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2011 Compu-Picks - NFL

Mr Pac Ten
Posted Jan 7, 2012


The Compu-Picks model picks the best NFL lines from week eighteen

Below are the week 18 picks against the spread.

Note that the confidence level is the weight assigned to each pick; a confidence level of 4 counts four times as much as a level 1 pick, and eight times as much as a level 0.5 pick, for instance.

ATS Picks

Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
18 CIN HOU 3 4 0 0
18 DET NO 4 10.5 0 0
18 ATL NYG 3 3 0 0
18 DEN PIT 2 9 0 0
18 This Week 0.5 0.0 0.0
18 1 0 0
18 2 0 0
18 3 0 0
18 4 0 0
18 Total 0.0 0.0
18 Season 0.5 14.5 10.5
18 1 29 18
18 2 20 24
18 3 27 24
18 4 36 40
18 Total 126.5 116.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
17 CAR NO 2 7.5 0 2
17 BUF NE 4 10.5 0 4
17 CHI MIN 3 1 3 0
17 NYJ MIA 4 3 4 0
17 STL SF 1 10.5 1 0
17 GB DET 4 4 4 0
17 TB ATL 2 10.5 0 2
17 BAL CIN 0.5 -1 0.5 0
17 PIT CLE 1 -6.5 0 1
17 DAL NYG 3 3 0 3
17 WAS PHI 2 9 0 2
17 JAC IND 0.5 -3.5 0.5 0
17 HOU TEN 1 1 0 0
17 SEA ARI 3 3 0 0
17 KC DEN 1 3 1 0
17 SD OAK 4 3 4 0
17 This Week 0.5 1.0 0.0
17 1 2 1
17 2 0 6
17 3 3 3
17 4 12 4
17 Total 18.0 14.0
17 Season 0.5 14.5 10.5
17 1 29 18
17 2 20 24
17 3 27 24
17 4 36 40
17 Total 126.5 116.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
16 HOU IND 0.5 -6 0 0.5
16 OAK KC 0.5 1 0.5 0
16 JAC TEN 4 7.5 4 0
16 MIA NE 2 9.5 2 0
16 CIN ARI 1 -4.5 1 0
16 BUF DEN 2 2.5 2 0
16 STL PIT 0.5 12 0 0.5
16 NYG NYJ 0.5 3 0.5 0
16 MIN WAS 1 7 1 0
16 TB CAR 4 9 0 4
16 CLE BAL 1 12.5 1 0
16 DET SD 0.5 -1 0.5 0
16 DAL PHI 0.5 -1 0 0.5
16 SF SEA 1 -1 1 0
16 CHI GB 4 11.5 0 4
16 ATL NO 4 7 0 4
16 This Week 0.5 1.5 1.5
16 1 4 0
16 2 4 0
16 3 0 0
16 4 4 12
16 Total 13.5 13.5
16 Season 0.5 13.5 10.5
16 1 27 17
16 2 20 18
16 3 24 21
16 4 24 36
16 Total 108.5 102.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
15 JAC ATL 4 11.5 0 4
15 TB DAL 0.5 7 0 0.5
15 CAR HOU 1 6 1 0
15 BUF MIA 0.5 -1 0 0.5
15 CHI SEA 1 -3.5 0 1
15 MIN NO 4 9 0 4
15 CIN STL 0.5 -7 0 0
15 IND TEN 0.5 7 0.5 0
15 KC GB 4 13.5 4 0
15 DET OAK 2 -1 0 0
15 DEN NE 3 9 0 3
15 NYJ PHI 4 3 0 4
15 CLE ARI 4 6.5 4 0
15 SD BAL 0.5 1.5 0.5 0
15 PIT SF 4 3 0 4
15
15 This Week 0.5 1.0 1.0
15 1 1 1
15 2 0 0
15 3 0 3
15 4 8 16
15 Total 10.0 21.0
15 Season 0.5 12.0 9.0
15 1 23 17
15 2 16 18
15 3 24 21
15 4 20 24
