West - No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 16 Weber State

Posted Mar 16, 2014

2014 NCAA Tournament Preview, Breakdown & Pick: West Region – No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 16 Weber State

Line: Arizona –20.5
Why To Pick Weber State: Did UCLA provide a blueprint to hang around with the loaded Wildcats? Keep Arizona from running, and you have a shot. Weber State might not be a high-powered scoring team, but they hit the boards and they're good offensively both inside and out.
Why To Pick Arizona: The Wildcats – the Weber State version – don't force enough mistakes and they don't come up with steals. Arizona is way too active on the boards and moves the bball around way too well. EKU might be able to get on the glass, but they're not going to create easy baskets.
The Pick: Arizona 84-62. Sean Miller's team will bear down enough defensively to keep Weber State from doing what it does best on the outside. Forget about any second chance points.

Arizona Wildcats
Head coach: Sean Miller Record: 30-4 Conference: Pac-12

What You Need To Know: One of the top teams in the nation all season long, Sean Miller's club learned to adjust the way it plays during the course of the year. Losing Brandon Ashley in midseason shook the Wildcats a bit, but they seem to have found their groove and are once again playing dominant basketball. Aaron Gordon gets the bulk of the attention thanks to his size and ability to control the game on both ends of the floor, and his explosiveness will be an issue for every one of Arizona's opponents. Guard Nick Johnson is the leading scorer, but he's a bit streaky and can play out of control at times. Kaleb Tarczewski and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson both are factors on the boards and provide solid offensive options when teams focus too much on Gordon and Johnson.
Strengths: Scoring Defense, Rebounding, Field Goal Percentage Defense
Weaknesses: Steals, Free Throw Shooting, Three Point Shooting
How Far Will They Go?: The Wildcats will pay for not being able to shoot on the outside and from the free throw line. If Oklahoma State doesn't get them, it'll be either San Diego State or Wisconsin.

No. 16 West Region - Weber State Wildcats
Head coach: Randy Rahe Record: 19-11 Conference: Big Sky

What You Need To Know: The Wildcats were the best of the bunch in a rough-and-tumble Big Sky Conference. Head coach Randy Rahe relies on two players -- swingman Davion Berry and forward Joel Bolomboy -- to do the bulk of the damage. Bolomboy is a 6-9, 225-pound sophomore who's a quality rebounder, developing some decent post moves over the year, but he's not a pure scorer. He's a decent defender, using his length well inside. Berry is the scorer and passer who's always attacking the basket and averaged just better than 19 points a game this season. Guard Jeremy Senglin and 6-10 center Kyle Tresnak give Berry support on offense, and Senglin can really stretch the defense with his perimeter shooting. Tresnak protects the rim well and can be dominant when he is aggressive.
Strengths: Three Point Shooting, Rebounding, Field Goal Shooting
Weaknesses: Steals, Turnover Margin, Scoring
How Far Will They Go?: A fun end to the season will end against Arizona with a crashing thud.