2011 Predictions & Game Story
Week 7 - Iowa State at Missouri
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Oct. 15 at Missouri 52 ... Iowa State 17
CFN Analysis: Missouri needed to show off a little bit of offensive muscle, and it did in a big way with James Franklin overcoming two picks and getting the passing game rolling, while Henry Josey ripped off close to seven yards per carry running for 129 yards and a score while also coming up with a few nice kickoff returns. Getting tight end Michael Egnew involved way a plus, getting him the ball six times for 105 yards and a score. The three turnovers weren’t a plus, but the defense did a great job and there weren’t any penalties in a cathartic blowout. The offense and Franklin have to stay red hot with Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, and Baylor coming up next. The Tigers put a halt to the slide after two straight losses, but Iowa State isn’t Oklahoma State.
The Cyclone defense couldn’t stop the big play. Missouri was able to do almost anything it wanted and came up with too many big plays against an ISU D that was bad against the pass and worse against the run. The offense couldn’t take control of the game, and after getting down early, Steele Jantz had to throw too much; ISU needs the ground game to keep the defense off the field, and it wasn’t able to do it. Kyle Van Der Kamp came up with a great game kicking the ball averaging close to 41 yards per try and giving the Tigers a long field several times. The hot start is now gone with three straight losses, and life doesn’t get any easier with Texas A&M up next.
(AP) COLUMBIA, Mo. -- James Franklin accounted for five touchdowns and Henry Josey had 129 yards rushing and a score as Missouri routed Iowa State 52-10 in its 100th homecoming game on Saturday.
Michael Egnew, T.J. Moe and Wes Kemp each had a scoring reception for Missouri (3-3, 1-2 Big 12), which scored on its first four possessions. Much of a sellout crowd of 71,004 had dispersed by the end of the Tigers' 10th straight victory at home, and their first game at Faurot Field in a month.
It was the most lopsided setback of the year for Iowa State (3-3, 0-3). A.J. Klein's 78-yard interception return for a touchdown was the lone highlight for the Cyclones, who have been outscored 54-10 in the first quarter.
Iowa State's James White was held to 61 yards on 14 carries a week after getting a career-best 148 yards against Baylor.
White had 10 yards on 10 carries in the first three quarters.
Missouri had no penalty yardage in its fifth straight victory in the series. Linebacker Luke Lambert had two fumble recoveries.
After scoring on the first four drives for a 28-3 cushion, the Tigers turned it over in the passing game the next three times but were hurt only by Klein's third career touchdown. The Tigers had 298 yards rushing one week after managing just 112 yards in a loss at No. 17 Kansas State.
Missouri defensive tackle Terrell Resonno injured his right knee in the first half and did not return. The 295-pound senior has started all 14 games the last two seasons and had 15 tackles and a sack in the first five games.
Franklin was 20 for 28 for 289 yards and three touchdowns and rushed for 84 yards on 11 carries with two touchdowns. Josey had 129 yards on 19 carries for his third 100-yard game of the year and scored in the fifth straight game.
Missouri opened the game with 10 straight runs, including Franklin's 1-yard sneak with 12:03 to go in the first quarter for its fastest first touchdown of the year. The Tigers' second score came quickly, too, after Steele Jantz fumbled on an option run and Lambert recovered at the Iowa State 38, setting up a 2-yard run by Josey.
Egnew had six catches for 105 yards. He split the defense and had an easy route to the end zone the last 20 yards on a 39-yard catch, the longest of the tight end's career, to make it 21-3 late in the first.
The Cyclones lost by 23 points in each of their first two Big 12 games.
Iowa State (3-2) at Missouri (2-3) Oct. 15, 2:00
Here’s The Deal … It’s pushing it to call this a desperate game for the two teams, but even though Big 12 title dreams are pretty much gone, the loser will be in trouble.
In the old world, starting off 0-2 in the conference wouldn’t be that big a deal in the North. There was always time to come back and be on top of the six team division, but now with a ten-team league to navigate, 0-2 is rough and 0-3 is a deathblow.
