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Compu-Picks 2013 Bold Picks

Mr Pac Ten
Posted Aug 29, 2013


Compu-Picks makes 11 bold picks for the 2013 college football season

"Bold Predictions" are in this year, with seemingly everyone coming up with a bunch of them. Here are Compu-Picks':

#1: Stanford will finish outside the top ten in the final BCS standings
This is a big one. Just about everyone loves Stanford this year. Virtually every projection has them in the top ten, and we've recently seen one source put them #1. I've gone into the reasons Compu-Picks doesn't much like Stanford this year before, but here I'll just note that this is a VERY contrarian pick, since to date I've seen just three sources put them outside the top 10, and one (Phil Steele) had them barely outside, at the eleven spot.

#2: Texas Christian will finish inside the top ten in the final BCS standings
This is arguably even bolder. Precisely ONE source has TCU in the top ten, and that's Compu-Picks. As with Stanford, I've been over why Compu-Picks likes TCU so much before, and recently had a specific post on the subject.

#3: Ole Miss will finish inside the top fifteen in the final BCS standings
This is another bold pick. Very few sources even have Ole Miss ranked, and some of those that do have them barely inside the top 25, much less the top 15.

#4: Notre Dame will finish inside the top five in the final BCS standings
This is arguably the boldest of the four so far. Precisely ONE source other than Compu-Picks has Notre Dame in the top five, and a bunch have them outside the top 10. As wtih TCU, I recently had a specific post on the Irish.

#5: Cincinnati will not finish in the American Conference top two
Cincy is the consensus #2 pick in the league, by a pretty good margin. For the sake of evaluating this pick, if they finish tied for second (which is quite possible), use league tiebreakers.

#6: Miami will not finish in the ACC Coastal top two
Miami is the consensus favorite in the Coastal, by a pretty good margin, and is well ahead of 3rd and 4th place consensus picks Georgia Tech and UNC. For the sake of evaluating this pick, if they finish tied for second (which is quite possible), use league tiebreakers.

#7: Oklahoma will not finish in the Big 12 top three
Oklahoma is the consensus #3 pick in the league, by a large margin over TCU, Baylor etc. For the sake of evaluating this pick, if they finish tied for second (which is quite possible), use league tiebreakers.

#8: Marshall wins eight or fewer regular season games
5Dimes posted a 9.5 (shaded under) win total for Marshall, and is still hanging that number. It seems like an incredible reach to me. So we'll go with the bold pick of 8 or under, a big difference from the posted win total.

#9: Fresno State will not win the Mountain West West division
Fresno State is the very strong consensus favorite in the division. Even Compu-Picks took them. However, Compu-Picks projects the division as very much a three-way race with the Bulldogs only enjoying a slight advantage over the other Cal State schools. So even though just about everyone has written them in as a lock for the division, I'll definitely take "field" here.

#10: Arizona will crack the top three in the Pac-12 South
Almost no one likes the Wildcats to crack the top three in the division, but Compu-Picks thinks they have a strong shot to at least hit that target. For the sake of evaluating this pick, if they finish tied for third (which is quite possible), use league tiebreakers.

#11: Kentucky will not finish dead last in the SEC East
This may be the boldest prediction on the whole list. EVERYONE except Compu-Picks calls for them to finish last in the East. Even Compu-Picks thinks it's a race for last. Still, the Wildcats could be much more "not totally awful" in year one of the Stoops era than people expect. Having to play Alabama obviously sucks, but Miss St is a winnable game, and they get Tennessee and Missouri at home, and Vandy doesn't exactly have the SEC's strongest home field advantage. IF the Wildcats turn out to be halfway decent, escaping the league cellar is doable even if seemingly no one else thinks that's likely. For the sake of evaluating this pick, if they finish tied for last (which is quite possible), use league tiebreakers.

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