Week 11 - Louisville at Connecticut

Posted Nov 6, 2013

Week 11 Fearless Prediction & Preview - Louisville at Connecticut

Louisville (7-1) at Connecticut (0-7) Nov. 8, 8:30, ESPN2

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Louisville will need help in the coming weeks, but it's still holding out hope of winning the American before jetting off to the ACC in 2014. The Cardinals rebounded from their loss to UCF by beating South Florida the week before resting with a bye. The Knights host 6-1 Houston on Saturday night in a game that'll have serious implications in the race for a BCS bowl game. Connecticut is the last remaining winless school from an AQ conference. The Huskies peaked with a close call against Michigan on Sept. 21, but they've been circling the drain ever since, including a 62-17 loss to UCF two weeks ago.

Why Louisville Might Win: The wheels are off UConn, which is using an interim head coach and a true freshman quarterback who's playing like a true freshman quarterback. The Cards can dispose of the Huskies any number of ways, from the passing of Teddy Bridgewater to the play of a D giving up just 10 points a game. The rudderless Connecticut offense will wilt in the face of the physicality and attacking mindset of S Calvin Pryor, LB Preston Brown and ends Marcus Smith and Lorenzo Mauldin.

Why Connecticut Might Win: The Huskies will play fast and loose, with absolutely nothing to lose at this stage of an already disastrous season. The Cardinals, on the other hand, will have a difficult time getting up for this opponent, especially with Houston in the on-deck circle. UConn will lean on its veterans on Friday, RB Lyle McCombs on offense and LB Yawin Smallwood on defense. The Huskies showed in the Michigan game that it has the personnel to put a major scare into a ranked team.

Who To Watch Out For: UConn used to be able to count on its D, but not any longer. The Huskies have been shredded in recent weeks, allowing 45 first-half points in the UCF game.

- The Cardinals will attack that Husky defense with their full array of weapons, including Bridgewater's favorite big-play target in the passing game, WR DeVante Parker.

- Louisville leads the American in sacks. Connecticut is last—by far—in sacks allowed. It figures to be a great night for Smith and Mauldin, among others to pad their 2013 resumes.

What Will Happen: Louisville will win comfortably. Just how long it'll take the Cards to turn this game into a rout will depend on how motivated they are for the trip to East Hartford. On the talent gap alone, in all areas of the two-deep, Louisville ought to be on cruise control long before heading into the halftime locker room.

Prediction: Louisville 40 … Connecticut 10
Line: Louisville -28 o/u: 49
Must See Rating: (5 The Wolf of Wall Street – 1 Ass Backwards) … 2
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