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2011 Compu-Picks - College

Mr Pac Ten
Posted Dec 16, 2011


The Compu-Picks model picks the best college football lines from bowl week

Below are the bowl week picks against the spread. Unfortunately, only a handful of bowl picks this year; I may have to relax the confidence bands a bit for next season. We'll see...

Note that the confidence level is the weight assigned to each pick; a confidence level of 5 counts five times as much as a level 1 pick, for instance.

ATS Picks

Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
16 Louisiana Tech TCU 0.5 10 0 0
16 California Texas 0.5 3 0 0
16 Washington Baylor 2 9 0 0
16 Utah Georgia Tech 3 3.5 0 0
16 UCLA Illinois 2 2.5 0 0
16 Stanford Oklahoma St 0.5 3.5 0 0
16
16 This Week 0.5 0 0
16 1 0 0
16 2 0 0
16 3 0 0
16 4 0 0
16 Total 0 0
16 Season 0.5 10 9.5
16 1 11 10
16 2 8 6
16 3 6 12
16 4 4 4
16 Total 39 41.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
15
15 This Week 0.5 0 0
15 1 0 0
15 2 0 0
15 3 0 0
15 4 0 0
15 Total 0 0
15 Season 0.5 10 9.5
15 1 11 10
15 2 8 6
15 3 6 12
15 4 4 4
15 Total 39 41.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
14 South Florida West Virginia 0.5 1.5 0 0.5
14 Boise St New Mexico 4 -48.5 0 4
14 Oklahoma Oklahoma St 0.5 3.5 0 0.5
14 New Mexico St Utah St 1 14.5 1 0
14
14 This Week 0.5 0 1
14 1 1 0
14 2 0 0
14 3 0 0
14 4 0 4
14 Total 1 5
14 Season 0.5 10 9.5
14 1 11 10
14 2 8 6
14 3 6 12
14 4 4 4
14 Total 39 41.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
13 Bowling Green Buffalo 1 2 1 0
13 Kent St Temple 2 16.5 0 2
13 Ball St Toledo 2 14.5 0 2
13 UTEP Central Florida 1 10 0 1
13 Colorado St Air Force 0.5 14.5 0 0.5
13 Minnesota Illinois 1 10.5 1 0
13 Northwestern Michigan St 0.5 6.5 0 0.5
13 Nevada Utah St 1 1.5 0 1
13 Penn State Wisconsin 1 14.5 0 1
13 Rice SMU 0.5 13.5 0.5 0
13 UNLV San Diego St 0.5 16 0 0.5
13 San José St Fresno St 2 6.5 2 0
13 Kentucky Tennessee 1 7.5 1 0
13 Texas Tech Baylor 1 13.5 0 1
13 Wake Forest Vanderbilt 0.5 1.5 0 0.5
13
13 This Week 0.5 0.5 2
13 1 3 4
13 2 2 4
13 3 0 0
13 4 0 0
13 Total 5.5 10
13 Season 0.5 10 8.5
13 1 10 10
13 2 8 6
13 3 6 12
13 4 4 0
13 Total 38 36.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
12 East Carolina Central Florida 0.5 6.5 0.5 0
12 Duke Georgia Tech 1 11 1 0
12 Kansas St Texas 1 8.5 1 0
12 Louisiana Tech Nevada 0.5 7 0.5 0
12 Minnesota Northwestern 1 15.5 1 0
12 Penn State Ohio State 4 6.5 4 0
12 Southern Cal Oregon 0.5 15 0.5 0
12
12 This Week 0.5 1.5 0
12 1 3 0
12 2 0 0
12 3 0 0
12 4 4 0
12 Total 8.5 0
12 Season 0.5 9.5 6.5
12 1 7 6
12 2 6 2
12 3 6 12
12 4 4 0
12 Total 32.5 26.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
11 Auburn Georgia 3 12.5 0 3
11 Kansas Baylor 0.5 20 0.5 0
11 Duke Virginia 0.5 10 0 0
11 Hawai`i Nevada 1 15 1 0
11 Kentucky Vanderbilt 1 13.5 0 1
11 Louisiana-Lafayette Arkansas St 3 11 3 0
11 Michigan Illinois 0.5 1 0.5 0
11 Navy SMU 0.5 8.5 0.5 0
11 Penn State Nebraska 0.5 3.5 0.5 0
