Week 10 – Boston College at Maryland

Posted Nov 1, 2012

Week 10 Fearless Predictions - Boston College at Maryland

Boston College (2-6) at Wake Forest (4-4) Nov. 3, 3:30, RSN

Here's The Deal: Frank Spaziani may be on the verge of being sacked by Boston College , but you wouldn't know it by how his kids performed in Week 9. Given up for dead after losing five straight games, the Eagles rallied for an exhilarating win over Maryland on a Chase Rettig touchdown pass with under a minute left. There may be no way to save Spaz's job, but BC will cling to the hope of a .500 season for as long as it's mathematically possible.

With two additional wins, including one at Virginia two weeks ago, Wake Forest has a far more realistic dream of the postseason than this week's visitor. The Demon Deacons have three extra days to prep for Boston College, and three extra days to dwell on last Thursday's 42-13 loss to Clemson. They did return WR Michael Campanaro, a top playmaker, who should produce down the stretch.

Why Boston College Might Win: A confident bunch of Eagles will have success against Wake's porous pass defense.

The Deacons just got done allowing five touchdown passes to Clemson, and are now ranked 92nd nationally in pass efficiency D. Okay, so BC isn't Clemson, but Rettig has made good development under Doug Martin, and has access to a nice collection of hands. Alex Amidon remains his preferred target, but WR Johnathan Coleman and TE Chris Pantale possess the size to create mismatches with the Wake Forest linebackers. If the Eagles can jump out to a lead, Wake Forest has not shown a penchant for rallying from behind.

Why Wake Forest Might Win: Finally, a defense that the Demon Deacons can exploit.

Wake has had major problems with the ball, but hope is on the horizon. The return of Campanaro, who has perfect chemistry with QB Tanner Price, is a major factor. So, too, will be that Boston College D, which ranks no higher than 118th nationally in run defense and sacks. The Eagles are toothless at the point of attack, which is going to afford Price the time he needs to check down his receivers, and provide RB Josh Harris with more daylight than he's seen in recent weeks.

What To Watch Out For: Neither line has played with much consistency this year for Boston College, which has also struggled in pass protection. The Eagles allowed four sacks in last week's victory, and will need to contain NG Nikita Whitlock and LB Justin Jackson in order to prevent a repeat performance. Whitlock is a low-leverage interior lineman, with great quickness, while Jackson is Wake's preferred choice to come flying off the edge on the blitz.

What Will Happen: Boston College caught a little break last week, facing Maryland QB Caleb Rowe, a true freshman with virtually no experience. Price will be a much tougher assignment for a beatable Eagles D. With Campanaro back in his arsenal, and Harris likely to be productive, Price will pilot the Deacons offense to its best game in over a month and a narrow victory to move a game above the .500 mark.

CFN Prediction: Wake Forest 24 … Boston College 20
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Wake Forest -3.5 O/U: 51.5
Must Watch Rating (5 – The Man With The Iron Fists, 1 – Election coverage until Tuesday morning): 1.5