, it has a shot, if it’s +3 or better, and as long as the passing game is humming as usual, look out.

Why Hawaii Might Win: The UC Davis passing game didn’t work against Arizona State, and while Hawaii might not have the same defensive talent, the athleticism is there to give star Randy Wright problems. Hawaii is better equipped to get into a shootout, and Bryant Moniz should be able to match ASU’s Brock Osweiler’s production hitting 19-of-26 passes for 262 yards and two scores. The UCD secondary will make mistakes when tested, and it’ll be pushed.

What To Watch Out For: It’s a bit of a stretch to ask what’s wrong with Moniz, but he has only thrown for 300 yards once and was pedestrian against a miserable UNLV secondary throwing for 233 yards and two scores. He’s not getting enough help from the rebuilt receiving corps, and he needs playmakers to quickly emerge. Billy Ray Stutzmann finally went off last week, catching nine passes for 136 yards, and he has to become more of a go-to target good for at least six grabs a game.

What Will Happen: Shootout, shootout, shootout. Hawaii will get the air show going early after weeks of criticism, but after a big lead, UC Davis will bomb its way back to make it interesting. Expect close to 800 yards through the air, lots of big plays, and Hawaii football like it’s supposed to be.

CFN Prediction: Hawaii 44 … UC Davis 31  
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