Week 12 – Virginia Tech at Boston College

Posted Nov 14, 2012

Week 12 Fearless Prediction – Virginia Tech at Boston College

Virginia Tech (4-6) at Boston College (2-8) Nov. 17, 12:30, ACC Network

Here's The Deal: Extending its postseason streak—that's what this season has boiled down to in Blacksburg.

A model of consistency, Virginia Tech has appeared in 19 consecutive bowl games. However, making it to No. 20 in a row will require wins in the final two games. The Hokies earned a moral victory last week, hanging with ACC favorite Florida State before falling in the final minute, 28-22. The outcome didn't impact the postseason drive, but it did boost the confidence of a fragile squad.

Boston College has been playing out the string pretty since losing to Army on Oct. 6. One of the nation's worst major conference programs, with a lame duck head coach, the Eagles will spend their final two games attempting to earn wins for the seniors and valuable snaps for the underclassmen.

Why Virginia Tech Might Win: It won't take much to outscore Boston College.

The once-promising Eagles attack is averaging just 13 points over the last five games. Plus, the ground game has been nonexistent, plummeting to 118th in the country. The Hokies' edge speed will cause problems for BC, hemming in QB Chase Rettig with DE James Gayle in the backfield and CB Kyle Fuller in the secondary. Tech has the better offensive parts, headed by QB Logan Thomas and receivers Marcus Davis, Corey Fuller and Dyrell Roberts.

Why Boston College Might Win: Get Virginia Tech out of Blacksburg and it plays like a JV squad.

Not only have the Hokies dropped all five games away from home in 2012, but they've lost seven in a row on the road. The offense goes into a shell, and the D appears overmatched. Unless the run defense can finally fill lanes, Boston College is likely to pin its hopes on Rettig. The third-year starter has had moments this fall, throwing 16 touchdown passes, and connecting well with classmate Alex Amidon. In those five away games this fall, Virginia Tech has yielded 10 touchdown passes to three picks, showing obvious signs of vulnerability over the top.

What To Watch Out For: The Hokies will give the start to RB J.C. Coleman in their quest to mine a feature back out of David Wilson's successors. Virginia Tech doesn't often go a season without a 1,000-yard rusher, but that'll be the case in 2012. In fact, Thomas actually leads the team with just 435 yards. The program can take solace in the fact that both Coleman and third-leading rusher Michael Holmes are in their first year, lending hope that this season's foundation can be built upon in 2013 and beyond.

What Will Happen: Boston College: The antidote for a road losing skid.

Virginia Tech is obviously flawed, but the team did show that it had some fight left in the narrow miss with Florida State last Thursday night. There's still the lure of a postseason game, and a roster that has more playmakers than the host team. The Eagles' inability to slow down running teams will allow Coleman and Tony Gregory to put Thomas in second-and-short situations. Rettig will need more than just his arm to deliver a second win over an FBS team in 2012.

CFN Prediction: Virginia Tech 27 … Boston College 17
ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) Virginia Tech -9.5 O/U: 49
Must Watch Rating (5 – Killing Them Softly, 1 – The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2): 2