|
|
|
SEC Fearless Predictions - Week 2
|

|
|
|
CollegeFootballNews.com Posted Sep 7, 2006
|
|
Preview and predictions for the week two Big East games.
|
SEC
East
Florida
| Georgia
| Kentucky
| South Carolina
| Tennessee
| Vanderbilt
West
Alabama
| Arkansas
| Auburn
| LSU |
Ole Miss
| Miss State
- Part SEC Predictions:
Week One
SEC Fearless Predictions, Week
Two, Part
2
SEC Game of
the Week
Georgia
(1-0)
at
South Carolina
(1-0) 7:45 pm EST ESPN Saturday, September
9th
Why to watch:
South Carolina got its SEC feet wet last
week with a 15-0 win at Mississippi
State in an occasionally ugly defensive
slugfest. Now the Gamecocks have a
chance to make some noise in the East
race against defending SEC champion,
Georgia, fresh off a 48-12 squeaker over
Western Kentucky. It's not a stretch to
suggest that the loser could be out of
the conference title hunt, or at least
will be in huge trouble, with Florida,
Tennessee, and several other big
conference battles ahead. The Dawgs have
relatively smooth sailing for a few
weeks after this until the showdown with
Tennessee in early October, while the
Gamecocks get two weeks off against
Wofford and Florida Atlantic before
dealing with Auburn. These
two battled in an interesting 17-15
Bulldog win early last season.
Why Georgia might win: Where's
the Gamecock offense? Mississippi
State's defense might be solid, but the
USC attack should've produced far more
than 274 yards and one trick-play
touchdown. Georgia's defense should be
able to generate consistent pressure on
Blake Mitchell with Quentin Moses and
company almost certain to crank out at
least three sacks. If the Gamecock
running game can't be more effective
than it was last week to take the
pressure off Mitchell, it'll likely be a
long night.
Why South Carolina might win:
... It's not like the Georgia offense
was clicking on ally cylinders against
WKU. If the Dawgs couldn't gain 300
yards n the Hilltoppers, how will it go
more against an athletic USC defense
that found a little bit of confidence
last week? The offensive line has to be
far more consistent and there needs to
be more big plays from something other
than the punt return game. It's never a
positive when there's the pressure of a
quarterback controversy to deal with,
and the Bulldogs will have issues if
starter Joe Tereshinski starts to
struggle. Will he be looking over his
shoulder at hard-charging freshman
Matthew Stafford or good-looking backup
Joe Cox? It might not be Tereshinski's
fault if the passing game isn't clicking
because ...
Who to watch: ... the Georgia
receiving corps is far from being a
finished product. The Dawgs' leading
receiver last week was Thomas Brown, a
running back, with three catches for 20
yards. Top target Mo Massaquoi only had
one catch for two yards and was demoted
to second string, as was Kenneth Harris
after the two had issues with route
running and dropped passes. A.J. Bryant
and Mario Raley will get the call to
start with Massaquoi getting some time
in three-wide sets.
What will happen: The Dawg
defense will outplay the USC D with just
enough pressure in the backfield to come
away with a tight, hard-fought win.
CFN Prediction:
Georgia 20 ... South Carolina 13
... Line: Georgia -3
Must See Rating: (5
skip the birth of your first born - 1
Fashion House) ... 4
Ole Miss
(1-0)
at
Missouri
(1-0) 12:30 pm EST Saturday,
September 9th
Why to watch:
While this won't get much in the way of
national attention, this should be one
of the more interesting games of the day
with the pride of two power conferences
on the line. The knock on Missouri under
head coach Gary Pinkel has been the
program's inability to get through the
non-conference schedule unscathed. With
New Mexico and Ohio ahead, Ole Miss is
the most likely obstacle between the
Tigers and a 4-0 start. Considering the
way Colorado played in its opener, 5-0
is possible before dealing with Texas
Tech. Ole Miss is coming off a good win
over Memphis last Sunday. Beating
Missouri would easily be the biggest
victory in the young Ed Orgeron era and
would serve notice that this really will
be a dangerous team for the rest of the
year.
Why Ole Miss might win: Brent
Schaeffer and BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Ole
Miss went from having one of the
nation's worst offenses to having a 1-2
punch good enough to beat most teams
thanks to the transfer of Schaeffer from
Tennessee and Green-Ellis from Indiana.
