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Week 10 Mountain West Fearless Predictions

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Nov 2, 2012


Week 10 Mountain West Fearless Predictions & Game Previews

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Air Force (5-3) at Army (1-7) Nov. 3, 12:00, CBS Sports Network

Here’s The Deal: All of a sudden, Air Force turned into Air Force again. The Mountain West is a shadow of its former self, but Nevada is dangerous, talented, and it couldn’t slow down the Falcons in a 48-31 loss. The Air Force passing game is the nation’s most efficient, connecting when it actually tries to throw, while averaging 366.25 rushing yards per game. While the Falcons are second in the nation in rushing, Army is first, but without the passing game to help the cause.

What Will Happen: The Air Force defense is bad, but the Army D is much, much worse with no ability to slow down the run. The Falcons will come up with two long pass plays to go along with 400 rushing yards in an easy win.

CFN Prediction: Air Force 45 … Army 20
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Air Force -7.5 O/U: 61.5
New Mexico (4-5) at UNLV (1-8) Nov. 3, 4:00

Here’s The Deal: New Mexico couldn’t capitalize on its momentum with losses to Air Force and Fresno State, but there’s a good chance to still go bowling with Wyoming and Colorado State still to play along with the date against a struggling UNLV. The running game is among the best in the country, averaging over 300 yards per game, but the passing game is dead last in both yards and efficiency. The Rebels have lost five straight, but they played well over the last few weeks in losses to good Nevada and San Diego State teams. Even so, they were still defeats. However, with Colorado State, Wyoming and Hawaii ahead, it wouldn’t be a shock to close out strong starting with a victory against the Lobos.

What Will Happen: Lobo starting quarterback B.R. Holbrook is out with a shoulder injury, but it won’t be too hard for Cole Gautsche to turn around and hand off to Kasey Carrier time after time after time. UNLV is 103rd in the nation against the run and will get rumbled over early and often.

CFN Prediction: New Mexico 31 … UNLV 27
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) UNLV -4 O/U: 53
Colorado State (2-6) at Wyoming (1-7) Nov. 3, 4:30

Here’s The Deal: Wyoming can’t seem to catch any sort of a break injury-wise, and over the last few weeks it has struggled just to be competitive losing to Fresno State and Boise State by a combined score of 87 to 28. The offense has been bad, the defense worse, but now the Cowboys are playing someone their own size. Colorado State finally broke through a painful six-game losing streak with a solid win over Hawaii, and with a winnable game against UNLV up next, there’s a chance to turn things around before running into a wall against Boise State.

What Will Happen: The Ram offense won’t find enough offensive punch, and the defense won’t get into the backfield fast enough. Wyoming quarterback Brett Smith will come up with a strong, efficient game as UW finally wins a close battle.

CFN Prediction: Wyoming 31 … Colorado State 24
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Wyoming -8 O/U: 52
Hawaii (1-6) at Fresno State (6-3) Nov. 3, 7:00

Here’s The Deal: Fresno State will go through the motions for a week before finishing up with two tough final games against Nevada and Air Force, but it needs a Boise State loss just to get into the Mountain West title discussion. There shouldn’t be any problems this week against a floundering Hawaii team that’s not generating a lick of offense and has yet to beat an FBS team. How bad have things been? The Warriors were blown out by Colorado State last week.

What Will Happen: Fresno State will get up early and coast. The Hawaii offense will turn the ball over too much trying to keep up the pace, and the Bulldogs will take advantage to make a nice lead a blowout.

CFN Prediction: Fresno State 52 … Hawaii 14
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Fresno State -34.5 O/U: 60.5
San Diego State (6-3) at Boise State (7-1) Nov. 3, 10:30, CBS Sports Network

Here’s The Deal: San Diego State can turn the Mountain West race on its head with a big win over a Boise State team trying to fight for a BCS bid. The Aztecs quietly got back on track after losing to Fresno State, and then came the overtime win at Nevada to super-charge the season and putting them in a position to come up with a big win and a possible shot at the title. The offense hasn’t been stellar or consistent, but the defense has been aggressive and clutch. Will it be enough to get by the rolling Broncos?

Boise State is on a seven-game winning streak since starting out the season with a loss to Michigan State, and while it hasn’t come up with any impressive wins – getting by close calls against BYU and New Mexico and fighting past Fresno State – the wins keep piling up. Style points matter now, and while no voter will give much credit to beating a good San Diego State team, just getting another win should be good enough to keep on creeping up the rankings. With Hawaii and Colorado State up next, a win will mean a 10-1 start before going to Nevada.

What Will Happen: The Boise State ground-and-pound style will keep on working. With a defense that should stuff the mediocre Aztec offense cold, the Broncos can be ultra-conservative on offense as they grind their way to the tough, but effective, victory.

CFN Prediction: Boise State 31 … San Diego State 14
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Boise State -13.5 O/U: 50