Week 4 - Central Michigan at Iowa

Posted Sep 21, 2012

Week 4 CFN Fearless Prediction – Central Michigan at Iowa

Central Michigan (1-1) at Iowa (2-1) Sept. 22, 12:00 BTN

Here's The Deal: You are what your record is. Iowa has been awful so far with no passing game and little overall offense, but it came through when it needed to in the opener against Northern Illinois and found a spark to get by Northern Iowa a week after the ugly performance in the loss to Iowa State. At 2-1 and with a winnable game against Minnesota up next, getting to 4-1 is possible before going to Michigan State and having to deal with the brutal Spartan defense. Until then, the Hawkeyes have to keep progressing and improving with what needs to be a tune-up game against CMU. The Chippewas were thumped by MSU two weeks ago, and this starts a three-game road run with dates at Northern Illinois and Toledo up next to start out MAC play.

Why Central Michigan Might Win: The Chippewas aren't committing any penalties. None. CMU is the only team in America without a penalty in the first two games; it's not giving away any cheap yards. Turnovers are a problem with six so far, and the offense went nowhere against Michigan State, but the dumb mistakes aren't happening. The offensive line has been fantastic so far allowing just one sack, and Iowa isn't likely to do too much to make a big splash with a mediocre pass rush that doesn't disrupt. Fortunately for Iowa …

Why Iowa Might Win: Oh yeah, the turnovers. CMU has been disastrous when it comes to giving the ball away with three interceptions and three fumbles, while the defense isn't making up for the problems with just one pick. No, the Iowa passing game might not be exciting anyone, but the CMU secondary isn't efficient, either, ranking 117th in the nation in efficiency and not coming up with anything down the field. Iowa might be having issues, but the defense is doing its job keeping the team alive allowing just 42 points so far. CMU isn't going to explode.

What To Watch Out For: Take one down, put in another. Iowa always seems to find running backs from out of the blue who can step in and produce. After a slew of problems this offseason finding a starting running back, Damon Bullock started out the year looking like the real deal answer. He went down against Northern Iowa after getting knocked in the head, and in stepped walk-on fullback Mark Weisman who answered the call with 113 yards and three scores on 24 carries. He also showed decent hands with three catches for 33 yards. The hope is that Bullock comes back quickly, but the Hawkeyes now know they have a pounder to count on.

What Will Happen: It will be a typical Iowa game with no flash, nothing to get excited about, and great defense. It will be an easy win, but there won't be any style points.

CFN Prediction: Iowa 31 … Central Michigan 13
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Iowa -16.5 O/U: 50
Must Watch Rating (5 – Ray Lewis: A Football Life, 1 – Frankenweenie): 2