The former Hoosier ran for 127 yards and
two touchdowns against Memphis, while
Schaeffer managed the game extremely
well making the key plays when needed
and keeping the Tiger defense on its
heels with is mobility. Missouri still
doesn't know quite how good it is after
barely breaking a sweat against Murray
State, but this Ole Miss team will be as
physical as anyone MU will play all
year.
Why Missouri might win:
The Tigers have a huge advantage up
front. The MU offensive line is among
the best in the Big 12 with four
returning starters from last year
including a few All-Big 12 talents. Ole
Miss has big problems on the defensive
front four with injuries to top ends
Chris Bowers and Paria Jerry forcing the
coaching staff to scramble to find
productive bodies to fill in all along
the line. If the Memphis offensive line
could shove around the Rebels, the
Missouri starting five should have a
field day.
Who to watch: Missouri could be
the big sleeper in the Big 12 title hunt
if QB Chase Daniel keeps improving. He
had his way with the Murray State
secondary throwing for 320 yards and
five touchdowns, and he has to be just
as effective this week if the Rebel
defensive line really is as troubled as
Orgeron is saying it is. Memphis QB
Martin Hankins was able to complete 21
of 27 passes on the Ole Miss secondary;
Daniel has to be licking his chops.
What will happen: These are two
decent teams that should play a
hard-hitting, entertaining game.
Mizzouri will win on the lines, so
Missouri will win on the scoreboard.
CFN Prediction:
Missouri 31 ... Ole Miss 17
... Line: Missouri -8
Must See Rating: (5
skip the birth of your first born - 1
Fashion House) ... 3
Final Score:
Auburn
(1-0)
at
Mississippi State
(0-1) 12:30pm EST GamePlan Saturday, September
9th
Why to watch:
The SEC season kicked off last week for
Mississippi State with a rough 15-0 loss
to South Carolina. Now the SEC West
battle begins as the Bulldogs look to
come up with the first really big win of
the Sylvester Croom era and ruin
Auburn's national title dreams before
they can begin. The Tigers didn't get
any national play for a dominating 40-14
win over a Washington State team that's
going to be as explosive as any in the
Pac 10 as the season goes on. Everything
clicked with 484 yards of total offense,
great special teams play, and a strong
performance by the defense. Now, Tommy
Tuberville's bunch have to sidestep a
possible landmine and avoid looking
ahead to the likely SEC West title game
next week against LSU.
Why Auburn might win: Pressure.
Washington State QB Alex Brnik is a
decent veteran with a good deep arm and
a nice command of the Cougar offense. He
didn't get any time to work against
Auburn because he spent half the game on
his back. The Tigers generated five
sacks and constantly got into the Wazzu
backfield. MSU gave up five sacks to
South Carolina. Uh oh.
Why Mississippi State might win:
... Other SEC fans would happily debate
this, but no defense is likely to slug
Auburn in the mouth harder than Miss
State. LB Quinton Culberson and
crew continue to be weighed down by a
non-existent offense yet continue to
produce. This group is always in the
backfield, always coming up with the big
hit, and always aggressive. Expect
Auburn star RB Kenny Irons to be a
marked man meaning the game might be in
the hands of QB Brandon Cox. If he's
under pressure, he'll make mistakes.
Who to watch: Welcome to the
official kickoff of the Tray Rutland era
at Mississippi State. After starting
quarterback Michael Henig broke his
collarbone late in the first half
against the Gamecocks, Rutland was
thrown into the fire and struggled
completing 6 of 15 passes for 63 yards
and two interceptions. However, the
221-pound redshirt freshman has great
speed, a nice arm, and is considered the
future of the program. He'll take more
than his share of lumps against Auburn,
but it'll all be part of a maturation
progress that Bulldog fans hope will
eventually pay off in a big way.
What will happen: More cowbell!
More cowbell! The Tigers will win
because MSU can't score, but they'll
know they were in a fight.
CFN Prediction:
Auburn 27 ... Mississippi State 9
... Line: Auburn -20.5
Must See Rating: (5
skip the birth of your first born - 1
Fashion House) ... 2.5
Vanderbilt
(0-1)
at
Alabama
(1-0) 3:30 pm EST GamePlan Saturday, September
9th
Why to watch:
Tide fans are still trying to collect
their breath after surviving the Hawaii
offense in a thrilling 25-17 win. The
easy first part of the schedule
continues with the second of four
straight games against teams that didn't
go to a bowl last year, and Bama could
use an easy win just to know that
everything's working right as it still
tries to overcome some major personnel
losses. Vanderbilt isn't the same
Vanderbilt without QB Jay Cutler, but it
gave Michigan a harder time than
expected in a 27-7 loss in Ann Arbor.
