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2013 Pac-12 South Schedule Breakdown
Arizona State QB Taylor Kelly
Arizona State QB Taylor Kelly
CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Feb 13, 2013


Breakdowns, analysis and predictions for all the Pac-12 schedules.


2013 Schedules

Pac-12 South

North California | Oregon | Oregon St | Stanford | Washington | Washington St
South Arizona | Arizona St | Colorado | UCLA | USC | Utah  

 
- 2013 Pac-12 North Schedule Analysis
- 2013 Pac-12 Composite Schedule Analysis
 
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Arizona

Non-Conference Games: Northern Arizona, at UNLV, UTSA
Games Against The North: at California, Oregon, at Washington, Washington State
Realistic Best Case Record: 8-4
Worst Case Record: 4-8
Likely Finish: 6-6

Pre-Preseason Projected Wins: Northern Arizona, at UNLV, UTSA, Utah, at Colorado, UCLA, Washington State

Pre-Preseason Projected Losses: at Washington, at USC, at California, Oregon, at Arizona State

Summary: It’s a sneaky-tough schedule with just enough tough road games sprinkled in between a slew of layups to make it difficult to come up with a great year. A 3-0 start is a mortal lock playing Northern Arizona, at UNLV and UTSA before getting a week off to prepare for the Pac-12 opener against Washington. There’s an unnecessary second week off before mid-October, and the Wildcats need to use it before going on an eight-week run with no breaks the rest of the way.

There are three road games in four weeks starting with the trip to USC, but the next three games are the must wins getting Utah and going to Colorado and California. UCLA and Oregon come to Tucson, and getting a split would be nice with Washington State and the season finale against Arizona State making it an interesting finishing kick. The team doesn’t leave the state over the final four weeks.

2013 Schedule
8/31 Northern Arizona
9/7 at UNLV
9/14 UTSA
9/21 OPEN DATE
9/28 at Washington
10/5 OPEN DATE
10/10 at USC
10/19 Utah
10/26 at Colorado
11/2 at California
11/9 UCLA
11/16 Washington State
11/23 Oregon
11/30 at Arizona State

Arizona State

Non-Conference Games: Sacramento State, Wisconsin, Notre Dame
Games Against The North: Oregon State, at Stanford, Washington, at Washington State
Realistic Best Case Record: 10-2
Worst Case Record: 6-6
Likely Finish: 8-4

Pre-Preseason Projected Wins: Sacramento State, Notre Dame, Colorado, Washington, at Washington State, at Utah, Oregon State, Arizona

Pre-Preseason Projected Losses: Wisconsin, at Stanford, USC, at UCLA

Summary: The Sun Devils need to be ready to rock and roll by mid-September after starting the season a week late and warming up Sacramento State. Wisconsin comes into Tempe in what could be a tone-setting showdown, and it doesn’t get any easier with the Pac-12 season starting out at Stanford followed up by USC and a battle with Notre Dame in Arlington, Texas. That means ASU faces three teams that played in BCS games in a four-week stretch, and USC is hardly a breather.

Everyone should be able to take a breath with Colorado coming to town after the date with the Irish, and if they can get by Washington the week after, with a bye week and winnable road games against Washington State and Utah coming up next, there’s a good chance to go on a good run before hosting Oregon State. Going to UCLA and finishing up against Arizona will go a long way to determining the South pecking order.

2013 Schedule
8/31 OPEN DATE
9/7 Sacramento State
9/14 Wisconsin
9/21 at Stanford
9/28 USC
10/5 Notre Dame
10/12 Colorado
10/19 Washington
10/26 OPEN DATE
10/31 at Washington State
11/9 at Utah
11/16 Oregon State
11/23 at UCLA
11/30 Arizona

Colorado

Non-Conference Games: Colorado State, Central Arkansas, Fresno State
Games Against The North: California, Oregon, at Oregon State, at Washington
Realistic Best Case Record: 1-11
Worst Case Record: 6-6
Likely Finish: 2-10

Pre-Preseason Projected Wins: Colorado State, Central Arkansas

Pre-Preseason Projected Losses: Fresno State, at Oregon State, Oregon, at Arizona State, Arizona, at UCLA, at Washington, California, USC, at Utah

Summary: The Buffs always have a problem with Colorado State, but they can’t blow the rivalry game or it could be yet another brutally long season. Central Arkansas will be the one sure-thing win on the schedule, and then it’s going to take upsets the rest of the way to come up with any more victories, including the date with Fresno State before getting a week off.

Going to Oregon State and Arizona State wouldn’t be horrible for a decent team, but wrapped around a home game against Oregon makes it tough for a rebuilding program. Missing Stanford from the North will help, but going to Washington isn’t going to help. Arizona, Cal and USC are coming to Folsom, and getting a win out of the three would count as a positive step forward. Utah is one of the few teams in the Pac-12 the Buffs can beat, but the regular season finale is on the road.

