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Week 11 - Vanderbilt at Florida
Posted Nov 6, 2013

Week 11 SEC Fearless Predictions & Preview - Vanderbilt at Florida

Vanderbilt (4-4) at Florida (4-4) Nov. 9 12:00, ESPN3

Why You Should Give A Hoot: Is this a bowl elimination game? Maybe not, but it’s going to be really, really tough for the loser to go on and get a 13th game.

Vanderbilt can probably handle a loss better, with the lightweights of the East – Kentucky and Tennessee – up next before finishing up with Wake Forest, but so far, the thriller over Georgia a few weeks ago was the lone bright spot in conference action. This is a good team with a solid offense, but it doesn’t have the firepower to keep up with a team like Texas A&M – getting rolled 56-24 last week – or Missouri – getting torched 51-28 a few weeks ago.

Worrying about a high-powered offense isn’t a problem this week.

Florida hit the rough part of the schedule and bad things have happened. The Gators’ best win this year – technically – might have come in the opener against Toledo, and the season is slipping into the abyss losing three straight to LSU, Missouri and Georgia. The defense is still strong – despite the problems against Mizzou – and the team literally showed good fight against the Dawgs, but with a trip to South Carolina next week and Florida State to finish things up, losing at home to the Commodores could be a death blow.

The two teams first started playing in 1945 – a 7-0 Vandy win. Florida has won 22 in a row in the series, dropping a 24-9 shocker in 1988.

Why Vanderbilt Might Win: The Gators are dead last in the SEC in offense. That usually isn’t a problem when the defense is rocking and rolling, but over the last few weeks, the team needed some semblance of a steady attack and didn’t get it. The passing game has gone bye-bye over the last three weeks – all losses – with no touchdown passes and almost nothing happening downfield whatsoever. The Commodore defense has had problems with the high-octane passers, and Tyler Murphy isn’t it. Florida has to pound away to win, and Vanderbilt has only allowed more than 200 yards on the ground once in the last five games.

Why Florida Might Win: The Commodore offensive line has been a nightmare at times in pass protection. Florida’s defense struggled to get behind the line in the losses to LSU and Missouri, but it bounced back to have a decent game against Georgia and it should hurry the Vanderbilt passing game along. Considering the Commodores have no hope of running the ball against the Florida defensive front, the offense has to budget in a few sacks and constant pressure and keep the chains moving anyway.

Who To Watch Out For: Florida hasn’t had enough issues with injuries, and now it has to deal with the loss of Tyler Moore, who filled in at offensive tackle where needed throughout the season. He suffered a broken elbow in a scooter accident and now is out for the rest of the season. That means the line has to do some shuffling with guard Max Garcia stepping in at left tackle and Ian Silberman stepping in now at left guard.

What Will Happen: Florida’s defense will stone the Vanderbilt running game, and Patton Robinette won’t be able to pick up the slack with the passing game. This won’t be pretty in any way, but it’ll be an effective win for the Gators.

Prediction: Florida 27 … Vanderbilt 13
Line: Florida -10 o/u: 43
Must See Rating: (5 The Wolf of Wall Street – 1 Ass Backwards) … 3
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