Dropped passes and missed opportunities
proved costly, but the defense was able
to keep the team in the game until
midway through the second half.
Why Vanderbilt might win: While
the Alabama offense was able to crank
out 378 yards against Hawaii, it was
hardly efficient and it couldn't close.
Settling for too many field goals, the
offense rarely came up the key play
needed to finish off drives, and it
struggled late when the Warriors were
making their run. Vandy's defense isn't
going to keep many offensive
coordinators awake at night, but it's
better than Hawaii's. If Bama had
problems getting the ground game going
against the UH front, life could be much
harder this week.
Why Alabama might win:
The Vanderbilt offense just isn't there.
Hawaii will end up finishing in the top
three in the nation in total yards with
one of college football's most
devastating attacks, yet it was only
able to hang 17 on the Tide.
Vanderbilt's offense will look minor
league by comparison. Forget about any
semblance of a running game against the
Tide front seven, so it'll be up to QB
Chris Nickson to try to win the game.
That's a plus for the Tide.
Who to watch: Where was Ken
Darby? The star Alabama running back ran
for a mere 25 yards on 16 carries
against the porous Hawaii defense.
Credit Warrior defensive coordinator
Jerry Glanville for doing everything
possible to stop running game and to
force QB John Parker Wilson to win the
game, but the biggest problem was a hip
pointer suffered in the first quarter
that limited Darby the rest of the way.
After a week of sulking about his
performance, look for Darby to come back
roaring against a Vandy D that was
ripped up last week by Mike Hart and the
Michigan running game.
What will happen: You know what
you're going to get out of an Alabama
game. Underwhelming offense, tough
defense, and a Tide win.
CFN Prediction:
Alabama 27 ... Vanderbilt 10
... Line: Alabama -15.5
Must See Rating: (5
skip the birth of your first born - 1
Fashion House) ... 2.5
UCF
(1-0)
at
Florida
(1-0) 6 pm EST GamePlan Saturday, September
9th
Why to watch:
Throw out week one of the college
football season. With no preseason games
to use as tune-ups, it's hard to come up
with a definitive stance on a team after
one game. Game two is when things have
to start to hum, and that goes for both
UCF and Florida as they inch closer to
more important dates in the near future.
The bar has been set higher for the
Golden Knights after making a surprise
appearance in the Conference USA title
game. With South Florida next week
before what could be the East Division
title game against Southern Miss, George
O'Leary's club needs to see just how
good it really is. It'll get its chance
against one of the elite of the elite as
Florida With the SEC East showdown
against Tennessee next week, the Gators
just want to get this one over with as
soon as possible, and look as sharp as
it can along the way.
Why UCF might win: Florida had
few problems with Southern Miss after
getting down 7-0, but the running game
was still non-existent meaning the
Golden Knights should be able to fully
focus on stopping Chris Leak and the
Gator passing game. That's certainly
easier said than done, but UCF's
strength is in its young, talented
secondary that will eventually grow into
one of the best unnoticed groups in the
nations, but ...
Why Florida might win:
... it's not there yet. In last week's
25-16 win over Villanova, UCF gave up
way too many big plays allowing 241
yards of Wildcat passing offense. Leak
should be able to dink and dunk to death
on the UCF pass defense, and then he'll
hit the home run. If Villanova can bomb
deep on the Golden Knights, then
Florida, with its speed, should be able
to go ballistic.
Who to watch: Will Florida be
able to generate any sort of a pass
rush? The supposedly fearsome Gator
defensive line didn't generate nearly
enough pressure against Southern Miss,
but that was partially due to the
absence of tackles Steven Harris and
Marcus Thomas. The two will play and
need to use this game to get back into
game-shape before dealing with the Vols
next week.
What will happen: Florida will
connect on at least four big pass plays
to open up a tight game in the second
half.
CFN Prediction:
Florida 31 ... UCF 10
... Line: Florida -22.5
Must See Rating: (5
skip the birth of your first born - 1
Fashion House) ... 2.5
SEC Fearless Predictions, Week
Two, Part
2
|
|
|
|
|
|