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Week 7 - Oklahoma vs. Texas

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Oct 9, 2013


Week 7 Fearless Predictions & Preview - Oklahoma vs. Texas

- Kansas at TCU & Iowa State at Texas Tech
- Baylor at Kansas State

Oklahoma (5-0) at Texas (3-2) Oct. 12 12:00, ABC

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Texas is 2-0 in Big 12 play … Texas is 2-0 in Big 12 play … Texas is 2-0 in Big 12 play …

If you buy into the old adage that you are what your record is, then Texas is still in decent shape with wins over Kansas State to Iowa State to gear up for the Red River Rivalry. Of course, all is not right with the world, helped by a controversial missed call on a late fumble to sneak past the Cyclones, and not exactly looking Fiesta Bowl-bound in a win over the Wildcats. But for all of the problems and for all of the negativity, the narrative could do an about-face with a win over the Sooners.

Or it could be another rough loss and the timetable on Mack Brown’s departure could be ramped up.

Texas came up with a decent 2012, finishing with nine wins and a bowl victory, but the 63-21 loss to Oklahoma was the ugliest moment early on. On a three game losing streak in the series, and after losing the last two by a combined score of 118 to 38, even a close loss might not be too bad. Unfortunately for Brown, that’s where the bar has been set.

At 5-0, the Sooners aren’t necessarily in the national title mix quite yet, mostly because they’ve been maddeningly inconsistent. After looking terrific against Tulsa and Notre Dame, it took too much of a fight to get by a sluggish TCU. Everything appears to be on track for another double-digit win season, and the team might be sneaking up on people, but it could use a third straight obliteration of the Longhorns.

Why Oklahoma Might Win: Texas doesn’t get guys to the ground. If Oklahoma can get slightly physical, Texas will crumble. The Longhorn defense has a world of talent and more than enough athleticism to go around, but it can’t tackle. There’s too much bouncing, too much pinballing, and not enough wrapping. Even when the call has gone out to get nastier and tougher, it hasn’t mattered much as everyone who tries – with the exception of Kansas State – seems able to crank out big yards in chunks. The biggest problem is getting off the field, with offenses time and again converting on significant third down plays. Oklahoma isn’t fantastic and keeping things moving, but it’s good enough to own the time of possession, ranking ninth in the nation keeping the ball 33:36. The defense has the most to do with that, but the O isn’t bad grinding out the clock, either.

Why Texas Might Win: Lost a bit in all of the issues is an offense that’s actually doing a decent job. Iowa State didn’t allow the Longhorns to explode, but Case McCoy, along with the running game, came through when needed to pull off the win – all fumbles aside. There has been a healthy balance when needed, getting a decent passing attack against the Cyclones, and running well in the loss to Ole Miss. The offense has been able to do what’s needed, but it’s been the defense that’s the issue. Talent-wise, Texas has the ability to keep up the pace, and this is the most varied attack OU has had to deal with so far. Defensively, yes, the Longhorns have been disastrous, but they’ve also been able to get to the quarterback. OU QB Blake Bell needs a clean pocket and time to let the downfield plays develop, and while the line has given him what he needs, the Texas front four could change that.

Who To Watch Out For: When is Damien Williams going to start rolling? The Oklahoma running back destroyed Texas last season with 167 rushing yards and a backbreaking score, he has shown the ability to make big plays from anywhere on the field, but the offense could use a breakout game. Brennan Clay has been the team’s most effective runner, but the potential is there for much more out of the backfield.

- Quarterback Case McCoy will get the call again with David Ash out yet another week trying to heal up. McCoy hasn’t been bad, and despite all the problems last week, he got the win over the Cyclones with 244 passing yards and coming up with the game-winning touchdown run. Oklahoma will take its chances with his passing game, and while it won’t blitz or do anything funky to get to him, it’ll try to take away the shorter, safer throws. The Sooner linebackers can do that.

- Texas lost this game in 1996 but still won the Big 12 championship, and lost to the Sooners in 2001, got to the championship game, and lost. Oklahoma lost in 2008 but won the Big 12 championship.

- The key to this game? Can Texas convert on third downs? The Longhorns are 105th in the nation in third down conversion, and Oklahoma is fifth in the nation in allowing first downs, giving up just 69. Texas has given up 121.

What Will Happen: Texas will come out inspired, energetic, and looking like it’s ready to change the season around, and then Oklahoma will come up with a few big touchdown plays, the air will go out of the balloon, and it’ll be business as usual.

