Week 3 MW - Nevada-FSU & More, Part 2

Posted Sep 13, 2013

Week 3 - MW Fearless Predictions, Central Michigan at UNLV & More, Part 2

- Air Force at Boise State & More, Part 1
- Central Michigan at UNLV & More, Part 2
Nevada (1-1) at Florida State (1-0) Sept. 14, 3:30, ESPN2

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Florida State returns to work, looking for an encore performance to the demolition of Pitt on Labor Day night. The Seminoles entered the national championship race discussion off the auspicious debut of QB Jameis Winston, who went from unproven to unbelievable in the blink of an eye. Ranked No. 10 in the AP Poll, the Seminoles are attempting to build a head of steam that eventually leads to hardware. Nevada has split its first two games under rookie head coach Brian Polian, failing to measure up to UCLA before handling UC Davis in Reno a week ago. This is Nevada's first meeting with Florida State, and another chance to spar with a heavyweight before Mountain West play begins.
Why Nevada Might Win: The Pack always has a chance as long as QB Cody Fajardo is on the field. He's the type of shifty dual-threat who can drive opposing defenses nuts. He's dangerous with his feet, and his accuracy as a thrower is improving. The junior will be aided by Kendall Brock and Don Jackson out of the backfield and well-sized "X" receiver Brandon Wimberly on the outside.
Why Florida State Might Win: The ‘Noles were outstanding on both sides of the ball at Pitt, and now they've had an extra to get familiar with Nevada. While Winston was the unquestioned star of the opener, Florida State also controlled the line of scrimmage, a trend that'll continue this week. It returns four starters along the O-line, while the D-line is too big and too fast for the Pack. Nevada prides itself on its multi-dimensions, but best of luck throwing on Lamarcus Joyner and one of the country's stingiest pass defenses.
Who To Watch Out For: Few opponents will stop Florida State backs James Wilder and Devonta Freeman. Nevada, which was absolutely gashed by UCLA in the opener, is not one of them.

- What can Winston do for an encore after carving up Pitt on 25-of-27 passes for 356 yards and four touchdowns? Whatever the redshirt freshman does will be watched very closely, as he quickly evolves into one of the game's can't-miss young players.

- There'll be plenty of playmaking linemen in this one. Florida State is littered with emerging stars, like Timmy Jernigan and Mario Edwards Jr. Nevada has its own bookend in Lenny Jones and Brock Hekking that warrant maximum attention.
What Will Happen: Nevada showed its hand on opening day that it's not going to be a giant killer this season. Florida State, on the contrary, is a team without a lot of weakness. The Seminoles will roll without a lot of resistance behind a potent offense and a D that only has one playmaker with which to contend.
Prediction: Florida State 49 … Nevada 16
Line: Florida State -35 o/u: 66
Must See Rating: (5 Boardwalk Empire – 1 Teen Beach Movie) … 2.5

Northern Colorado (1-1) at Wyoming (1-1) Sept. 14, 4:00

Why You Should Give A Hoot: It's an underrated matchup of quarterbacks between Wyoming' s Brett Smith and Northern Colorado's Seth Lobato. Both have eclipsed 650 yards through the air in this young season so it should be a good old-fashioned shootout in Laramie on Saturday.
Why Northern Colorado Might Win: The Bears have an explosive offense that can put up a lot of points when called upon. Quarterback Seth Lobato has put up video game numbers thus far and running back Tromaine Dennis can gash the weak Wyoming defense on the ground.
Why Wyoming Might Win: Wyoming's pass defense has played remarkably well against both Idaho and Nebraska and should limit Lobato's effectiveness. Running back Shaun Wick provides the balance on offense with two 100-yard games to begin the year and quarterback Brett Smith threw four touchdowns in both games this year.
Who To Watch Out For: Wyoming wideout Robert Herron is Brett Smith's big play threat leading the team with 214 receiving yards. He'll have plenty of opportunities to make big plays against a porous Northern Colorado defense.
What Will Happen: The Cowboys should have no problems putting up points on Northern Colorado and the defense will even get into the act with a pick-six. The Bears will find a way to score early, but will struggle to move the ball as the game goes along against Wyoming's defense which continues to gain confidence.
Prediction: Wyoming 48 … Northern Colorado 20
Line: Wyoming -25 o/u: 52.5
Must See Rating: (5 Boardwalk Empire – 1 Teen Beach Movie) ... 1.5

