Week 7 - UAB at Houston

Posted Oct 11, 2012

Week 7 Fearless Predictions & Game Preview - UAB at Houston

UAB (1-4) at Houston (2-3) Oct. 13, 12:00, FSN

Here's The Deal: The worst seemingly behind it, Houston feels back-to-back wins have them poised to make a run at bowl eligibility and possibly top honors in the West Division of Conference USA. Sure, it's early in the resurgence, but the once-0-3 Cougars did start to showcase a little more offensive pop in recent defeats of Rice and North Texas. UAB is coming off its own win over Southeastern Louisiana, 52-3. And not just any win. It was the first victory in the head coaching career of Garrick McGee, a small stepping stone that the staff is hoping to build upon in the weeks ahead.

Why UAB Might Win: The Blazers' rout of an FCS team actually began in September with moral victories against Ohio State and Tulsa. The offense has begun to rally around redshirt freshman QB Austin Brown, who has sparked the attack over the last two games. In Jackie Williams and Jamarcus Nelson, he has access to a pair of big-play receivers capable of getting behind a beatable Houston secondary.

Why Houston Might Win: With the Cougars heating up on offense, scoring 79 points over the last two games, the program has started to play with a lot more confidence as a whole. QB David Piland has shaken off his disastrous performance at UCLA on Sept. 15, spreading the ball around to receivers Daniel Spencer, Dewayne Peace, Deontay Greenberry and Larry McDuffey. Greenberry and McDuffey are rookies who are going to catch a lot of balls in Space City.

What To Watch Out For: Houston Charles Sims is a Conference USA back trapped in a Big 12 body. Back at full strength, he's gone on a tear over the last two weeks, rushing for 368 yards, catching nine balls for 102 yards and scoring four times. He's a versatile athlete, with the speed to snap off long runs and the hands to be an effective option on dump-offs. He'll have the attention of UAB LB Marvin Burdette, but it'll take a gang of players to stop No. 5.

What Will Happen: Although UAB is clearly heading in the right direction, beating a surging Houston squad will be too tall of an order, especially at Robertson Stadium. The Cougars will continue to build a head of steam on both sides of the line, moving the ball with balance, while their athletic linebackers succeed in rattling Brown into turnovers. Houston will even its record, setting the stage for an exciting second half of 2012.

CFN Prediction: Houston 38 … UAB 21
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Houston -14 O/U: 67
Must Watch Rating (5 – Argo, 1 – Pitch Perfect): 1.5