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Compu-Picks 2011 Analysis: Week 4_1

Mr Pac Ten
Posted Sep 25, 2011


Compu-Picks 2011 Analysis: Week Four Review of Preseason Over/Under Picks

This year, I published a number of Compu-Picks preview articles, which among other things included record projections for each team, and picks against over/under win totals posted by three different sources ( Hilton, TheGreek, 5Dimes). While it is still fairly early in the season, we've still seen enough results to have a decent idea about at least some of the picks. With that in mind, I've put together tables displaying the picks where it seems pretty clear which side of the over/under line the team will end up at. Of course, not all of these early results will hold, but it seems pretty likely that most will. So without further ado, here are the results so far. As always, higher confidence numbers get higher weight in the overall totals:

Hilton open

Team Over/Under Pick Confidence Wins Losses
Miami (Florida) 8 Under 3 3 0
Missouri 7.5 Over 1 0 1
Texas 8 Under 1 0 1
Michigan 7 Under 1 0 1
Notre Dame 8.5 Over 1 0 1
Oregon State 6.5 Under 2 2 0
Utah 7.5 Over 1 1 0
Georgia 8.5 Under 4 4 0
Louisiana State 9.5 Under 3 0 3
Mississippi State 7.5 Under 1 1 0
Subtotal 1 2 4
2 2 0
3 3 3
4 4 0
Total 11 7

TheGreek

Team Over/Under Pick Confidence Wins Losses
Clemson 7 Under 1 0 1
Georgia Tech 6 Over 1 1 0
Miami (Florida) 8 Under 3 3 0
Texas 8.5 Under 2 0 2
Michigan 7 Under 1 0 1
Oregon State 7 Under 3 3 0
Stanford 8.5 Over 1 1 0
Arizona 6.5 Under 1 1 0
Louisiana State 9.5 Under 3 0 3
Subtotal 1 3 2
2 0 2
3 6 3
4 0 0
Total 9 7

5Dimes

Team Over/Under Pick Confidence Wins Losses
Miami (Florida) 8 Under 3 3 0
Missouri 7.5 Over 1 0 1
Texas 8 Under 1 0 1
Cincinnati 6.5 Over 2 2 0
Pittsburgh 8.5 Under 3 3 0
Michigan 7 Under 1 0 1
Notre Dame 8.5 Over 1 0 1
Oregon State 6.5 Under 2 2 0
Utah 7.5 Over 1 1 0
Georgia 8.5 Under 4 4 0
Louisiana State 9.5 Under 3 0 3
Mississippi 4.5 Over 2 0 2
Mississippi State 7.5 Under 1 1 0
Subtotal 1 2 4
2 4 2
3 6 3
4 4 0
Total 16 9

There are a few important notes and caveats I need to make about this model:

1) Compu-Picks does not endorse implicitly or explicitly any form of illegal gambling. Compu-Picks is intended to be used for entertainment purposes only.

2) No guarantee or warranty is offered or implied by Compu-Picks for any information provided and/or predictions made.

2011 Compu-Picks Blog

Questions, comments or suggestions? Email me at cfn_ms@hotmail.com

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