Week 8 – Georgia at Kentucky

Posted Oct 19, 2012

Week 8 Fearless Prediction & Game Analysis – Georgia at Kentucky

Georgia (5-1) at Kentucky (1-6) Oct. 20, 7:00, ESPN3

Here's The Deal: Unlike the Florida-Kentucky series, the Wildcats have had a little more luck against Georgia over the years including a win three seasons ago. This year, though, it's going to take a major upset and a total collapse from the Dawgs for any sort of an upset, but there could be a lookahead factor.

Georgia is still deep in the SEC and BCS championship chases despite the ugly 35-7 loss to South Carolina two weeks ago. While their destiny is out of their hands, needing the Gamecocks to lose again in SEC play, the Dawgs can make things very, very interesting if they can get through this week and beat Florida next week. The rest of the schedule is a breeze, so 11-1 is a lock with a good few weeks and if the defense can start to play up to its ability.

It has been a second straight disastrous season for a Wildcat team that can't find any offense and comes into the game dead last in the SEC in scoring defense. It's a young team that's fighting through a ton of injury problems, but still has brutal losses to Arkansas and Western Kentucky on the résumé. However, if the Cats could possibly come up with the upset, the rest of the schedule is manageable enough to finish strong, but first they have to show a sign of life.

Why Georgia Might Win: Kentucky doesn't have the offensive chops to take advantage of the struggling Georgia D. 113th in the nation in yards and with just 38 points in four SEC games, Kentucky can't find anything that works offensively with the running game bad and the passing attack ineffective and inconsistent. Florida and South Carolina were each able to pound away with the ground game, each ran for 200 yards and three scores, and there shouldn't be a problem for the Georgia running attack to have a bounceback day after getting shut down cold by South Carolina. Expect 200 yards without breathing hard and potentially pushing for three bills – the Kentucky linebackers are way, way too leaky.

Why Kentucky Might Win: Where is Georgia's head? The ultra-talented team got its doors blown off two weeks ago by the Gamecocks and has the monster game against Florida coming up. While coming up with a bounceback win would be nice, first the defense has to start playing much, much stronger after giving up 478 yards to Tennessee in a wild shootout and having no luck against the Gamecock ground game. Kentucky doesn't have the same sort of firepower as those two, but there have been a few decent moments – just a few – and can come out firing away. There's nothing to lose at this point, so the Cat can pull out all the stops and can try bombing on a still-emerging Dawg secondary that hasn't jelled yet.

What To Watch Out For: Expect a steady dose of Todd Gurley, Keith Marshall and Ken Malcome, who couldn't find any room to move against South Carolina but should get into a lather from the opening drive. The Kentucky secondary hasn't exactly been a strength, but the pass rush has been decent enough to get to Aaron Murray on a regular basis. The more the Dawgs run, the easier the game will be with the young backs rotating and doing all the heavy lifting. Linebacker Avery Williamson leads a group that makes a bunch of tackles, but has a problem at the point of attack.

What Will Happen: Georgia tunes up and gets out. Kentucky will hit a few haymakers to make it seem like this might be interesting, but the Dawgs will run for 300 yards and will start packing their bags for Jacksonville by the fourth quarter.

CFN Prediction: Georgia 48 … Kentucky 14
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Georgia -27.5 O/U: 58.5
Must Watch Rating (5 – Seven Psychopaths, 1 – Here Comes the Boom): 2