Week 9 - Boston College at North Carolina

Posted Oct 23, 2013

Week 9 Fearless Prediction - Boston College at North Carolina

- Wake Forest at Miami | Georgia Tech at Virginia
- Pitt at Navy | NC State at Florida State
- Clemson at Maryland | Boston College at North Carolina
- Duke at Virginia Tech

Boston College (3-3) at North Carolina (1-5) Oct. 26, 3:30, ESPN3

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Was Thursday night's painful four-point loss to Miami North Carolina's final stand of 2013? The Tar Heels put forth a solid effort, but by losing a fourth straight game, it's fair to wonder whether the program has anything left in the tank to incite a second-half rally. Boston College, on the other hand, comes out of its bye week with a great frame of mind and a positive outlook. The Eagles have been a pleasant surprise for first-year coach Steve Addazio, surpassing last year's wins, scaring Clemson and battling Florida State better than the Tigers did a week ago. BC needs three wins to become bowl-eligible for the first time since 2010, which would qualify as a breakthrough for the new staff.

Why Boston College Might Win: The Eagles have become a more efficient—and physical—team for the new coaching staff. Unlike in recent years, BC isn't hurting itself either, ranking No. 8 nationally in penalties and No. 4 in turnovers. The offense is balanced out by the running of Andre Williams and the passing of Chase Rettig, while the D has more than doubled last year's sack total. The Eagles are confident and poised to explode out of their two-week break.

Why North Carolina Might Win: The Heels had a top 10 team on the ropes last week, so there appears to be enough fight remaining in the team. QB Bryn Renner will exploit a Boston College secondary that's been far too soft in coverage, allowing almost nine yards an attempt. Renner has access to a pair of field-stretchers in WR Quinshad Davis and TE Eric Ebron. Ebron, in particular, has the wheels to bust the seam and stretch the Eagle defense vertically.

Who To Watch Out For: Both teams have the requisite pass rushers needed to exploit opponents struggling in pass protection. Carolina will collapse the pocket with DE Kareem Martin and explosive bandit Norkeithus Otis. Boston College has gotten a big year so far from DE Kasim Edebali.

- Carolina is poised to give a second straight start to rookie RB T.J. Logan, who carried the ball 16 times for 61 yards against Miami last week. Someone needs to spark a Heel running game currently averaging less than three yards a carry.

- An inconsistent Carolina secondary has a singular objective on Saturday—stop No. 83. Eagle WR Alex Amidon leads the team with 547 yards and three touchdowns on 38 receptions, which is nearly five times more catches than his nearest teammate.

What Will Happen: At this stage of the season, motivation plays a key factor in games that are otherwise evenly matched. Boston College has more at stake than five-loss Carolina, which will have a tough time getting back up following the Miami loss. The Eagles will be crisp coming off the bye week, setting the tone for the second half of the season.

Prediction: Boston College 28 … North Carolina 24
Line: North Carolina -7 – O/U: 57.5
Must See Rating: (5 The Counselor – 1 Last Vegas) … 2
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