Week 8 – Kansas at Oklahoma

Posted Oct 19, 2012

Week 8 Fearless Prediction & Game Analysis – Kansas at Oklahoma

Kansas (1-5) at Oklahoma (4-1) Oct. 20, 7:00, FOX Sports Net

Here's The Deal: Can the Sooners be back to being the Sooners again? The gaffe against West Virginia is now well in the rearview mirror after a season-changing 63-21 obliteration over a stunningly dead Texas team, and now OU has to keep its head on the task at hand with the showdown against Notre Dame up next.

This year, a loss to the Jayhawks would be an epic collapse considering recent history. Not only has OU won the last seven games in the series, with the last loss coming in 1997, but none of them have been close. The Sooners have absolutely destroyed KU in the Bob Stoops era including a 47-17 blasting last year, but the Jayhawks have come up with a few decent performances in losses under Charlie Weis.

KU might be 1-5, but it showed up and battle Oklahoma State and gave Kansas State a push in the first half two weeks ago. However, close losses to Rice and Northern Illinois are still close losses to Rice and Northern Illinois, and it would take a major gag by the Sooners for this to be remotely close.

With four of the last six games on the road, and certain to be big underdogs the rest of the way, it'll be a shocker if KU wins another game, but beating OU would be epic and would change around the program. Oklahoma is simply going to want to get in, put up a bunch of points, and then move on to the Irish.

Why Kansas Might Win: it's the ultimate sandwich game coming between Texas and Notre Dame, and the Sooners aren't above being a little bit sleepy. They didn't show up until late against UTEP, and they never seemed to be able to find any sort of a groove against Kansas State. There aren't any major weaknesses on the Sooners – at least compared to Kansas – but there's a chance the Jayhawks could take advantage of a possibly unfocused team to win the turnover battle. KU might not be air-tight with the ball, but the defense is forcing lots and lots of mistakes with 14 takeaways. Most of them came over the first few games, but the D attacks and goes for the big play.

Why Oklahoma Might Win: The Kansas offense doesn't work. The running game isn't awful, but the points aren't coming and there's absolutely no pop down the field whatsoever. OU won't worry a lick about a deep passing game because there isn't one, so the back seven will tee off on the Kansas backfield and should prevent any long, sustained drives. On the other side of the ball, with no pass rush to worry about, the Sooner offense should be able to take its time to let plays develop. The ground game has become fantastic, and it should be able to roll at will on a Jayhawk linebacking corps that can tackle, but can't get off the field.

What To Watch Out For: Who'll be the Kansas quarterback, and will it matter? There's no real reason to play Dayne Crist in a lost season, so more and more work should end up going to redshirt freshman Michael Cummings and mobile junior Christian Matthews. Cummings doesn't look the part, but he's a baller with a big-time arm. He has seen a little bit of playing time over the last few weeks, completing 5-of-10 passes for 75 yards and a score against Oklahoma State, but there should be a bit of a quarterback rotation this week with the coaching staff looking to find someone who can put points on the board.

What Will Happen: Kansas will be jacked up, and Oklahoma will be sleepy, so it'll take about a quarter before the floodgates opened. Even sleepy, the Sooners will have few problems rolling at will on the way to yet another blowout in the series.

CFN Prediction: Oklahoma 50 … Kansas 17
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Oklahoma -35 O/U: 57.5
Must Watch Rating (5 – Seven Psychopaths, 1 – Here Comes the Boom): 2