15 Total 95.0 89.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
14 CLE PIT 2 14 2 0
14 KC NYJ 3 10.5 0 3
14 JAC TB 3 2.5 3 0
14 WAS NE 0.5 9 0.5 0
14 ATL CAR 0.5 -3 0.5 0
14 IND BAL 1 16.5 1 0
14 PHI MIA 3 3 3 0
14 MIN DET 1 10 1 0
14 TEN NO 2 3.5 0 2
14 OAK GB 2 11 0 2
14 HOU CIN 2 3 2 0
14 CHI DEN 4 3.5 4 0
14 SF ARI 0.5 -3.5 0 0.5
14 BUF SD 3 7.5 0 3
14 NYG DAL 1 3.5 1 0
14 STL SEA 3 9.5 0 3
14 This Week 0.5 1.0 0.5
14 1 3 0
14 2 4 4
14 3 6 9
14 4 4 0
14 Total 18.0 13.5
14 Season 0.5 11.0 8.0
14 1 22 16
14 2 16 18
14 3 24 18
14 4 12 8
14 Total 85.0 68.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
13 SEA PHI 0.5 3 0.5 0
13 CIN PIT 2 6.5 0 2
13 HOU ATL 4 3 4 0
13 WAS NYJ 0.5 3 0 0.5
13 DET NO 4 9 0 4
13 TEN BUF 0.5 1 0.5 0
13 CHI KC 0.5 -7 0 0.5
13 CLE BAL 0.5 6.5 0 0.5
13 DAL ARI 1 -4.5 0 1
13 NYG GB 1 7 1 0
13 STL SF 1 13 0 1
13 IND NE 0.5 20.5 0.5 0
13 JAC SD 2 3 0 2
13
13 This Week 0.5 1.5 1.5
13 1 1 2
13 2 0 4
13 3 0 0
13 4 4 4
13 Total 6.5 11.5
13 Season 0.5 10.0 7.5
13 1 19 16
13 2 12 14
13 3 18 9
13 4 8 8
13 Total 67.0 54.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
12 DET GB 1 6.5 0 1
12 MIA DAL 1 7 1 0
12 HOU JAC 0.5 -3.5 0.5 0
12 BUF NYJ 3 9 3 0
12 CLE CIN 1 9 1 0
12 MIN ATL 2 9.5 0 2
12 ARI STL 1 1.5 1 0
12 IND CAR 2 3.5 0 2
12 CHI OAK 4 4 0 4
12 WAS SEA 0.5 3.5 0.5 0
12 DEN SD 2 6.5 2 0
12 PHI NE 2 3 0 2
12 KC PIT 1 10.5 1 0
12 NYG NO 1 7 0 1
12
12 This Week 0.5 1.0 0.0
12 1 4 2
12 2 2 6
12 3 3 0
12 4 0 4
12 Total 10.0 12.0
12 Season 0.5 8.5 6.0
12 1 18 14
12 2 12 10
12 3 18 9
12 4 4 4
12 Total 60.5 43.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
11 DEN NYJ 1 6 1 0
11 TB GB 3 14 3 0
11 DET CAR 1 -7 1 0
11 JAC CLE 1 1 0 1
11 TEN ATL 2 6 0 0
11 OAK MIN 0.5 -1 0.5 0
11 BUF MIA 1 1 0 1
11 WAS DAL 2 7.5 2 0
11 CIN BAL 1 7 0 0
11 ARI SF 1 9.5 0 1
11 SEA STL 1 1 1 0
11 SD CHI 0.5 3.5 0 0.5
11 PHI NYG 3 4.5 3 0
11 KC NE 0.5 14.5 0 0.5
11
11 This Week 0.5 0.5 1.0
11 1 3 3
11 2 2 0
11 3 6 0
11 4 0 0
11 Total 11.5 4.0
11 Season 0.5 7.5 6.0
11 1 14 12
11 2 10 4
11 3 15 9
11 4 4 0
11 Total 50.5 31.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
10 OAK SD 0.5 7 0.5 0
10 ARI PHI 3 14 3 0
10 TEN CAR 1 3.5 1 0
10 TB HOU 1 3.5 0 1
10 WAS MIA 1 4 0 1
10 JAC IND 0.5 -3 0.5 0
10 DEN KC 2 3.5 2 0
10 BUF DAL 3 5.5 0 3
10 DET CHI 3 2.5 0 3
10 ATL NO 0.5 1 0 0.5
10 STL CLE 0.5 2.5 0.5 0
10 CIN PIT 1 3 0 1
