Week 5 CFN Fearless Predictions – Independent

Posted Sep 28, 2012

Week 5 CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews – Independents

Stony Brook (3-1) at Army (0-3) Sept. 29, 12:00 CBS Sports Network

Here's The Deal: Army has lost seven in a row and haven't been able to kickstart its season. As expected, the rushing offense is rolling averaging a nation-leading 399 yards per game but the defense hasn't come close to stopping anyone with San Diego State, Northern Illinois and Wake Forest all rolling at will. There's no pass rush, the run defense has been abysmal, and there hasn't been any signs so far that this will finally be the turnaround season to make Army a bigger national player. The hope is that Stony Brook provides just the thing to provide a little bit of confidence, but the Sea Wolves aren't a pushover. One of the Big South's best teams starting out 3-1, Stony Brook gave Syracuse all it could handle and should be able to run every bit as well as Army. However, most of the big stats came against Pace College.

What Will Happen: Expect the two teams to combine for over 700 yards of rushing offense. Miguel Maysonet will run for over 100 yards for the Sea Wolves, but Army quarterback Trent Steelman is supposed to be fine after suffering a rib injury and the offense will finally be able to take control of a game. It's going to be a battle, though.

CFN Prediction: Army 31 … Stony Brook 27
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) No Line O/U: No Line
Must Watch Rating (5 – Ryder Cup 2012, 1 – SNL Thursday Weekend Update): X

San Jose State (3-1) at Navy (1-2) Sept. 29, 3:30, CBS Sports Network

Here's The Deal: All of a sudden, with a very, very nice road win at San Diego State, San Jose State is looking more and more like the real deal. Head coach Mike MacIntyre has his offense working, the defense dialed in, and the team playing like a real live contender in its new spot in the Mountain West. The lone loss so far was a 20-17 fight against Stanford that now looks much better than it appeared at the time.

Navy blew away VMU last week but was awful in losses to Notre Dame and Penn State. The hope was that the more physical tone and nature this offseason was going to translate to the field, but it hasn't happened so far with the running game still trying to find its way. The defense hasn't been a bad, but it hasn't been able to overcome a slew of uncharacteristic mistakes from an offense that has lost eight fumbles and thrown two picks so far. With road games against Air Force and Central Michigan looking tough, this might be a must win to avoid an awful start.

What Will Happen: Even with star linebacker Keith Smith hurting with an ankle injury, the San Jose State defensive front will do a great job of getting into the backfield just enough to keep the Navy running game from getting started. Spartan quarterback David Fales has been red hot throwing nine touchdown passes and just two picks in the terrific start. His success will continue.

CFN Prediction: San Jose State 34 … Navy 24
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) San Jose State -2.5 O/U: 58
Must Watch Rating (5 – Ryder Cup 2012, 1 – SNL Thursday Weekend Update): 3