Big Ten Fearless Predictions, Week 3, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 13, 2006


Big Ten Fearless Predictions, Week 3, Part 2 with Penn State, Minnesota, Wisconsin and More


Big Ten
Illinois | Indiana | Iowa | Michigan | Michigan State | Minnesota
Northwestern | Ohio State | Penn State | Purdue | Wisconsin
- Past Predictions:
Week One | Week Two

Big Ten Week Three Fearless Predictions

How'd we do so far? 11-0 straight up, 6-2
ATS

Eastern Michigan
(0-2) at Northwestern (1-1) 2 pm EST Saturday, September 16th
Why to watch: These two teams are looking to change around their seasons in a real big hurry. Northwestern hit the ground with a resounding thud with a 34-17 loss to D-IAA's New Hampshire. New head coach Pat Fitzgerald is still trying to find his head coaching legs, and even though no one is expecting the Wildcats to do too much this season, the season might go right into the tank if they can't handle the middling Eagles. Eastern Michigan had a nightmare of a time stopping Ball State and Eastern Michigan over the first two weeks, so this has to be the week Northwestern gets its offense going.
Why Eastern Michigan might win: EMU should be able to bomb away at will on the Wildcat secondary. UNH's Ricky Santos completed 18 of 24 passes for 206 yards and two touchdowns and ran for three scores, and if healthy, EMU's Tyler Jones should be able to do the same thing. Jones leads the Eagles in rushing and has the potential to come up with a huge day if his injured shoulder isn't a problem.  .
Why Northwestern might win: The Eastern Michigan defense hasn't even come close. It's having equal problems stopping the pass and the run, and while it's generating a little bit of pressure into the backfield, it's not being disruptive enough to make a difference. NU QB Mike Kafka is still trying to get his feet wet, and this is the defense to make a big splash against.
Who to watch: Can Jones go? His banged up shoulder has forced a two-quarterback system with Andy Schmitt, who could end up starting. While Jones is the better player, Schmitt is the better passer. For Northwestern, the big question coming off last week was the absence of Tyrell Sutton late in the game. If didn't get the ball in the fourth quarter choosing to go with Terrell Jordan. Is Fitzgerald trying to send a message to his young star? Soon, Sutton needs to be the workhorse of the attack.
What will happen: Eastern Michigan will get a huge day out of WR Eric Deslauriers, but it won't be nearly enough to overcome the 250 rushing yards the Wildcats will roll up.
CFN Prediction
: Northwestern 38 ... Eastern Michigan 20
... Line: Northwestern -17.5
Must See Rating:
(5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Dancing with the Stars) ... 2 

Temple
(0-2) at Minnesota (1-1) 2 pm EST Saturday, September 16th
Why to watch: For those of you who enjoy car crashes, violent war footage, or the WB Wednesday night lineup, this is the game for you. Minnesota is coming off a 42-17 pounding at Cal and has the Big Ten opener at Purdue next week. Along the way, it gets a nice breather against a Temple team on a 14-game losing streak and has played to two extremes in the first two games. After opening up with a 9-3 overtime loss at Buffalo, it got pounded 62-0 by Louisville in a game that was much worse than the final score might indicate. New head coach Al Golden is looking for anything positive he can get out of his team.  
Why Temple might win: It's defense will sell out to get into the backfield. The secondary can't cover anyone one-on-one, but it's getting a little bit of help from a good pass rush that has generated five sacks and 13 tackles for loss in two games. Minnesota's defense is far from stingy, so it wouldn't be a shock if Temple finally broke through and came up with its first touchdown of the year.
Why Minnesota might win: Temple allowed 168 rushing yards to Temple and 312 yards and seven touchdowns to Louisville. Minnesota's ground game will be looking to get back on track after only gaining 109 on California. The offensive line should dominate from the time the two teams come out of the tunnel.
Who to watch: Minnesota QB Bryan Cupito has been around too long not to be consistent. While he wasn't awful against Cal, he wasn't a difference maker and has shouldered way too much of the blame for the loss. Until the Minnesota running game is the Minnesota running game again, Cupito has to make everyone around him better. He has to show against a weak Owl defense that he can be dangerous enough to keep defensive coordinators awake at night.
What will happen: Temple will get its first touchdown of the year. It won't be nearly enough as the Gophers will put this away after their first two drives. Don't look for a young Gopher team that's still trying to find its way to take it too easy.
CFN Prediction
:
Minnesota 55 ... Temple 10 ... Line: Minnesota -41
Must See Rating:
(5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Dancing with the Stars) ... 1.5 

