Thought: Here Comes The BCS Disaster

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 29, 2012


Harrison Thought: Here comes the big problem with the BCS disaster


By Phil Harrison
Follow me on Twitter @PhilHarrisonCFN

Here we go again.

No we’re not talking about another avalanche of political ads or Lndsay Lohan getting flogged by the law again (though those would also be met with disdain). Instead, it’s about that time when we begin to examine the college football landscape, and begin to try and figure out this inspector-gadget-gone-rogue BCS model we’ve all been living with.

Like a bad roommate that’s been given notice, we still have to put up with the antics until the time when a new live-in can be found that can pay the rent. And just like the undesirable companion taking up space, there’s a good chance that all of the good groceries will continue to be consumed, and the wallpaper and carpet abused and ripped up on the way out the door.

So it looks to be for the 2012 college football season--again.

There’s still a lot of football to be played before this thing all shakes out, and certainly it could all take care of itself, but with the wins by Kansas State and Notre Dame over the weekend, we are closer to a demolished BCS apartment than anyone believed just a few weeks ago.

Let’s set the stage, shall we?

You know the players by now. Alabama is, well...Alabama. It has been dominant in winning each game by at least 19 points and looks to have no glaring weaknesses. Alabama would be the hands down favorite against anyone in college football and may even put up a fight in garnering odds in Vegas versus a flu-pandemic or the national deficit. Home or away. The Tide has been that good. If it wins out, there’s a seat being reserved in Miami. End of story and there would be little complaining.

But beyond that things get complicated.

Behind Alabama, you have Oregon, Kansas State, and Notre Dame. All are undefeated, and all have a little work still to do, but all are very capable of stealing their remaining opponents lunch money and running away with it.

Oregon has the toughest road with games against USC and Oregon State on the road and a ranked Stanford team at home. Still, the Ducks possess more offensive weaponry than some third world countries and might get the nod over the other two teams because of the schedule, extra game with the Pac-12 title game, and style points it will no doubt enjoy because of the pinball scores it continues to put up on a weekly basis.

Next up, there’s Notre Dame. Perhaps no college football team is as polarizing as the Golden Domers because of their independent status, special clauses and treatment in the BCS, and media love-fest. The Irish weren’t supposed to win Saturday in Norman according to most of the media, but they did.

As a result, the Irish now have three very winnable games between Pittsburgh, Boston College, and Wake Forest before a big showdown out in the sun versus Southern California. If Notre Dame can get past a mercurial USC team, there will be a lot of pressure to move it up in the human polls. It is, after all, Notre Dame. As its ranking improves in the human polls, so too does the resulting BCS “number.” Hurting the cause though is the fact that the Irish have no championship game to aid their cause when Oregon and Alabama will be playing and leaving behind further evidence for review.

Speaking of no title game, Kansas State finds itself in the same predicament. The new and improved Big Twelve has yet to re-instill a conference championship game so there’s only the regular season to state one’s case. To that end, the Wildcats still have four legitimate tests to get through with games at home against Oklahoma State and Texas, and two road tussles against TCU and Baylor. It’ll be tested, but those are not as formidable as some of the other games K-State has been able to easily traverse.

And it would be hard to find a more complete team. The Wildcats have a Heisman caliber QB pulling the strings for the fifth-ranked scoring offense, boast the thirteenth ranked scoring defense, rank third in passing efficiency, fifth in turnover margin, second in punt returns, and seventh in sacks allowed. Had enough? One word comes to mind--solid. All of that could carry Bill Snyder’s crew through the fire and into the waiting room of anticipation for the pinnacle of prizes.

Maybe, but probably only if it gets help.

That’s where we sit with the ‘fantastic four.’ All Have a legitimate gripe to crash the BCS National Championship party today. All would clearly have a legitimate gripe if still in the catbird seat when the music stops on the 2012 regular season.

As Yogi Berra once said, it’s deja vu all over again.

It’s a sad tale that has haunted the BCS on too many occasions to begin to quantify. Imagine a Notre Dame fanbase so starved for a shot to reclaim glory having to settling for a run-of-the-mill BCS game. All while winning every challenge it has been presented.

Try to put yourselves in the shoes of a Bill Snyder who has come out of retirement to repeat history and help folks find Manhattan, Kansas on a map. Miami? Yeah, that’s on a map too, and it would be a shame if the Wildcats and Collin Klein don’t get an opportunity to trace out the path of travel to Southern Florida as an undefeated team.

Don't laugh.

It’s really not all that far fetched. Not any longer. There is a real chance that the BCS is going to laugh in everyone’s faces yet again. Sure, it’ll give you the No. 1 vs. No. 2 matchup it was designed to do, but it could be at the expense of teams that aren’t No. 1 or No. 2 because of a game played via computer models and best-guess calculations.

As if we need any more reason to conclude that there’s a glitch in the matrix.

So enjoy the rest of the college football season. Maybe, just maybe USC will make this all a moot point and beat both Oregon and Notre Dame. But then again, maybe not. There are sure to be more twists and turns and breathless moments before the curtain is let down on the season. There always are. It’s what keeps us all coming back for more year after year. So maybe, just maybe we shouldn’t look too far ahead.

Yeah right, we’ve all been burned before.

Bottom line? Don’t be surprised, shocked, or in appalled when there is chaos and controversy abounding when it comes time to size up the contenders yet again. In retrospect maybe we should have all known the snake oil that was being sold when this thing was put together. To pick two teams out of the litter, you’ve got to have two teams that are clearly separated in body of work, and that just isn’t going to happen more often than not in today’s world.

It’s all great entertainment, but that doesn’t mean it’s fair. Now back to the subject at hand.

When is the BCS being evicted again? Oh that’s right, the four team playoff comes in 2014. Do us all a favor and please take it easy on the carpet and leave some groceries in the fridge. That way the team left out in the cold at the end of the season can make themselves at home--watching from the couch.

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