Iowa State started off hot with nice wins over Iowa and Connecticut, but it wasn’t even close against Texas and got its doors blown off by Baylor. In a great year for the Big 12, there aren’t any true layups left to count on, with Kansas the easiest games left. A loss to Missouri would put the pressure on with Texas A&M and at trip to Texas Tech up next, and with a defense that’s having problems and an offense that’s turning the ball over, the team has to start playing better in a hurry.
Missouri needs a win. Beating Miami University and Western Illinois were givens, but after losing at Kansas State last week following up the Big 12 opener at Kansas State, and with Oklahoma State and at Texas A&M up next, a loss could officially bring in the Most Disappointing Team tag. The defense has the talent to do far more, and the offense was supposed to be strong despite the loss of Blaine Gabbert, but there’s little explosion, not enough pop, and too many breakdowns in key moments. A winner in seven of the last eight matchups, the Tigers not only have to win, but they have to win in a blowout just so flex a little bit of muscle.
Why Iowa State Might Win: Where’s the dangerous Missouri offense/ It’s moving the ball up and down the field, but there isn’t a lot to show for it with 69 points coming against Western Illinois and a whole slew of problems against everyone else. There was a nice comeback against Arizona State, and the O moved late against Oklahoma, but the downfield passing game isn’t working, and despite the numbers, the running game has been spotty.
Iowa State’s pass defense hasn’t been bad. It’s one of the teams to slow down Robert Griffin and the Baylor passing game, allowing “only” 212 yards to the nation’s most efficient passer, and it kept James Vandenberg to 207 yards and two touchdowns. Missouri isn’t going to start bombing away for 300 yards this week, and the Cyclones should be able to keep the score low. However …
Why Missouri Might Win: … the Cyclone defense doesn’t pick off any passes. Iowa State has one interception on the year in 151 passes, and while the defense is doing a decent job of coming up with fumbles, the lack of big plays by the defensive backfield is a problem. On the other side of the ball, turnovers are a problem for with 15 giveaways, giving away three in the first four games before turning it over twice last week.
The ISU run defense has been the bigger issue, getting shoved around on a regular basis before getting ripped to shreds by Baylor with Griffin taking off for 107 yards and Terrance Ganaway running for 200 yards and three scores. 428 of the team’s rushing yards came against Western Illinois, but the ground game worked against Oklahoma and James Franklin is doing a good job of taking off when needed. He ran for 103 yards and two scores against Oklahoma and 84 yards against Arizona State, and after the way Griffin bolted by the Cyclone linebackers, Franklin could be in for a huge day.
What To Watch Out For: Franklin should run well, and finally, he’ll get more help from the running backs with the expected return of De’Vion Moore, who’s been struggling with an ankle injury over the last few weeks. While he’s not spectacular, he’s a steady midrange runner who can crank out hard yards and is good around the goal line. If nothing else, he adds desperately needed depth to a backfield relying on Henry Josey to carry the load when Franklin isn’t taking off. The sophomore ran for 263 yards against Western Illinois and took off for 133 yards against OU, but he was stuffed by Kansas State. He should be even better wit Moore to help with the rotation.
Iowa State sophomore Shontrelle Johnson was one of the stars of the Iowa win with 108 yards, and he followed it up with 65 yards against Connecticut. Just when it seemed like he was ready to become the workhorse star of the attack, he suffered a neck injury against Texas and was out for the Baylor loss. Enter James White, who was a good part of the rotation over the first few weeks and then took off for 148 yards and a score last week against Baylor. The 5-8, 181-pounder was a scout team star, and now he’s proving to be ready for more work.
What Will Happen: Everything will start to click for the Tigers. The return of Moore will be a big help, and Franklin will do even more with the passing game while still running for big yards when he gets his chances. Iowa State will fight and claw for three quarters, but it’ll lose three turnovers that’ll turn a close game into a walk for Mizzou.
CFN Prediction: Missouri 38 … Iowa State 24
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Missouri -14.5 O/U: 55.5
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