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2012 Compu-Picks - NFL

By Matthew Smith
Mr Pac Ten
Posted Dec 28, 2012

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The Compu-Picks model picks the best NFL lines from week seventeen

Below are the week 17 game picks against the spread. Please note that a number of lines have not yet been posted and may subsequently be added.

Note that the confidence level is the weight assigned to each pick; a confidence level of 4 counts four times as much as a level 1 pick, and eight times as much as a level 0.5 pick, for instance.

ATS Picks

Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
17 NYJ BUF 4 3.5 0 0
17 CIN BAL 0.5 -1 0 0
17 DET CHI 1 3 0 0
17 MIN GB 4 3.5 0 0
17 MIA NE 1 10 0 0
17 CAR NO 1 5 0 0
17 NYG PHI 0.5 -7.5 0 0
17 KC DEN 3 16 0 0
17 ARI SF 4 16.5 0 0
17 STL SEA 3 10.5 0 0
17
17
17
17
17
17
17 This Week 0.5 0.0 0.0
17 1 0 0
17 2 0 0
17 3 0 0
17 4 0 0
17 Total 0.0 0.0
17 Season 0.5 10.0 8.5
17 1 21 30
17 2 34 24
17 3 18 18
17 4 32 24
17 Total 115.0 104.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
16 DET ATL 3 3.5 0 3
16 PHI WAS 4 7 0 0
16 MIN HOU 4 9.5 4 0
16 KC IND 4 7 0 0
16 BUF MIA 1 4.5 0 1
16 CIN PIT 2 3.5 2 0
16 TB STL 0.5 -3 0 0.5
16 NO DAL 1 1 1 0
16 TEN GB 4 12.5 0 4
16 JAC NE 1 14.5 1 0
16 OAK CAR 3 9.5 0 3
16 BAL NYG 0.5 1 0.5 0
16 CLE DEN 4 13 0 4
16 SF SEA 0.5 0 0 0.5
16 CHI ARI 0.5 -5.5 0.5 0
16 SD NYJ 0.5 1 0.5 0
16 This Week 0.5 1.5 1.0
16 1 2 1
16 2 2 0
16 3 0 6
16 4 4 8
16 Total 9.5 16.0
16 Season 0.5 10.0 8.5
16 1 21 30
16 2 34 24
16 3 18 18
16 4 32 24
16 Total 115.0 104.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
15 NYG ATL 4 1 0 4
15 MIN STL 2 1 2 0
15 TB NO 2 4 0 2
15 JAC MIA 4 8 0 4
15 IND HOU 1 10 0 1
15 CHI GB 3 1 0 3
15 BAL DEN 1 3 0 1
15 CAR SD 1 3 1 0
15 BUF SEA 1 4.5 0 1
15 ARI DET 2 6.5 2 0
15 OAK KC 0.5 -3 0.5 0
15 DAL PIT 1 1 1 0
15 SF NE 4 4.5 4 0
15 NYJ TEN 0.5 1 0 0.5
15
15
15 This Week 0.5 0.5 0.5
15 1 2 3
15 2 4 2
15 3 0 3
15 4 4 8
15 Total 10.5 16.5
15 Season 0.5 8.5 7.5
15 1 19 29
15 2 32 24
15 3 18 12
15 4 28 16
15 Total 105.5 88.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
14 STL BUF 2 3 2 0
14 BAL WAS 3 1 0 3
14 PHI TB 2 9 2 0
14 SD PIT 4 9.5 4 0
14 CHI MIN 1 -2.5 0 1
