Week 4 - Vanderbilt at Georgia

Posted Sep 20, 2012

Week 4 CFN Fearless Prediction – Vanderbilt at Georgia

Vanderbilt (1-2) at Georgia (3-0) Sept. 22, 7:45, ESPN2

Here's The Deal: So just how good is Georgia? There's a school of thought that Bulldogs will soon belong in the same category as LSU and Alabama in the national title discussion with a strong passing game, a defense that's getting better with the return of some key players in the secondary after a slew of suspensions, and a ground game that's rumbling over everyone. The Dawgs looked great in the fourth quarter to beat Missouri a few weeks ago, and now it's time to get how with two home games – playing Tennessee next week – before leaving Athens for three weeks until November.

Vanderbilt finally got a win last week blowing past Presbyterian 58-0, but after coming achingly close to beating South Carolina to open up the year and Northwestern in a late collapse, it's been a tremendously disappointing start. That can all change in a huge hurry with a win to screw up Georgia's dream. The schedule eases up late, so if the Commodores are good enough to pull off the upset over the Dawgs, they might be good enough to come up with a big year.

Why Vanderbilt Might Win: The secondary has been terrific. Loaded with talent last season, the Commodores have to reload and did it without a problem. No. 1 in the SEC and third in the nation in pass defense, Vandy isn't giving up anything deep and has yet to allow a touchdown pass. South Carolina only managed 67 yards in the air with the pass rush rattling around quarterback Connor Shaw. Georgia is more than just Aaron Murray and the passing attack – the ground game has been terrific – but this might be the biggest test yet for the SEC's top-ranked attack.

Why Georgia Might Win: The Bulldog pass rush should fly into the Vandy backfield. The Commodore offensive line hasn't exactly been a rock so far giving up eight sacks and struggling to get the offense consistently going. The 410 rushing yards against Presbyterian last week skew the numbers; there wasn't much happening on the ground against South Carolina and Northwestern. Cranking out 200 yards through the air shouldn't be too much of a problem, but drives are going to stall because of the return of …

What To Watch Out For: Jarvis Jones. After destroying Missouri with two sacks and a pick, the All-America pass rusher sat out the Florida Atlantic game with a few bumps and bruises, most notably a groin injury. He wasn't needed against the Owls, but he's back this week fighting through the problems. He made six tackles with a tackle for loss in last year's win over Vandy, but who will he get to try to sack? Jordan Rodgers started out the year and was fine with 214 yards and a score against South Carolina and 217 with a touchdown against Northwestern, but it was Wyoming transfer Austyn Carta-Samuels who took over against Presbyterian and completed 13-of-20 passes for 195 yards and a score. Mostly, though he handed the ball off. Both quarterbacks can move and both have experience, but this game might shake out the pecking order for the rest of the year.

What Will Happen: Georgia isn't above a clunker of a quarter to make this a battle, but the team is too complete and too balanced offensively for Vanderbilt to keep up. The Commodores don't have enough offensive pop.

CFN Prediction: Georgia 31 … Vanderbilt 13
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Georgia -15.5 O/U: 55
Must Watch Rating (5 – Ray Lewis: A Football Life, 1 – Frankenweenie): 3