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2011 CFN SEC Week 7 Fearless Predictions

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 13, 2011


2011 CFN SEC Week 6 Game Recaps, Standings, Roundup, & More

2011 SEC Week 7

East Florida | Georgia | Kentucky | South Carolina | Tennessee | Vanderbilt 
West Alabama | Arkansas | Auburn | LSU | Ole Miss | Miss State 
SEC Roundup: Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6

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Week 7 Fearless Predictions 
South Carolina at Mississippi State
LSU at Tennessee
Alabama at Ole Miss
Florida at Auburn
Georgia at Vanderbilt

East
Conf. Overall
S. Carolina 3 1 5 1
Georgia 3 1 4 2
Florida 2 2 4 2
Vandy 1 2 3 2
Tenn. 0 2 3 2
Kentucky 0 3 2 4
West
  Conf. Overall
Alabama 3 0 6 0
LSU 3 0 6 0
Auburn 2 1 4 2
Arkansas 1 1 5 1
Ole Miss 0 2 2 3
Miss St 0 3 3 3
Players of the Week
9/3 S Tyrann Mathieu, LSU
9/10 RB Marcus Lattimore, South Carolina
9/17 RB Marcus Lattimore, South Carolina
9/24 RB Jeff Demps, Florida
10/1 QB Tyler Wilson, Ark
10/8 QB Connor Shaw, USC

Games of the Week
9/3 at Auburn 42 … Utah State 38  
9/10 at Auburn 41 ... Mississippi State 34
9/17 at Clemson 38 … Auburn 24
9/24 at Mississippi State 26 … Louisiana Tech 20 OT
10/1 Arkansas 42 ... Texas A&M 38
10/8 Georgia 20 … at Tennessee 12
Player of the Week
South Carolina QB Connor Shaw completed 26-of-39 passes for 311 yards and four scores in the win over Kentucky..

Three Best Games of the Week
1. Georgia 20 … at Tennessee 12
2. at Arkansas 38 … Auburn 14
3. Mississippi State 21 … at UAB 3

Alabama ... at Alabama 34 … Vanderbilt 0 … Vanderbilt never had a chance. The Tide defense was dominant from the start, allowing just 41 yards on the ground, while the offense did a nice job of not screwing anything up. It might have taken a half to get everything rolling, but there wasn’t any chance of an upset. Vandy is great at forcing takeaways, and the only way Bama would be in any sort of trouble was with a slew of turnovers. AJ McCarron was nearly perfect, completing 23-of-30 passes for 237 yards and four scores, and Trent Richardon ran well getting just 107 yards on 19 carries. The D didn’t come up with any sacks, but it camped out in the backfield and generated solid pressure all game long. Everything is working at a high level, and after the obligatory win over Ole Miss, then the fun finally begins with Tennessee and the showdown against LSU. A little more of a pass rush would be still be nice, but that’s nitpicking.

Arkansas ... at Arkansas 38 … Auburn 14 … The much-maligned defense that got steamrolled over by Alabama and Texas A&M showed up when it needed to the most. Auburn might have run for 291 yards, and Michael Dyer was great, but the ground game didn’t control the game enough to overcome the big plays from the Hog offense and another strong game from Tyler Wilson. On fire, Wilson couldn’t miss for a long stretch to take a close game and put it away, but after giving up 14 first quarter points, this game is about the Hog D. Jerry Franklin came up with 5 tackles and Alonzo Highsmith made 12, while Tramain Thomas was fantastic with nine tackles and two picks. The offense only lost one turnover, and that’s a big, big deal on the road against Ole Miss and Vanderbilt. The only way the Hogs lose those two is by giving it away.

Auburn ... at Arkansas 38 … Auburn 14 … Is this now the Kiehl Frazier era? It might be too early to panic, but the Hogs didn’t fear the Auburn passing game at all after Barrett Trotter completed just 6-of-19 passes for 81 yards and a pick. When the Tigers become really, really good again, it’ll be Frazier, a freshman, under center, and while he completed 2-of-4 passes for 18 yards and two interceptions, he ran for 54 yards and a score. Michael Dyer is the offense, running for 112 yards and a score, but he needs help from a passing game to take the linebackers and safeties away. With two straight bad offensive games in the SEC, going against Florida and LSU over the next two weeks isn’t a plus to turn things around unless Trotter and/or Frazier are far better.

Florida ... at LSU 41 … Florida 11 … Florida tried to get creative and tried to see if the old spread might have worked, but without a quarterback, there wasn’t any hope. The LSU defense didn’t respect the deep ball at all, zeroed in against the run, and the game was over before it began. As bad as the offense was, the defense didn’t do anything to pick up the slack getting steamrolled over up front and getting burned badly deep early and short late. Throw in the 12 penalties and the mere nine first downs and 213 yards of total offense, and this game was a wash. There’s still time, though. The Gators still control their own destiny in the SEC, but they need to play stronger against the run and they have to get far more physical in a big hurry.

Georgia ... Georgia 20 … at Tennessee 12 … The schedule might have a lot to do with it, but the Dawgs are playing hard and playing well over the four game winning streak. All of a sudden, at 3-1, they’re in a position to take the SEC East if they can get through the Vanderbilt defense and the Florida showdown. The offense might not have hummed against the Vols, but the defense dialed it up a few notches to get in the backfield on a regular basis coming up with big play after big play against the run, while Isaiah Crowell got past some bumps to crank out a hard 51 yards and two scores to drive the offense late. Michael Gilyard came up with an eye-opening game with 12 tackles, a sack, and a forced fumble, but it was a good overall game by the entire defense. There weren’t any turnovers to give the Vols a break, and there can’t be against a Vandy team that can’t get points without takeaways.
 