Youngstown State
(2-0) at Penn Sate (1-1) 3:30 pm EST ESPNU Saturday, September 16th
Why to watch: Youngstown State is on a three-game winning streak and coming of a 34-14 win over Maine. This is one of the nation's best D-IAA teams playing its first game ever against a Big Ten team. Penn State will try to bounce back after getting rocked by Notre Dame 41-17 in a game that showed just how far Anthony Morelli and the offense needs to go before it can think about being like the BCS team of last year. With a showdown at Ohio State coming next, the kinks have to be worked out now.
Why Youngstown State might win: The Penguins have an explosive offense with a decent passer in junior Tom Zetts. He's not a bomber, but he's good at keeping the chains moving and adds a little bit of mobility. If Penn State doesn't have its head in the game, Zetts is just good enough, and  to crank out some long drives and keep this fun for a half. The Penguin lines are among the best in D-IAA.
Why Penn State might win: The YSU pass defense is average at a D-IAA level and has no shot of staying with the Nittany Lion receivers on deep patterns. The Penguin defensive front was able to get into the backfield against Slippery Rock and Maine, but it's not going to do much against the Penn State line. Morelli will have time to throw, and he'll make the most of it.
Who to watch: Penn State has to use this game to find a rushing attack. Tony Hunt only has 26 carries for 110 yards and a touchdown in the first two games, but he'll have to carry more and more of the workload with Austin Scott likely out for the year with an ankle problem. Junior Rodney Kinlaw needs to make more of an impact.
What will happen: Penn State will bomb away at will. After a bad day against Notre Dame, the linebackers will come out fired up and should keep the explosive Penguin attack from getting much moving.
CFN Prediction
: Penn State 48 ... Youngstown State 9
... Line: No Line
Must See Rating:
(5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Dancing with the Stars) ... 1 

San Diego State
(0-1) at Wisconsin (2-0) 3:30 pm EST GamePlanSaturday, September 16th
Why to watch: It'll be a meeting of new, rising star head coaches and ex-Iowa Hawkeyes as the Aztecs' Chuck Long  and Wisconsin's Bret Bielema each look for a little bit of momentum going into their respective conference seasons. Wisconsin gets its first halfway decent test of the season before starting out the Big Ten campaign at Michigan. San Diego State has had a week off to rest up after a disappointing home opener against UTEP losing 34-27, and it needs to come away from Camp Randall with some confidence before diving into the Mountain West opener against a solid Utah team.
Why San Diego State might win: If San Diego State can get some rushing production out of the quarterbacks, it has a shot. Bowling Green quarterback-turned-running back Freddie Barnes ran for 158 yards and two touchdowns on the way to keeping the Badger defense on its heels. Aztec RB Lynell Hamilton and QB Darren Mougey are each dangerous runners with enough speed and quickness to tear off some big gains. The Badgers haven't been all that sharp on offense yet and aren't likely to explode until the young receivers start to get more comfortable.
Why Wisconsin might win: Punting. Wisconsin is great at taking advantage of good field position, and it'll get it thanks to All-America candidate Ken DeBauche. and his 42-yard average. San Diego State's Michael Hughes kicked twice against UTEP for a total of 35 yards. The Badger special teams are terrific and should be the difference in at least two big plays.
Who to watch: Is Mougey ready to be the man? With starter Kevin O'Connel out with a thumb injury, Mougey steps in to run the attack in his first big test. He's a fantastic prospect with 6-5, 220-pound size and tremendous speed, but he's very green and needs a few games of experience.after seeing a little bit of work as a freshman. The Badgers are going to send everyone and the kitchen sink at Hamilton, so Mougey has to make the secondary pay with big plays up top.
What will happen: The Aztecs will make a game of this for at least a half, and then the Badgers will make a few defensive adjustments and shut things down in the second half.
CFN Prediction
: Wisconsin 34 ... San Diego State 16
... Line: Wisconsin -14
Must See Rating:
(5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Dancing with the Stars) ... 2.5 

Southern Illinois
(1-0) at Indiana (2-0) 4 pm EST  Saturday, September 16th
Why to watch: It'll be an emotional game for Indiana as it tries to win one for head coach Terry Hoeppner, who has to undergo brain surgery to remove a small tumor. The Hoosiers might be the nation's shakiest 2-0 team after needing a big second half to put away Ball State and looking less-than-scintillating in a 29-20 win over Western Michigan. SIU is a good D-IAA team ranked 16th in the nation after beating Lock Haven 49-0. This is hardly a gimme for the Hoosiers.
Why Southern Illinois might win: This has hardly been a consistent Hoosier team so far on either side of the ball. Ball State was able to get up early on the Hoosiers with a sharp passing game, and it took a couple of big plays from the IU special teams and defense to finally start to turn things around. Statistically, IU's run defense is good, but it hasn't faced an elite back yet. SIU senior Arkee Whitlock is a Walter Payton Award candidate and should be able to tear off 100 yards.
Why Indiana might win: SIU is 1-20 all-time against D-I teams with the last win coming against New Mexico State in 1983. SIU has size up front, but it's missing quickness to handle an IU defensive front seven that should be able to get into the backfield on a regular basis. The Salukis don't have the corners to deal with the solid Hoosier receivers.
Who to watch: And the IU quarterback will be ... ? Redshirt freshman Kellen Lewis saved the day against Ball State with a brilliant second half. While he's not Antwaan Randle El, he provides a dual threat that's been missing from the attack for years. Blake Powers is the starter as long as he's healthy, but it'll be hard keeping Lewis off the field if the offense starts to sputter at all. Graeme McFarland is all but out of the mix with a shoulder injury.
What will happen: Watch out. SIU will make this very, very interesting until IU finally puts it a way with a few late big plays.
CFN Prediction
: Indiana 31 ... Southern Illinois 20
... Line: No Line
Must See Rating:
(5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Dancing with the Stars) ...

Big Ten Week Three Fearless Predictions
 



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