10 BAL SEA 0.5 -6.5 0 0.5
10 NYG SF 0.5 3.5 0 0.5
10 NE NYJ 0.5 1 0.5 0
10 MIN GB 1 13 0 1
10 This Week 0.5 2.0 1.5
10 1 1 4
10 2 2 0
10 3 3 6
10 4 0 0
10 Total 8.0 11.5
10 Season 0.5 7.0 5.0
10 1 11 9
10 2 8 4
10 3 9 9
10 4 4 0
10 Total 39.0 27.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
9 MIA KC 1 4 1 0
9 ATL IND 0.5 -7 0.5 0
9 TB NO 2 9 0 2
9 BUF NYJ 0.5 -1 0 0.5
9 SEA DAL 3 11.5 3 0
9 CLE HOU 3 10.5 0 3
9 SF WAS 0.5 -3.5 0.5 0
9 CIN TEN 2 3 2 0
9 DEN OAK 0.5 7 0.5 0
9 GB SD 0.5 -5.5 0.5 0
9 BAL PIT 1 3 1 0
9 CHI PHI 4 9 4 0
9
9
9
9
9 This Week 0.5 2.0 0.5
9 1 2 0
9 2 2 2
9 3 3 3
9 4 4 0
9 Total 13.0 5.5
9 Season 0.5 5.0 3.5
9 1 10 5
9 2 6 4
9 3 6 3
9 4 4 0
9 Total 31.0 15.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
8 ARI BAL 1 12.5 1 0
8 MIN CAR 1 3.5 1 0
8 MIA NYG 2 9.5 2 0
8 STL NO 0.5 13.5 0.5 0
8 IND TEN 1 9 0 1
8 DET DEN 3 -1 3 0
8 BUF WAS 1 -5.5 1 0
8 CIN SEA 0.5 -1 0.5 0
8 SF CLE 1 -9 1 0
8 NE PIT 0.5 -3 0 0.5
8 DAL PHI 2 3.5 0 2
8 KC SD 1 3.5 1 0
8
8 This Week 0.5 1.0 0.5
8 1 5 1
8 2 2 2
8 3 3 0
8 4 0 0
8 Total 11.0 3.5
8 Season 0.5 3.0 3.0
8 1 8 5
8 2 4 2
8 3 3 0
8 4 0 0
8 Total 18.0 10.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
7 NYJ SD 1 1 1 0
7 CHI TB 0.5 -1 0.5 0
7 WAS CAR 1 1 0 1
7 DET ATL 1 -3.5 0 1
7 SEA CLE 2 3 0 0
7 DEN MIA 2 1 2 0
7 HOU TEN 0.5 3 0.5 0
7 OAK KC 1 -4 0 1
7 ARI PIT 0.5 3.5 0 0.5
7 STL DAL 0.5 13 0 0.5
7 IND NO 0.5 13.5 0 0.5
7 BAL JAC 0.5 -9 0 0.5
7
7 This Week 0.5 1.0 2.0
7 1 1 3
7 2 2 0
7 3 0 0
7 4 0 0
7 Total 4.0 5.0
7 Season 0.5 2.0 2.5
7 1 3 4
7 2 2 0
7 3 0 0
7 4 0 0
7 Total 7.0 6.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
6 SF DET 1 4 1 0
6 CIN IND 1 -7 1 0
6 BUF NYG 3 3 0 0
6 JAC PIT 0.5 12.5 0.5 0
6 WAS PHI 0.5 2.5 0 0.5
6 NO TB 1 -4.5 0 1
6 CHI MIN 0.5 -1 0.5 0
6
6 This Week 0.5 1.0 0.5
6 1 2 1
6 2 0 0
6 3 0 0
6 4 0 0
6 Total 3.0 1.5
6 Season 0.5 1.0 0.5
6 1 2 1
6 2 0 0
6 3 0 0
6 4 0 0
6 Total 3.0 1.5

There are a few important notes and caveats I need to make about this model:

1) Compu-Picks does not endorse implicitly or explicitly any form of illegal gambling. Compu-Picks is intended to be used for entertainment purposes only.

2) No guarantee or warranty is offered or implied by Compu-Picks for any information provided and/or predictions made.

2011 Compu-Picks Blog

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