Week 7 - Auburn at Ole Miss

Posted Oct 10, 2012

Week 7 Fearless Predictions & Game Preview - Auburn at Ole Miss

Auburn (1-4) at Ole Miss (3-3) Oct. 13, 12:21, SEC Network

Here's The Deal: This might be a case of two programs passing each other with Ole Miss starting to rise up under new head man Hugh Freeze and Auburn sliding on down.

The Tigers have talent and a load of potential thanks to a few big recruiting classes, but the success isn't coming with no offense, a suspect defense, and a boatload of pressure on head coach Gene Chizik after winning the national title two seasons ago. Losing to Clemson, Mississippi State and LSU wasn't bad, especially considering 12-10 battle with the other Tigers, but not being able to do much offensively at home against a dead-team-walking Arkansas squad was galling. On the plus side, there's still plenty of time and lots of winnable games left against New Mexico State, Alabama A&M and Vanderbilt, but to have any realistic hope of going bowling, the season starts now.

Ole Miss had Texas A&M dead before blowing a ten point lead in the final minutes. With a fun offense, a great running game and an aggressive defense, Freeze has made the program competitive again. It's going to take some work to get three more wins to get to a bowl – road trips to LSU and Georgia aren't going to be easy and Mississippi State is looking strong – but at least there's hope.

Why Auburn Might Win: Considering it's getting no support whatsoever from the offense, the defense hasn't been too bad. The D didn't do enough to get to Arkansas quarterback Tyler Wilson, and it only came up with one sack against Mississippi State, but getting behind the line hasn't been a problem and the run defense, after getting ripped up by Clemson in the opener, has improved. Generating a pass rush shouldn't be an issue against a struggling Rebel line that's good at opening things up for the ground game but gives up way too many sacks.

Why Ole Miss Might Win: The Auburn offense can't find anything that works. The running game is bad, the passing attack worse and the O line is having way too many issues blocking anyone. How bad is it going for the Tigers? They have only gone over 400 total yards once – the win over ULM – and was held to just 40 yards rushing by Arkansas. On the other side, the Ole Miss pass rush has been stellar and should be able to bother the Tiger quarterbacks that were beaten, battered and bruised last week by the Hogs. Arkansas came up with a whopping eight sacks, and now Auburn has to watch out for pressure from all sides. 16 different Rebels have registered at least half a sack.

What To Watch Out For: And the Auburn quarterback will be … ? Kiehl Frazier completed 9-of-14 passes for 118 yards with a pick against the Hogs, but the offense wasn't moving. Enter Clint Moseley, who doesn't have Frazier's talent but has more experience to rely on. He completed 13-of-21 passes for 163 yards and one score with two picks in the loss, but the coaching staff has to find something that works. The two quarterbacks have worked with the first team this week, and each might play.

What Will Happen: The woes continue for Auburn. The Rebel defensive front will own the Tiger offensive line shutting everything down. The Ole Miss offense won't be stellar, but it'll come up with a few early scores to make the Tigers press.

CFN Prediction: Ole Miss 27 … Auburn 17
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Auburn -6 O/U: 49
Must Watch Rating (5 – Argo, 1 – Pitch Perfect): 2