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Compu-Picks: 2011 - How it Did Part 2

Mr Pac Ten
Posted Jan 20, 2012


2011 Compu-Picks 2011 Review - How it Did, Part Two: Reviewing Compu-Picks' selections against the lines

As you may recall, before the season started, I posted three different sets of picks against Vegas/offshore win totals: the Hilton opening lines, the Greek lines, and 5Dimes Lines. The results of those picks are shown below:

Hilton Open

Team Over/Under Pick Confidence Wins Losses
Florida State 9.5 Over 1 0 1
Miami (Florida) 8 Under 3 3 0
Virginia Tech 10 Under 1 0 1
Missouri 7.5 Over 1 0 1
Texas 8 Under 1 1 0
Michigan 7 Under 1 0 1
Michigan State 7.5 Over 1 1 0
Penn State 7.5 Over 1 1 0
Wisconsin 9.5 Under 2 0 2
Brigham Young 8.5 Over 1 1 0
Notre Dame 8.5 Over 1 0 1
Texas Christian 9 Over 2 2 0
Oregon State 6.5 Under 2 2 0
Utah 7.5 Over 1 0 1
Florida 7.5 Under 2 2 0
Georgia 8.5 Under 4 0 4
South Carolina 9 Over 1 1 0
Tennessee 6.5 Over 2 0 2
Auburn 6 Over 3 3 0
Louisiana State 9.5 Under 3 0 3
Mississippi State 7.5 Under 1 1 0
Subtotal 1 6 6
2 6 4
3 6 3
4 0 4
Total 18 17

The Greek

Team Over/Under Pick Confidence Wins Losses
Clemson 7 Under 1 0 1
Georgia Tech 6 Over 1 1 0
Miami (Florida) 8 Under 3 3 0
North Carolina 7.5 Over 1 0 1
Virginia Tech 10 Under 1 0 1
Baylor 6.5 Under 4 0 4
Texas 8.5 Under 2 2 0
Iowa 8 Under 3 3 0
Michigan 7 Under 1 0 1
Michigan State 7 Over 2 2 0
Nebraska 10 Under 1 1 0
Ohio State 9 Over 2 0 2
Wisconsin 9 Under 1 0 1
Boise State 10 Over 1 1 0
Texas Christian 9 Over 2 2 0
Oregon 9.5 Over 1 1 0
Oregon State 7 Under 3 3 0
Stanford 8.5 Over 1 1 0
Arizona 6.5 Under 1 1 0
UCLA 5.5 Over 3 3 0
Florida 8 Under 3 3 0
Georgia 8 Under 3 0 3
Kentucky 6 Over 1 0 1
South Carolina 9 Over 1 1 0
Tennessee 6.5 Over 2 0 2
Auburn 6.5 Over 2 2 0
Louisiana State 9.5 Under 3 0 3
Subtotal 1 7 6
2 8 4
3 15 6
4 0 4
Total 30 20

5Dimes

Team Over/Under Pick Confidence Wins Losses
Florida State 9.5 Over 1 0 1
Miami (Florida) 8 Under 3 3 0
Virginia Tech 10 Under 1 0 1
Kansas 3.5 Over 2 0 2
Missouri 7.5 Over 1 0 1
Texas 8 Under 1 1 0
Cincinnati 6.5 Over 2 2 0
Pittsburgh 8.5 Under 3 3 0
Rutgers 6.5 Under 3 0 3
Michigan 7 Under 1 0 1
Michigan State 7.5 Over 1 1 0
Penn State 7.5 Over 1 1 0
Wisconsin 9.5 Under 2 0 2
Brigham Young 8.5 Over 1 1 0
Notre Dame 8.5 Over 1 0 1
Texas Christian 9 Over 2 2 0
Oregon State 6.5 Under 2 2 0
Washington 6.5 Under 1 0 1
Utah 7.5 Over 1 0 1
Florida 7.5 Under 2 2 0
Georgia 8.5 Under 4 0 4
South Carolina 9 Over 1 1 0
Tennessee 6.5 Over 2 0 2
Auburn 6 Over 3 3 0
Louisiana State 9.5 Under 3 0 3
Mississippi 4.5 Over 2 0 2
Mississippi State 7.5 Under 1 1 0
Subtotal 1 6 7
2 8 8
3 9 6
4 0 4
Total 23 25

Overall, I was a bit happier with this than I was with the record projection comparison. Here, it didn't do fantastic, but the overall record between the three pick sets was a pretty respectable 71-62 (53.4%), decently above the 52.4% needed to break even given -110 lines. As with the the record projection comparison, I expect to do better in the future for these picks, but it's a pretty decent start.

There are a few important notes and caveats I need to make about this model:

1) Compu-Picks does not endorse implicitly or explicitly any form of illegal gambling. Compu-Picks is intended to be used for entertainment purposes only.

2) No guarantee or warranty is offered or implied by Compu-Picks for any information provided and/or predictions made.

2011 Compu-Picks Blog

Questions, comments or suggestions? Email me at cfn_ms@hotmail.com

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