Week 4 – Eastern Michigan at Michigan State

Posted Sep 21, 2012

Week 4 CFN Fearless Prediction – Eastern Michigan at Michigan State

Eastern Michigan (0-3) at Michigan State (2-1) Sept. 22, 3:30, BTN

Here’s The Deal: Michigan State has to pick itself off the floor this week to get its groove back before kicking off the Big Ten season with Ohio State next week. After getting pummeled and humbled in a 20-3 loss to Notre Dame, the thought that this could be a special team is over, but that still doesn’t mean it can’t start getting more out of the passing game and the pass rush in time to dominate a weak league. Eastern Michigan is a good place to start. Eastern Michigan reverted back to being Eastern Michigan over the first three games getting blown out in ugly fashion. Losing 54-16 to Purdue is one thing, but 31-14 against Illinois State at home is a problem. If Michigan State is trying, this should be over after a few drives. But first, Michigan State has to show that it’s past the Irish.

Why Eastern Michigan Might Win: The secondary hasn’t been bad – technically. Teams have been able to run at will on the Eagle defensive front, but the secondary hasn’t been bad at keeping everyone from consistently throwing. Purdue ran wild, but the quarterbacks completed just 19-of-31 passes for 184 yards. Illinois State also failed to get anything moving deep. Michigan State’s passing game isn’t working, screwing up too much against Boise State and failing against Notre Dame. However …

Why Michigan State Might Win: Le’Veon Bell and the MSU will rumble like it’s flying through tissue paper. Nothing was happening against Notre Dame finishing with just 50 yards on 25 carries, but the Spartans should be able to pass that on their first drive against a D that gave up 392 yards and six scores to Purdue and Ball State took off for 329 yards and four touchdowns. The MSU offensive line should blow away the Eagles early on even though they’re good at getting behind the line. They’ll sell out to stop the run, and it won’t matter.

What To Watch Out For: Michigan State’s season won’t take a big jump forward until Andrew Maxwell starts to be more consistent. He threw 45 times against Notre Dame for just 187 yards, and he didn’t throw any touchdown passes. With no scoring throws against Boise State, Maxwell and the Spartan passing attack has to show it can produce against a defense with a pulse. Eastern Michigan doesn’t have that D, but MSU can’t go into the OSU game without the passing attack humming.

What Will Happen: This will be over after two drives. Eastern Michigan doesn’t have any shot at keeping this close as long as the MSU offensive line establishes itself right away. Two drives, two Bell scores, game over.

CFN Prediction: Michigan State 45 … Eastern Michigan 7
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Michigan State -33 O/U: 46.5
Must Watch Rating (5 – Ray Lewis: A Football Life, 1 – Frankenweenie): 1