2013 Schedule
8/31 Colorado State (in Denver)
9/7 Central Arkansas
9/14 Fresno State
9/21 OPEN DATE
9/28 at Oregon State
10/5 Oregon
10/12 at Arizona State
10/19 OPEN DATE
10/26 Arizona
11/2 at UCLA
11/9 at Washington
11/16 California
11/23 USC
11/30 at Utah

UCLA

Non-Conference Games: Nevada, at Nebraska, New Mexico State,
Games Against The North: California, at Oregon, at Stanford, Washington
Realistic Best Case Record: 10-2
Worst Case Record: 6-6
Likely Finish: 8-4

Pre-Preseason Projected Wins: Nevada, New Mexico State, at Utah, California, Colorado, Washington, Arizona State, at USC

Pre-Preseason Projected Losses: at Nebraska, at Stanford, at Oregon, at Arizona

Summary: Is this when UCLA take a huge leap forward under Jim Mora, or is it going to be inconsistent again as it tries to navigate its way up through a rough Pac-12 schedule? Starting out against Nevada isn’t going to be a breather, but there’s a week off to figure out what needs working on before a huge date at Nebraska. Win that, and 5-0 is a must with New Mexico State up next before an off week to prepare for easy games against Utah and Cal – forget about last year; beating the Bears shouldn’t be a problem.

As if having to play Stanford and Oregon from the North wasn’t bad enough, the games are back-to-back and on the road. Fortunately, three of the next four games are at home and the trip to Arizona is the only remaining game outside of Los Angeles. Colorado, Washington and Arizona State are all winnable home games to crank up the record, but the South title should come down to the showdown at USC.

2013 Schedule
8/31 Nevada
9/7 OPEN DATE
9/14 at Nebraska
9/21 New Mexico State
9/28 OPEN DATE
10/3 at Utah
10/12 California
10/19 at Stanford
10/26 at Oregon
11/2 Colorado
11/9 at Arizona
11/15 Washington
11/23 Arizona State
11/30 at USC

USC

Non-Conference Games: at Hawaii, Boston College, Utah State, at Notre Dame
Games Against The North: at California, at Oregon State, Stanford, Washington State
Realistic Best Case Record: 13-0
Worst Case Record: 7-6
Likely Finish: 11-2

Pre-Preseason Projected Wins: at Hawaii, Washington State, Boston College, Utah State, at Arizona State, Arizona, Utah, at Oregon State, at California, Stanford, at Colorado

Pre-Preseason Projected Losses: at Notre Dame, UCLA

Summary: It’s a 13-game schedule starting out the year in late August with a nice trip to Hawaii to rest and relax before the Pac-12 seasons starts up. The Trojans come back to open up conference play against Washington State followed up by games against Boston College and Utah State which need to be dominant wins if they’re going to prove that things are different.

Missing Oregon and Washington from the North is a good break, and the schedule is just nice enough to potentially roll to a South title if all goes according to plan. Going to Arizona State won’t be easy, but it’s important with the only week off coming the week after before closing out with eight games in eight weeks. Going to Notre Dame starts out a run of three road trips in four weeks, but the away dates aren’t that ad going to Oregon State and Cal and having a late November game at Colorado. Stanford and UCLA are both at home.

2013 Schedule
8/29 at Hawaii
9/7 Washington State
9/14 Boston College
9/21 Utah State
9/28 at Arizona State
10/5 OPEN DATE
10/10 Arizona
10/19 at Notre Dame
10/26 Utah
11/1 at Oregon State
11/9 at California
11/16 Stanford
11/23 at Colorado
11/30 UCLA

Utah

Non-Conference Games: Utah State, Weber State, at BYU
Games Against The North: at Oregon, Oregon State, Stanford, at Washington State
Realistic Best Case Record: 7-5
Worst Case Record: 2-10
Likely Finish: 3-9

Pre-Preseason Projected Wins: Utah State, Weber State, Colorado

Pre-Preseason Projected Losses: Oregon State, at BYU, UCLA, Stanford, at Arizona, at USC, Arizona State, at Oregon, at Washington State

Summary: Where are the wins going to come from? Utah shouldn’t be 3-9 bad, and the offense can’t be any worse, but without pulling off a few shockers here and there, this could be a rough go in an improved Pac-12. It’s not like the non-conference slate is a peach with Utah State still strong and the road game at BYU certain to be nasty. Weber State is the only sure-thing victory on the slate.

The Utes gets Oregon State, UCLA and Stanford at home in the first three conference games, and they need to take advantage of the opportunity with four of the next five games away from Rice-Eccles with just one home game – Arizona State – from October 3rd to November 30th. A winning season is possible by coming up with a few early home victories and getting by Washington State and Colorado late, but the away game at Oregon isn’t going to help and facing Arizona and USC in back-to-back October weeks on the road is going to be a problem.

2013 Schedule
8/31 Utah State
9/7 Weber State
9/14 Oregon State
9/21 at BYU
9/28 OPEN DATE
10/3 UCLA
10/12 Stanford
10/19 at Arizona
10/26 at USC
11/2 OPEN DATE
11/9 Arizona State
11/16 at Oregon
11/23 at Washington State
11/30 Colorado
 
- 2013 Pac-12 North Schedule Analysis
- 2013 Pac-12 Composite Schedule Analysis