2011 Prediction & Game Story
Week 11, Ohio State at Purdue
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Nov. 12 at Purdue 26 … Ohio State 23 OT
CFN Analysis: That’s how you respond. Purdue bounced back from being embarrassed by Wisconsin to come up with the biggest win of the Danny Hope era. Just when it seemed like the Buckeyes had the game won in the final moments, the blocked extra point kept the game and the season alive. This is one resilient team. … That’s the Robert Marve Purdue was hoping to get, completing 10-of-13 passes for 94 yards and an interception. … The run defense tackled night-and-day better than it did against Wisconsin. The secondary was terrific at bringing the help. … All it’ll take now is a win over either Iowa at home or Indiana to go bowling. Win both, and finishing tied for second in the Leaders is possible.
This might have been the moment the Buckeyes lost the division title – at least if Wisconsin wins out – but there were plenty of bright spots. Once again, Braxton Miller looked like a franchise-maker with a flair for the dramatic and with more of a passing touch. He only completed 8-of-18 passes, but they went for 132 yards and two scores. … However, he took the sack he couldn’t take in overtime. … The lines had a rough time. The defensive front was fine, but the offensive line never established itself for the ground game. … Purdue’s defense was giving up over 400 yards per game, and OSU couldn’t hit the 300-yard mark. … Instead of thinking Leaders title, 6-6 is on the table if the Buckeyes can’t beat Penn State and Michigan.
(AP) WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. -- Robert Marve's 1-yard touchdown on a quarterback sneak in overtime gave Purdue a 26-23 win over Ohio State on Saturday.
Ohio State (6-4, 3-3 Big Ten) took the ball first in overtime, and Drew Basil's 33-yard field goal gave the Buckeyes a 23-20 lead.
Marve completed a 14-yard pass to Gary Bush on third-and-12 from the 15, then scored the game-winner on the next play.
Ohio State drove down the field trailing 20-14 in the final minutes. On a fourth-and-3 from the Purdue 13, Braxton Miller scrambled and found Jordan Hall behind the secondary for a touchdown to tie the game, but Purdue's Bruce Gaston blocked Basil's extra point try.
Purdue (5-5, 3-3) also upset Ohio State in West Lafayette in 2009.
Marve threw an interception in the final minute, but quickly redeemed himself. He stepped in for starter Caleb TerBush and completed 10 of 13 passes for 94 yards. Ralph Bolden ran for 80 yards on 18 carries for the Boilermakers.
Miller passed for 132 yards and ran for 43 yards on 16 carries.
Daniel "Boom" Herron ran for 62 yards on 18 carries as Ohio State's winning streak ended at three games.
Carson Wiggs' 19-yard field goal on Purdue's opening drive opened the scoring.
On its second possession, Purdue went 60 yards on 11 plays, and Akeem Shavers scored from 4 yards out to bump the Boilermakers' lead to 10-0. The Buckeyes were held to 11 yards and no first downs in the first quarter.
Ohio State finally got going early in the second quarter as Miller began creating passing opportunities with his ability to scramble. His 38-yard touchdown pass to Hall cut Purdue's lead to 10-7.
Marve then took the Boilermakers 88 yards on 13 plays. Bolden's 7-yard touchdown run pushed Purdue's lead to 17-7 with 3:19 left in the second quarter.
Basil missed a 50-yard field-goal try wide right as time expired, and the Boilermakers led 17-7 at the break. Purdue outgained the Buckeyes 242-97 in the first half and held the Buckeyes to 18 yards on 17 carries before the break. Herron was held to 16 yards on eight carries in the first half.
Purdue had a chance to perhaps put the Buckeyes away, but the Boilermakers went three-and-out to start the second half. Ohio State then moved right down the field, and Miller's 5-yard touchdown run cut Purdue's lead to 17-14 with 9:52 left in the third quarter.
Wiggs' 44-yard field goal with 13:06 to play put the Boilermakers up 20-14.
Ohio State (6-3) at Purdue (4-5) Nov. 12, 12:00, BTN
In 2008, Ohio State suffered a shocking 28-16 loss at Purdue that shook the program’s foundation to its very core. The week after, the Buckeye Nation was screaming that things were starting to sputter under Jim Tressel in what seemed like it might have been a marking point for a program that never lost to mediocre teams. The Buckeyes went on to win the Rose Bowl and won 18 of its next 19 games going into this year, including a 49-0 win over Purdue.