11 North Texas Troy 3 8 3 0
11 Purdue Ohio State 0.5 7 0.5 0
11 Oregon St California 0.5 8.5 0 0.5
11 Pittsburgh Louisville 0.5 2.5 0.5 0
11 Rice Northwestern 1 16.5 0 1
11 Kansas St Texas A&M 2 4.5 2 0
11 Memphis Alabama-Birmingham 0.5 5 0 0.5
11 UCLA Utah 0.5 7 0 0.5
11 Wyoming Air Force 2 16 2 0
11 LSU Western Kentucky 2 -41.5 0 2
11
11 This Week 0.5 3 1.5
11 1 1 2
11 2 4 2
11 3 6 3
11 4 0 0
11 Total 14 8.5
11 Season 0.5 8 6.5
11 1 4 6
11 2 6 2
11 3 6 12
11 4 0 0
11 Total 24 26.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
10 Tulsa Central Florida 1 1.5 1 0
10 Louisiana Tech Fresno St 0.5 3 0.5 0
10 LSU Alabama 0.5 4.5 0.5 0
10 South Carolina Arkansas 1 5.5 0 1
10 Bowling Green Northern Illinois 0.5 5 0 0.5
10
10 This Week 0.5 1 0.5
10 1 1 1
10 2 0 0
10 3 0 0
10 4 0 0
10 Total 2 1.5
10 Season 0.5 5 5
10 1 3 4
10 2 2 0
10 3 0 9
10 4 0 0
10 Total 10 18
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
9 New Mexico Air Force 3 30.5 0 3
9 UCLA California 0.5 4.5 0.5 0
9 Minnesota Iowa 0.5 14.5 0.5 0
9 Memphis Central Florida 0.5 28.5 0 0.5
9 Kansas St Oklahoma 0.5 13 0 0.5
9 Syracuse Louisville 3 3 0 3
9 Oregon Washington St 0.5 -34.5 0 0.5
9 Rutgers West Virginia 0.5 6.5 0 0.5
9 Western Kentucky Louisiana-Monroe 1 6 1 0
9
9 This Week 0.5 1 2
9 1 1 0
9 2 0 0
9 3 0 6
9 4 0 0
9 Total 2 8
9 Season 0.5 4 4.5
9 1 2 3
9 2 2 0
9 3 0 9
9 4 0 0
9 Total 8 16.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
8 UCLA Arizona 1 4.5 0 1
8 Rutgers Louisville 4 2 0 0
8 Indiana Iowa 0.5 23.5 0.5 0
8 North Texas Louisiana-Monroe 0.5 6 0.5 0
8 Louisiana Tech Utah St 0.5 6.5 0.5 0
8 Utah California 0.5 3 0 0.5
8
8 This Week 0.5 1.5 0.5
8 1 0 1
8 2 0 0
8 3 0 0
8 4 0 0
8 Total 1.5 1.5
8 Season 0.5 3 2.5
8 1 1 3
8 2 2 0
8 3 0 3
8 4 0 0
8 Total 6 8.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
7 Boise St Colorado St 0.5 -31.5 0.5 0
7 Eastern Michigan Central Michigan 1 12.5 1 0
7 New Mexico St Idaho 0.5 -1 0.5 0
7 Kent St Miami OH 1 3.5 0 1
7 Michigan Michigan St 0.5 2 0 0.5
7 Rice Marshall 0.5 4.5 0.5 0
7 Toledo Bowling Green 0.5 -7 0 0
7 Tulsa Alabama-Birmingham 1 -20.5 0 1
7 Wake Forest Virginia Tech 0.5 7 0 0.5
7 Florida Int'l Arkansas St 3 3 0 3
7
7 This Week 0.5 1.5 1
7 1 1 2
7 2 0 0
7 3 0 3
7 4 0 0
7 Total 2.5 6
7 Season 0.5 1.5 2
7 1 1 2
7 2 2 0
7 3 0 3
7 4 0 0
7 Total 4.5 7
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
6 Kent St Northern Illinois 0.5 17 0 0.5
6 Ball St Temple 0.5 8.5 0 0.5
6 Louisiana-Lafayette Troy 2 6.5 2 0
6
6 This Week 0.5 0 1
6 1 0 0
6 2 2 0
6 3 0 0
6 4 0 0
6 Total 2 1
6 Season 0.5 0 1
6 1 0 0
6 2 2 0
6 3 0 0
6 4 0 0
6 Total 2 1
There are a few important notes and caveats I need to make about this model:

1) Compu-Picks does not endorse implicitly or explicitly any form of illegal gambling. Compu-Picks is intended to be used for entertainment purposes only.

2) No guarantee or warranty is offered or implied by Compu-Picks for any information provided and/or predictions made.

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