Week 11 - TCU at Iowa State

Posted Nov 7, 2013

Week 11 Big 12 Fearless Predictions & Preview - TCU at Iowa State

TCU (3-6) at Iowa State (1-7) Nov. 9 12:00, FOX Sports 1

Why You Should Give A Hoot: The Big 12 was supposed to be relatively even coming into the season, and that, of course, meant some good teams would have to finish near the bottom. Welcome to TCU at Iowa State.

The Cyclones have already lost out on their hope to become bowl eligible, and they're winless in Big 12 play, so now it's their job to become spoilers. TCU has to win out to go bowling, with a trip to Kansas State up next and Baylor to finish, but it would be nice to start playing better before thinking about going on any sort of a run.

The Horned Frogs have lost four of their last five and have just one win in Big 12 play – Kansas. Yippee. Losing at home to West Virginia was a total disaster last week, and now the defense has to make amends against a flaky Cyclone squad that hasn't been remotely close over the last three games. The wheels have come off since the close losses to Texas and Texas Tech. Iowa State won last year, but TCU holds the 3-1 lead.

This is just the fifth meeting between the two. Why TCU Might Win: Run and run some more. The TCU ground attack has been a major disappointment considering the stable of backs, but this is the game to start cranking it out. Iowa State can't generate any pressure from the front four, and the back seen has been forced to make way too many plays down the field. TCU's ground game has been a total failure over the last few weeks, but there have been glimpses of excellence this year. This is the game to get the O line into a lather.

Why Iowa State Might Win: TCU can't stop screwing up. Who loses to West Virginia at home? TCU does after giving the ball away four times. Horrific in terms of turnover margin, the Horned Frogs have given it away 16 times over the last four games. Iowa State might not be a prize in turnover margin at a horrific -8 over the last three games, but it should b able to finally start generating some takeaways again. If that wasn't enough, penalties have also been a problem for TCU.

Who To Watch Out For: Casey Pachall was rusty. Back from the arm injury suffered early in the season, the TCU quarterback was off in the loss to Texas, and last week he struggled with picks against West Virginia, completing 40-of-58 passes for 394 yards and three scores with two picks. He's a gunner with all the tools and plenty of talent, but he needs to be a difference-maker over the final few weeks. The NFL skill is there, and now it needs to shine through.

What Will Happen: Iowa State is way overdue for a terrific performance, especially at home, and while it'll be inspired, the Horned Frog offense will be too much. The TCU ground game will finally start to work, and the defense will hold firm in the second half after a rough start.

Prediction: TCU 40 … Iowa State 27
Line: TCU -7.5 o/u: 46.5
Must See Rating: (5 The Wolf of Wall Street – 1 Ass Backwards) … 2
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