Week 14 - Kansas State at Kansas

Posted Nov 27, 2013

Week 14 Fearless Prediction & Preview - Kansas State at Kansas

Kansas State (6-5) at Kansas (3-8) Nov. 30 12:00, FOX Sports 1

Why You Should Give A Hoot: The rivalry aspect of this has to count for something at some point, or else it'll be yet another bloodbath.

How brutal has it been? Kansas State has won the last three meetings 56-16, 59-21 and 59-17, and before the current four game Wildcat winning streak, it was Kansas who won 52-21 to end its three-win run. Kansas looked like it might be on track to potentially be back among the living after a win over West Virginia, but reality set in hard against a bad Iowa State team last week in a 34-0 loss. Of course, nothing makes a fan base happier than a win over the archrival, and if the Jayhawks can get out with an upset, it might be exactly what the Charlie Weis era needs.

Kansas State lost to Oklahoma in a fun and wild shootout, but at six wins its season is going to keep on rolling. The offense has found its stride, and while the defense is suspect, the wins have been there over the second half of the season. No matter what the team does in the post-season, though, it won't be quite as much fun as beating up its in-state brother. Again.

Why Kansas State Might Win: Kansas just doesn't have the offense. The West Virginia game was an aberration, with the running game turning unstoppable to make up for the woeful passing attack, but Kansas State can hold up against James Sims and everything KU does on the ground. Iowa State managed to allow under 200 yards rushing, and there wasn't anything to help pick up the slack. Yeah, the Wildcats allowed 301 rushing yards to Oklahoma last week, but the defensive front has generally been good enough to get by over the second half of the season. The Sooner loss was the first time since mid-September that KSU gave up over 200 yards on the ground and more than two rushing touchdowns, but …

Why Kansas Might Win: The Wildcats do give up scores. Everyone from UMass to Baylor, Louisiana-Lafayette to Oklahoma State has been able to come up with at least one rushing touchdown. The KSU defensive front can occasionally get to the quarterback, but it doesn't make a slew of big plays behind the line on a regular basis. Kansas isn't going to throw the ball, but if it can get the backs a head of steam and a little room to move, the big plays might be there like they were for Oklahoma. It should also help that the O is getting production at just the right time from …

Who To Watch Out For: James Sims, who's playing his final game as a Jayhawk. The main man for the offense over the last few years is closing out strong, getting to 1,000 yards last week with a 114-yard effort in the loss to Iowa State. Unfortunately, he's not getting any help from anyone else – but he's used to that, running for 115 yards and a score in last year's loss – and he's going to have to be more than just a normal workhorse if KU is going to pull off the upset.

What Will Happen: Kansas State will get rolling early on, Kansas will have to try throwing to win, and it won't be able to do it.

Prediction: Kansas State 45 … Kansas 13
Line: Kansas State -16.5 o/u: 51.5
Must See Rating: (5 American Hustle – 1 The Sound of Music Live!) … 2
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