14 CAR ATL 4 3 4 0
14 DAL CIN 3 3.5 3 0
14 KC CLE 1 7 0 1
14 TEN IND 3 5 3 0
14 MIA SF 1 10.5 0 1
14 NO NYG 0.5 4.5 0 0.5
14 ARI SEA 4 10 0 4
14 DET GB 1 6.5 0 1
14 HOU NE 1 3.5 0 1
14
14
14 This Week 0.5 0.0 0.5
14 1 0 5
14 2 4 0
14 3 6 3
14 4 8 4
14 Total 18.0 12.5
14 Season 0.5 8.0 7.0
14 1 17 26
14 2 28 22
14 3 18 9
14 4 24 8
14 Total 95.0 72.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
13 TEN HOU 0.5 6.5 0 0.5
13 DET IND 0.5 -6 0 0.5
13 JAC BUF 0.5 6 0.5 0
13 CHI SEA 1 -3 0 1
13 STL SF 1 7.5 1 0
13 MIN GB 4 9.5 4 0
13 CAR KC 1 -4 0 1
13 MIA NE 0.5 7.5 0.5 0
13 ARI NYJ 3 6 3 0
13 TB DEN 4 9.5 4 0
13 OAK CLE 1 1 0 1
13 SD CIN 0.5 1 0 0.5
13 PIT BAL 4 9.5 4 0
13 PHI DAL 4 10.5 4 0
13 WAS NYG 0.5 3 0.5 0
13
13 This Week 0.5 1.5 1.5
13 1 1 3
13 2 0 0
13 3 3 0
13 4 16 0
13 Total 21.5 4.5
13 Season 0.5 8.0 6.5
13 1 17 21
13 2 24 22
13 3 12 6
13 4 16 4
13 Total 77.0 59.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
12 DET HOU 0.5 3 0 0
12 WAS DAL 2 3.5 2 0
12 BUF IND 1 3 0 1
12 OAK CIN 3 9.5 0 3
12 JAC TEN 0.5 4 0.5 0
12 ATL TB 2 -1 0 0
12 MIA SEA 0.5 2.5 0.5 0
12 KC DEN 0.5 10 0.5 0
12 BAL SD 0.5 -1 0.5 0
12 SF NO 1 -1 1 0
12 ARI STL 1 -1 0 1
12 GB NYG 1 3 0 1
12 PHI CAR 2 3 0 2
12
12 This Week 0.5 2.0 0.0
12 1 1 3
12 2 2 2
12 3 0 3
12 4 0 0
12 Total 5.0 8.0
12 Season 0.5 6.5 5.0
12 1 16 18
12 2 24 22
12 3 9 6
12 4 0 4
12 Total 55.5 55.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
11 MIA BUF 0.5 1 0 0.5
11 CAR TB 1 1 0 1
11 CLE DAL 2 9.5 2 0
11 GB DET 1 -3.5 1 0
11 JAC HOU 1 15 1 0
11 ARI ATL 2 9.5 2 0
11 CIN KC 1 -3.5 1 0
11 PHI WAS 1 3.5 0 1
11 NYJ STL 0.5 3.5 0.5 0
11 NE IND 0.5 -9.5 0.5 0
11 OAK NO 1 4.5 0 1
11 SD DEN 1 8.5 1 0
11 PIT BAL 2 3.5 2 0
11
11 This Week 0.5 1.0 0.5
11 1 4 3
11 2 6 0
11 3 0 0
11 4 0 0
11 Total 11.0 3.5
11 Season 0.5 4.5 5.0
11 1 15 15
11 2 22 20
11 3 9 3
11 4 0 4
11 Total 50.5 47.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
10 JAC IND 1 3 0 1
10 CIN NYG 1 4 1 0
10 MIA TEN 1 -6 0 1
10 MIN DET 2 3 2 0
10 OAK BAL 2 9.5 0 2
10 BUF NE 1 11 1 0
10 SD TB 1 3 0 1
10 ATL NO 2 -1 0 2
10 NYJ SEA 2 6 0 2
10 DAL PHI 0.5 -1 0.5 0
10 STL SF 2 11 2 0
10 HOU CHI 0.5 1 0.5 0
10 KC PIT 3 11.5 3 0
10
10 This Week 0.5 1.0 0.0
10 1 2 3
10 2 4 6
10 3 3 0
10 4 0 0
10 Total 10.0 9.0