This year’s game against the Boilermakers could be another marking point. OSU has won three straight games to get back in the Big Ten title chase, and this appears to be the final relatively quiet moment in an already emotional season.
Up next – Penn State, and then Michigan. Forgetting just the football aspect of things; those two games are going to be major stories for a variety of reasons. On the field, OSU might have control of its destiny, needing to win out and needing Penn State to lose to either Nebraska or Wisconsin, to win the Leaders division. Do that, and no matter what else happened this year, football-wise, getting to the Big Ten title game would be a phenomenal success.
Purdue has lost two straight after the stunning win over Illinois, getting blown out by Michigan and Wisconsin by a combined score of 98 to 31 in games that weren’t even that close. The offense has fallen flat and the defense has been steamrolled, but bowl hopes are still alive with Iowa – who stinks on the road – up next followed up by the rivalry date at Indiana. 4-1 at home this year, Purdue might be able to make this interesting.
Why Ohio State Might Win: Run, run, run. The Boilermaker run defense is small in the linebacking corps and not active enough up front. It doesn’t get into the backfield enough to bother quarterbacks and the tackles for loss are inconsistent. Ohio State’s tandem of Braxton Miller and Dan Herron should be able to bob and weave their way through a back seven that’s been getting ripped apart over the last few weeks.
Purdue did a decent job stopping Illinois, holding it to 121 yards and two scores, but Michigan took off for 339 yards and four scores, and Wisconsin rumbled for 364 yards and six touchdowns. Denard Robinson and Russell Wilson were able to run without a problem, and Miller should hit the 75-yard mark with ease.
The Purdue offense isn’t scoring. The Boilermakers have scored more than 21 points just once in the last five games and the attack is coming up with just 367 yards per game. The Ohio State defense has had a few problems over the last couple of games against mobile quarterbacks with a defensive front that should be able to stuff the Purdue ground game.
Why Purdue Might Win: It’s not like the Ohio State offense is working. It continues to be a one-dimensional offense that managed just 55 yards through the air against Indiana and 161 yards over the last three games. The Purdue defense might not be a rock, but it did a decent job against the Penn State ground game – decent being a relative term – and it’s athletic enough in the back seven to potentially tee off on the OSU ground game. There’s no worry about the downfield pass, and while that has gone for everyone else, too, over the last few weeks, Purdue has the corners to hang with the Buckeye receivers.
Because of Miller’s mobility, the OSU offensive line is having problems allowing sacks and it’s not all that strong in pass protection, even when he stays in the pocket. No, Purdue doesn’t have a pass rush with just 12 sacks this year, but this is the game to get creative to get into the backfield on a regular basis.
What To Watch Out For: Purdue’s offense hasn’t been consistent and it’s been struggling putting points on the board, so it needs a big day from the special teams and another huge day from the kickoff return game. Raheem Mostert was brilliant against Wisconsin, returning five kickoffs for 206 yards, and he had returned three kicks for 111 yards against Penn State. The true freshman receiver and running back hasn’t caught a pass, but he has run 12 times for 101 yards and he’s starting to get used a bit more in the offense.
Ohio State hasn’t had problems with kickoff returns, either, ranking eighth in the nation averaging 26.14 yards per game thanks to Jordan Hall, but the backup running back has had problems with an ankle injury to go along with his 330 yards and two scores. Devin Smith did a nice job of filling in last week against Indiana, but he’ll always be known for being on the receiving end of the game-winning touchdown against Wisconsin. He only has ten catches on the year, but he leads the team – by far – with 227 yards and four touchdowns.
What Will Happen: Ohio State is on a roll, and while it’s not exactly dominating like it should on defense and the offense isn’t doing anything to get the ball down the field, it should be able to use the running game, let the defensive front do its job, and win on special teams. Basically, Ohio State will play Tressel Ball on the way to a fourth straight win.
CFN Prediction: Ohio State 34 … Purdue 17
Click For Latest Line From ATS: Ohio State -7.5 O/U: 45
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