Week 6 – Boston College at Army

Posted Oct 3, 2012

Week 6 CFN Fearless Prediction – Boston College at Army

Boston College (1-3) at Army (0-4) Oct. 6, 12:00, CBS Sports Network

Here's The Deal: Boston College had some moments in September, but rarely the kinds that reach the bottom line. The Eagles are still 1-3, led by a head coach who's fighting for his job and about to embark on a defining three-game road trip. If the program can't pick up a tailwind away from Chestnut Hill in October, the bowl game that Frank Spaziani probably needs to survive will become increasingly out of reach. Boston College may have problems, but Army is facing an all-out crisis. The Black Knights' eighth straight loss dating back to last fall represented a low point in Rich Ellerson's four seasons at West Point. The fading Academy not only became Stony Point's first-ever FBS victim, but it wasn't even competitive in a 23-3 loss.

Why Boston College Might Win: The Eagles will look to get back on track against a dysfunctional Army team that's been dreadful on defense. The Black Knights aren't pressuring the quarterback, and currently rank 120th nationally in pass efficiency defense. It'll be no secret or surprise how Boston College plans to attack, unleashing QB Chase Rettig and the country's No. 13 passing game. The junior has played well as the catalyst of an attack that's been held below 31 points just once in the first four games. Army won't match up well with the BC receivers, like Alex Amidon, who has already caught 33 balls for 559 yards and three touchdowns.

Why Army Might Win: The Knights' triple-option is often a tricky assignment, especially when opponents have just a week to prepare. Army ranks second nationally on the ground, peppering defenses with QB Trent Steelman and his wave of backs that includes Raymond Maples, Larry Dixon and Malcolm Brown. Boston College has had problems defending the run this fall, ranking 94th nationally, while yielding 4.5 yards a carry. The Eagles linebackers, Kevin Pierre-Louis, Nick Clancy and Steele Divitto, form a physical, instinctive trio, but they'll need to be extra diligent at filling lanes and following assignments on Saturday afternoon.

What To Watch Out For: In defense of the Boston College D, it has had to deal with injuries up front in the first half of the year. An already questionable D-line hasn't gotten better following injuries to DE Kasim Edebali and DT Kaleb Ramsey. Both missed the Clemson game, but hope to return from shoulder and foot problems, respectively. If neither is able to go this weekend, it heaps added pressure on DT Dominic Appiah and DE Brian Mihalik to generate a push against the Army blocking unit.

What Will Happen: Having faced three FBS programs with a combined mark of 19-2, Boston College is looking forward to playing an inferior opponent that it can shove around. Army presents a chance to pick up win No. 2, and attempt to amass some momentum. The Eagles will move the ball through the air, with Rettig-to-Amidon connecting at least eight times and twice in the end zone. BC will have some problems with the Black Knights ground troops, but not so much that it squanders an opportunity to get out of New York with a much-needed victory.

CFN Prediction: Boston College 38 … Army 23
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Boston College -10 O/U: 57.5
Must Watch Rating (5 – Master, 1 – Trouble with the Curve): 2