Week 9 - Baylor at Kansas

Posted Oct 24, 2013

Week 9 Fearless Prediction & Preview - Baylor at Kansas

- Oklahoma State at Iowa State | Texas Tech at Oklahoma
- West Virginia at Kansas State | Baylor at Kansas | Texas at TCU

Baylor (6-0) at Kansas (2-4) Oct. 26, 7:00, ESPNU

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Please, Baylor, could you turn it loose for a full 60 minutes to see what kind of numbers you can put up? It's now getting ridiculous, hitting the 70 point mark in four of the last five games including a 71-7 pasting of Iowa State last week. However, this is the last appetizer with a backloaded schedule with all the big boys coming up – Baylor probably hasn't played a team that will end up in a bowl game. That includes Kansas.

The Jayhawks are trying, and they're not a total embarrassment, but they're clearly the worst team in the Big 12 and they haven't been close so far in conference play. It doesn't get any easier with road games at Texas and Oklahoma State to follow, but first, they have to deal with an offensive juggernaut and be prepared to handle the onslaught.

Why Baylor Might Win: The Bears do more in a quarter than Kansas usually does for an entire game. The Jayhawks don't have the punch on the ground and the passing game – that averages just 158 yards per game compared to Baylor's 414 - is too inept to have any chance of keeping up the pace. How big is the offensive disparity? Baylor comes up with 2.5 times more yardage production per game, averaging 714 yards per game to KU's 288. A few early scoring drives will end this, and fast.

Why Kansas Might Win: Baylor only played one road game this year, and it happened to be the one slight struggle, beating Kansas State 35-25. Okay, so how does Kansas possibly keep this from being an epic disaster? Could this be the time when any sort of a power running game might work? Kansas State pounded for 327 yards and three scores, averaging over 5.6 yards per carry, and Kansas has to give it a try. Accept that Baylor is going to hit a few big home runs, but don't get away from running and running some more. The Jayhawks might have to, because …

Who To Watch Out For: Jake Heaps isn't getting the job done. It's not his fault, the team wasn't giving him any help, but 5-of-13 for 16 yards with a touchdown against Oklahoma didn't get it done. On the plus side, James Sims picked a decent time to start getting back on track with 129 rushing yards and two touchdowns for just his second 100-yard running day of the year. He took off for 126 yards and a score on 21 carries in the loss to Baylor last season, and this time around, he needs to dominate.

What Will Happen: Very, very bad things. It's stat-padding time for a team that doesn't need to pad the stats.

Prediction: Baylor 70 … Kansas 17
Line: Baylor -34.5 o/u: 66
Must See Rating: (5 The Counselor – 1 Last Vegas) … 2.5
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