Weber State (1-1) at Utah State (1-1) Sept. 14, 8:00, ESPN3

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Utah State will use this game as preparation for its big showdown with Southern California the next week. Chuckie Keeton is one of the best quarterbacks you haven't heard of and this is the perfect setting showcase his abilities.
Why Weber State Might Win: If feels like the only way the Wildcats win is if Utah State starts looking ahead to Southern California. However, Weber State showed glimpses of offensive prowess in its win over Stephen F. Austin in the opener when it put up 50 points on the Lumberjacks.
Why Utah State Might Win: The Aggies must be licking their chops looking at the Wildcats' defense on film. Weber State gave up 70 points to Utah last week and Utah State quarterback Chuckie Keeton is the best player the Wildcats have faced this year. Even if the defense doesn't show up, Utah State should easily outscore Weber State.
Who To Watch Out For: Utah State quarterback Chuckie Keeton has completed nearly 79 percent of his passes this season for 674 yards and seven touchdowns. Keeton may hit those marks in this game alone.
What Will Happen: Chuckie Keeton will have a monster game and throw for more than 300 yards and run for another 100 before giving way midway through the third quarter. The Aggies take out all of their frustration on Weber State and one-up their in-state rivals with 11 touchdowns.
Prediction: Utah State 54 … Weber State 7
Line: Utah State -36 o/u: 59
Must See Rating: (5 Boardwalk Empire – 1 Teen Beach Movie) ... 1

Central Michigan (1-1) at UNLV (0-2) Sept. 14, 10:00, CampusInsiders.com

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Someone has to get their season going. UNLV suffered meltdowns in ugly losses to Minnesota and Arizona, getting its doors blown off last week by the Wildcats and breaking down in key spots on special teams against the Gophers. The experience is there to be better, but if the Rebels can't beat a mediocre MAC team at home, it could be a brutally long rest of the season. Central Michigan was awful in the opener against Michigan, but it came back to beat New Hampshire in a thriller last week. With Toledo to kick off the MAC season next week, the offense has to be better, fast, while the Rebels could go on a decent run with a win. This is the easy part of the schedule with Western Illinois, New Mexico and Hawaii up next.

Why Central Michigan Might Win: Get the running game going. Minnesota pounded away a little bit with the backs, but UNLV was able to slow them down – the D couldn't handle Gopher QB Philip Nelson. Last week, the Rich Rodriguez Arizona offense blew up on the Rebels with 397 yards on the ground. While CMU might not get too many rushing yards out of the quarterback, the passing game worked last week against UNH with Cooper Rush throwing for 326 yards and three touchdowns.

Why UNLV Might Win: Oh yeah, the Central Michigan running game. Saylor Lavallii has been a pounder so far, and he helped carry the load against New Hampshire, but he's about it. He's not going to be the breakaway threat who can tear up an already struggling Rebel defense. For all the problems UNLV might be having, giving up the big pass play hasn't been among them, meaning it could be a tough evening for …

Who To Watch Out For: Titus Davis, the all-around veteran playmaker for CMU who was held in check by Michigan – coming up with two catches for 28 yards – and destroying New Hampshire with six catches for 184 yards and two scores, highlighted by a 97-yarder in the fourth quarter to tie the game. In a game that needs playmakers to step up, CMU has to get another huge day out of its veteran.

What Will Happen: Finally, UNLV won't royally screw things up. Despite the problems, and with the big blowouts, the team has shown glimpses, and now it's playing someone its own size. The run defense will stop Lavallii, the secondary will be fine, and the offense won't give up any disastrous turnovers. At least not too many.
Prediction: UNLV 38 … Central Michigan 27
Line: UNLV -7 o/u: 56
Must See Rating: (5 Boardwalk Empire – 1 Teen Beach Movie) ... 1.5

- Air Force at Boise State & More, Part 1
- Central Michigan at UNLV & More, Part 2