Prediction: Oklahoma 37 … Texas 17
Line: Oklahoma -14 o/u: 56
Must See Rating: (5 Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight – 1 I Dream of NeNe: The Wedding) … 3.5
Buy tickets for this game at TicketCity

Oklahoma (5-0) at Texas (3-2) Oct. 5 12:00, ABC

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Texas is 2-0 in Big 12 play … Texas is 2-0 in Big 12 play … Texas is 2-0 in Big 12 play …

If you buy into the old adage that you are what your record is, then Texas is still in decent shape with wins over Kansas State to Iowa State to gear up for the Red River Rivalry. Of course, all is not right with the world, helped by a controversial missed call on a late fumble to sneak past the Cyclones, and not exactly looking Fiesta Bowl-bound in a win over the Wildcats. But for all of the problems and for all of the negativity, the narrative could do an about-face with a win over the Sooners.

Or it could be another rough loss and the timetable on Mack Brown’s departure could be ramped up.

Texas came up with a decent 2012, finishing with nine wins and a bowl victory, but the 63-21 loss to Oklahoma was the ugliest moment early on. On a three game losing streak in the series, and after losing the last two by a combined score of 118 to 38, even a close loss might not be too bad. Unfortunately for Brown, that’s where the bar has been set.

At 5-0, the Sooners aren’t necessarily in the national title mix quite yet, mostly because they’ve been maddeningly inconsistent. After looking terrific against Tulsa and Notre Dame, it took too much of a fight to get by a sluggish TCU. Everything appears to be on track for another double-digit win season, and the team might be sneaking up on people, but it could use a third straight obliteration of the Longhorns.

Why Oklahoma Might Win: Texas doesn’t get guys to the ground. If Oklahoma can get slightly physical, Texas will crumble. The Longhorn defense has a world of talent and more than enough athleticism to go around, but it can’t tackle. There’s too much bouncing, too much pinballing, and not enough wrapping. Even when the call has gone out to get nastier and tougher, it hasn’t mattered much as everyone who tries – with the exception of Kansas State – seems able to crank out big yards in chunks. The biggest problem is getting off the field, with offenses time and again converting on significant third down plays. Oklahoma isn’t fantastic and keeping things moving, but it’s good enough to own the time of possession, ranking ninth in the nation keeping the ball 33:36. The defense has the most to do with that, but the O isn’t bad grinding out the clock, either.

Why Texas Might Win: Lost a bit in all of the issues is an offense that’s actually doing a decent job. Iowa State didn’t allow the Longhorns to explode, but Case McCoy, along with the running game, came through when needed to pull off the win – all fumbles aside. There has been a healthy balance when needed, getting a decent passing attack against the Cyclones, and running well in the loss to Ole Miss. The offense has been able to do what’s needed, but it’s been the defense that’s the issue. Talent-wise, Texas has the ability to keep up the pace, and this is the most varied attack OU has had to deal with so far. Defensively, yes, the Longhorns have been disastrous, but they’ve also been able to get to the quarterback. OU QB Blake Bell needs a clean pocket and time to let the downfield plays develop, and while the line has given him what he needs, the Texas front four could change that.

Who To Watch Out For: When is Damien Williams going to start rolling? The Oklahoma running back destroyed Texas last season with 167 rushing yards and a backbreaking score, he has shown the ability to make big plays from anywhere on the field, but the offense could use a breakout game. Brennan Clay has been the team’s most effective runner, but the potential is there for much more out of the backfield.

- Quarterback Case McCoy will get the call again with David Ash out yet another week trying to heal up. McCoy hasn’t been bad, and despite all the problems last week, he got the win over the Cyclones with 244 passing yards and coming up with the game-winning touchdown run. Oklahoma will take its chances with his passing game, and while it won’t blitz or do anything funky to get to him, it’ll try to take away the shorter, safer throws. The Sooner linebackers can do that.

- Texas lost this game in 1996 but still won the Big 12 championship, and lost to the Sooners in 2001, got to the championship game, and lost. Oklahoma lost in 2008 but won the Big 12 championship.

- The key to this game? Can Texas convert on third downs? The Longhorns are 105th in the nation in third down conversion, and Oklahoma is fifth in the nation in allowing first downs, giving up just 69. Texas has given up 121.

What Will Happen: Texas will come out inspired, energetic, and looking like it’s ready to change the season around, and then Oklahoma will come up with a few big touchdown plays, the air will go out of the balloon, and it’ll be business as usual.

Prediction: Oklahoma 37 … Texas 17
Line: Oklahoma -14 o/u: 56
Must See Rating: (5 Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight – 1 I Dream of NeNe: The Wedding) … 3.5
Buy tickets for this game at TicketCity