10 Season 0.5 3.5 4.5
10 1 11 12
10 2 16 20
10 3 9 3
10 4 0 4
10 Total 39.5 43.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
9 KC SD 0.5 9.5 0 0.5
9 BAL CLE 2 -3.5 2 0
9 ARI GB 3 11 0 3
9 HOU BUF 0.5 -10 0.5 0
9 MIA IND 1 -1 0 1
9 CHI TEN 2 -3.5 2 0
9 CAR WAS 1 3.5 1 0
9 CIN DEN 0.5 3.5 0 0.5
9 TB OAK 2 1 2 0
9 MIN SEA 1 5 0 1
9 NYG PIT 1 -3.5 0 1
9 DAL ATL 0.5 4 0 0.5
9 PHI NO 2 3 0 2
9
9 This Week 0.5 0.5 1.5
9 1 1 3
9 2 6 2
9 3 0 3
9 4 0 0
9 Total 7.5 9.5
9 Season 0.5 2.5 4.5
9 1 9 9
9 2 12 14
9 3 6 3
9 4 0 4
9 Total 29.5 34.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
8 TB MIN 1 6.5 1 0
8 SD CLE 0.5 -1 0 0.5
8 SEA DET 1 1 0 1
8 JAC GB 2 16 2 0
8 MIA NYJ 3 1 3 0
8 CAR CHI 1 9 1 0
8 ATL PHI 1 1 1 0
8 IND TEN 2 3.5 2 0
8 STL NE 2 7 0 2
8 WAS PIT 2 4.5 0 2
8 OAK KC 0.5 1 0.5 0
8 NYG DAL 1 -1 1 0
8 DEN NO 1 -6 1 0
8 ARI SF 1 6.5 0 1
8
8 This Week 0.5 0.5 0.5
8 1 5 2
8 2 4 4
8 3 3 0
8 4 0 0
8 Total 12.5 6.5
8 Season 0.5 2.0 3.0
8 1 8 6
8 2 6 12
8 3 6 0
8 4 0 4
8 Total 22.0 25.0
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
7 SEA SF 2 7.5 2 0
7 CAR DAL 0.5 1 0 0.5
7 BAL HOU 2 6.5 0 2
7 NYG WAS 0.5 -6 0 0.5
7 TB NO 2 2.5 0 2
7 STL GB 1 5 0 1
7 ARI MIN 2 6 0 2
7 CLE IND 1 3 0 1
7 JAC OAK 1 4 1 0
7 NYJ NE 0.5 10.5 0.5 0
7 CIN PIT 0.5 1 0 0.5
7 CHI DET 0.5 -5.5 0.5 0
7
7 This Week 0.5 1.0 1.5
7 1 1 2
7 2 2 6
7 3 0 0
7 4 0 0
7 Total 4.0 9.5
7 Season 0.5 1.5 2.5
7 1 3 4
7 2 2 8
7 3 3 0
7 4 0 4
7 Total 9.5 18.5
Week Team Opponent Confidence Line Wins Losses
6 CIN CLE 2 -1 0 2
6 STL MIA 3 3.5 3 0
6 NYJ IND 0.5 -3.5 0.5 0
6 PHI DET 0.5 -4 0 0.5
6 ARI BUF 1 -4.5 0 1
6 SEA NE 1 3.5 1 0
6 SF NYG 0.5 -6.5 0 0.5
6 MIN WAS 4 1 0 4
6 HOU GB 1 -3.5 0 1
6 DEN SD 1 1 1 0
6
6 This Week 0.5 0.5 1.0
6 1 2 2
6 2 0 2
6 3 3 0
6 4 0 4
6 Total 5.5 9.0
6 Season 0.5 0.5 1.0
6 1 2 2
6 2 0 2
6 3 3 0
6 4 0 4
6 Total 5.5 9.0

There are a few important notes and caveats I need to make about this model:

1) Compu-Picks does not endorse implicitly or explicitly any form of illegal gambling. Compu-Picks is intended to be used for entertainment purposes only.

2) No guarantee or warranty is offered or implied by Compu-Picks for any information provided and/or predictions made.

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