Week 10 – Oklahoma at Iowa State

Posted Nov 1, 2012

Week 10 Fearless Predictions - Oklahoma at Iowa State


Oklahoma (5-2) at Iowa State (5-3) Nov. 3, 12:00, ABC

Here's The Deal: Can Oklahoma get past the rough loss to Notre Dame? Of course, the game didn't matter in Big 12 play, and now the Sooners need to have a short memory or else fall irretrievably behind Kansas State in the hunt for the Fiesta Bowl. However, if the Wildcats roll and end up playing for the national title, OU can position itself for a trip to Glendale by winning out and going 10-2. First the Sooners have to get past a pesky Iowa State team that came up with a nice win over Baylor to get within a game of bowl eligibility, and even though Kansas is still on the schedule, it would be a big step forward for the program to break the 13-game losing streak in the series. 1990 was the last Cyclone win over the Sooners. Before that, it was 1961.

Why Oklahoma Might Win: This is the week the Sooner passing game should be able to work more efficiently and effectively. Lost in the Notre Dame game was how Landry Jones and the OU attack moved the ball throwing for 356 yards and a score – the O couldn't turn enough drives into points. The Cyclone secondary is struggling and gives up yards in chunks, getting ripped up by Baylor last week allowing 415 yards to Oklahoma State's J.W. Walsh. Jones should hit the 300-yard mark without a problem. However …

Why Iowa State Might Win: Iowa State gives up a ton of passing yards, but it doesn't get bombed on. The back seven is good at keeping the big plays to a bare minimum. Overall, Oklahoma, despite a few splashy performances, isn't consistent. As much as everyone wants to pump up the Sooners, especially before the Notre Dame game, this isn't the sharpest of teams, and it doesn't appear able to put it all together on a weekly basis. There's not enough pressure into the backfield and the offensive line is a bit spotty in pass protection. With top running back Damien Williams hurting with an ankle problem, the attack could be even more one-dimensional than normal.

What To Watch Out For: The Cyclones suffered a devastating blow losing tackling-machine linebacker Jake Knott for the year with a shoulder injury. The team's leading tackler had 79 stops on the season with six tackles for loss, but more than that, in a game like this, his experience will be sorely missed. That means his running mate, A.J. Klein, needs to do even more. The veteran is second on the team with 67 tackles, and he's more than familiar with Oklahoma making 12 stops last year and 13 in 2010.

What Will Happen: Iowa State will be tough. Quarterback Steele Jantz is coming off a phenomenal week against Baylor, and he'll keep the momentum going with a good day, but Oklahoma will come back with a focused, solid effort with Jones being mistake-free on the way to a good bounceback win.

CFN Prediction: Oklahoma 34 … Iowa State 20
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Oklahoma -10.5 O/U: 52
Must Watch Rating (5 – The Man With The Iron Fists, 1 – Election coverage until Tuesday morning): 3.5