Kentucky ... at South Carolina 54 … Kentucky 3 … Kentucky’s O is a mess. The offense is bad enough without turning the ball over six times, and worse yet, the defense that was so strong at times in bad situations broke down way too much against the swarming Gamecock defense. Nothing worked. The Wildcats only completed 4-of-26 passes for 17 yards with Morgan Newton accounting for all the positive production. He ran for 54 yards on 14 carries, but there wasn’t any hope with the offensive line getting destroyed by the Gamecock front four. The Jacksonville State game will be a breath of fresh air; there’s still time to salvage the season. With Mississippi State and Ole Miss up next at home in SEC play, and with Vandy still on the slate, getting to six wins is still possible, but the offense has to find something it can rely on and the line has to be night-and-day better – fast.

LSU ... at LSU 41 … Florida 11 … LSU wasn’t going to let this get interesting. It showed right away with the bomb to Rueben Randle that the game was going to be over before it could get started; it was a statement through in yet another statement game. The offensive line bullied the Florida defensive front, while the defense didn’t let the Gators do anything on a regular basis. There was the one breakdown on the 65-yard touchdown play to Andre Debose, but the LSU D only allowed 148 yards the rest of the way. The Tigers have wins over Oregon, West Virginia, and Florida, and next up is a date at Tennessee. The résumé continues to get better and better.

Ole Miss ... X ... Didn’t Play This Week

Miss State ... Mississippi State 21 … at UAB 3 … Sluggish. That’s what Mississippi State has been after a disappointing star, and being down 3-0 at the end of the first half to a team as bad as UAB is a telling sign; it’s just not happening for the offense. Chris Relf couldn’t get the offense moving well enough, and the running game that’s supposed to be able to pound on anyone in the SEC couldn’t get rolling on one of the worst teams in Conference USA. Tyler Russell was terrific in relief completing 11-of-13 passes for 166 yards and three touchdowns, while Vick Ballard did his part with 101 yards on 19 carries. Call this the letdown game after losing to Georgia tech and with South Carolina up next, but the team needs to start showing off a little bit of offensive firepower very, very soon or it’ll be a tough second half of the year.

South Carolina ... at South Carolina 54 … Kentucky 3 … Kentucky’s O is a mess. The offense is bad enough without turning the ball over six times, and worse yet, the defense that was so strong at times in bad situations broke down way too much against the swarming Gamecock defense. Nothing worked. The Wildcats only completed 4-of-26 passes for 17 yards with Morgan Newton accounting for all the positive production. He ran for 54 yards on 14 carries, but there wasn’t any hope with the offensive line getting destroyed by the Gamecock front four. The Jacksonville State game will be a breath of fresh air; there’s still time to salvage the season. With Mississippi State and Ole Miss up next at home in SEC play, and with Vandy still on the slate, getting to six wins is still possible, but the offense has to find something it can rely on and the line has to be night-and-day better – fast.

Tennessee ... Georgia 20 … at Tennessee 12 … The Vol offensive line is having a nightmare of a time. Georgia was able to get to the quarterbacks without a problem, and Tauren Poole and the backs didn’t have any room to move. Poole finished with seven yards on seven carries, and Tyler Bray and Matt Simms were hit time and again. Simms did what he could when Bray hurt his hand, but the offense needs No. 8 to have any chance going forward. Simms doesn’t push the ball down the field like Bray does, and with no running game, it’s bombs away or bust for the Tennessee attack. The defense did a good job, but it’ll have to find a way to come up with several key takeaways for the Vols to have any hope against LSU or Alabama over the next two weeks.

Vanderbilt ... Oct. 8 at Alabama 34 … Vanderbilt 0
CFN Analysis: … It’s not crime to get shut down cold by the Alabama defense. Vandy didn’t have a prayer offensively with Jordan Rodgers stepping in for Larry Smith and with neither quarterback moving the chains. The defense had to come up with a slew of big plays and takeaways for any chance to keep it interesting, and it didn’t happen. The back seven couldn’t come up with any stops on third down and the defensive front got pushed around. The pass rush was nice and there were plenty of plays in the backfield, but no takeaways. After scoring three points in two games, coming up with something on offense, anything, is a must against a hot Georgia.

Saturday, October 8

at Arkansas 38 ... Auburn 14
- Game Story, CFN Analysis, & Recap
CFN Prediction: Arkansas 41-30
Line: Arkansas -10   O/U: 63

Mississippi State 21 ... at UAB 3
- Game Story, CFN Analysis, & Recap
CFN Prediction: Mississippi State 38-14
Line: Mississippi State -17 O/U: 53

at LSU 41 ... Florida 11
- Game Story, CFN Analysis, & Recap
CFN Prediction: LSU 27-17
Line: LSU -13.5   O/U: 41

at South Carolina 54 ... Kentucky 3
- Game Story, CFN Analysis, & Recap
CFN Prediction: South Carolina 31-14
Line: South Carolina -21  O/U: 43.5

at Alabama 34 ... Vanderbilt 0
- Game Story, CFN Analysis, & Recap
CFN Prediction: Alabama 38-6
Line: Alabama -29  O/U: 41.5

Georgia 20 ... at Tennessee 12
- Game Story, CFN Analysis, & Recap
CFN Prediction: Georgia 27-23
Line: Georgia -1   O/U: 57