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SEC Fearless Predictions , Week 5, Part 2

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Sep 22, 2006


Preview and predictions for the week five SEC games ... Part 2


SEC
East  Florida | Georgia | Kentucky | South Carolina | Tennessee | Vanderbilt 
West Alabama | Arkansas | Auburn | LSU | Ole Miss | Miss State
- Part SEC Predictions: Week One | Week Two | Week Three | Week Four

How are the picks so far? SU: 34-4 ... ATS: 19-14-1

SEC Fearless Predictions, Week Five
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Central Michigan (2-2) at Kentucky (2-2) 6:00 PM EST  Saturday September 30th
Why to Watch: These two teams might not have stellar records, but they're not all that bad and are in the thick of the bowl game hunt. Kentucky needs this win or dreams of an extra game could quickly be dashed leaving little margin for error the rest of the way, while Central Michigan could use a trophy win before getting back into MAC play. The Chippewas beat Akron and Eastern Michigan to take a big step in the hunt for a MAC title, but a win over an SEC team would go a long way to getting the MAC's second bowl slot if they don't win the title. These are two entertaining teams with interesting offenses, so it should be a good battle.
Why Central Michigan Might Win: If CMU can finally get its running game on track, it should be able to blow past the UK defensive front. Quarterback Brian Brunner, back from a concussion suffered against Boston College, and Dan LeFevour, if he plays through back spasms, can each run effectively, and RB Ontario Sneed is way overdue for a big game. UK allowed 363 rushing yards to Louisville, 205 to Ole Miss, and 235 to Florida. Getting to 200 shouldn't be a problem for CMU.
Why Kentucky Might Win: Teams have been picking apart the Central Michigan secondary like it's not even there. Boston College and Akron each threw for over 300 yards without much of a problem, and UK should be able to do the same. QB Andre Woodson has been excellent so far mixing up the deep passes with an efficient short game with plenty of big plays against average defenses. CMU's defense qualifies.
Who to Watch: Does Kentucky have its running game back? Top back Rafael Little missed out on the Florida game after his injured knee wasn't quite ready yet, and he had to sit and wonder on the sidelines what kind of a difference he might have made when the game was still tight early on. Making matters worse was a bruised shin problem for Tony Dixon leaving Alfonso Smith as the main runner. With the SEC schedule kicking back in next week, the Wildcats need their runners to be healthy and productive, so it'll be interesting to note how much work each of the backs gets.
What Will Happen: Kentucky will hit on several big plays to overcome a big day from the CMU ground game. UK WR Keenan Burton will score on two long passes killing a little bit of early CMU momentum.
CFN Prediction
: Kentucky 27 ... Central Michigan 20 ... Line: Kentucky -6.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip) ... 2
   

Temple (0-4) at Vanderbilt (1-3) 7:00 PM EST  Saturday September 30th
Why to Watch: Vandy is in the easy, meaty part of its schedule with Tennessee State last week and Ole Miss ahead wrapped around an almost certain layup against Temple. If this isn't' the first time Vanderbilt has been a 34-point favorite, it's certainly one of the few. Temple is deep into the rebuilding mode looking to find something, anything to get excited about. After a season opening overtime loss at Buffalo, the Owls have been blasted 165 to 7 over the last three games.
Why Temple Might Win: This is still Vanderbilt we're talking about. The offense didn't exactly blow up against Tennessee State with only 308 total yards, and it's unlikely to crank out too many big plays. Turnovers killed TSU, so if Temple can limit mistakes and somehow go on a few long drives early, this might be stunningly close well into the second half. However ...
Why Vanderbilt Might Win: ... this is such a young Temple team that it's almost certain to give the ball away at least three times. Western Michigan's defense is hardly a brick wall, but it was able to keep the Owls to nine rushing yards and 140 through the air. All it'll take is a few scores to put this away for the Commodores.
Who to Watch: So is anything positive happening for Temple? Not really, but this is a young, young, young team that's taking its lumps now in the hopes that there's a payoff down the road. Freshman RB Jason Harper was the top recruit in the class this year and has shown off a little bit of pop when he gets room to run. A slippery back with good moves in the open field, he's averaging close to five yards per carry with starter Tim Brown out. As the season goes on, the coaching staff will find more and more ways to get him the ball.
What Will Happen: Vanderbilt will be able to call its shot. It'll get up 14-0 after two drives and will coast from there. 
CFN Prediction
: Vanderbilt 38 ... Temple 7 ... Line: Vanderbilt -34
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip) ... 1.5
   

Georgia (4-0) at Ole Miss (1-3) 9:00 PM EST ESPN2 Saturday September 30th
Why to Watch: Georgia's 4-0, but it's a very, very shaky 4-0 after needing a last minute touchdown pass to get past a struggling Colorado 14-13. Fortunately for the Dawgs, Ole Miss is up next. After a season opening win over Memphis with the offense looking like it might be, at the very least, passable, things have gone into the tank losing to Missouri, Kentucky and Wake Forest by a combined score of 92 to 24. The team desperately needs a big, splashy win in the young Ed Orgeron era, and with Georgia's offense as inconsistent as it's been, this might turn out to be a bit of a battle. The Dawgs have Tennessee up next and could get caught looking ahead.
Why Georgia Might Win: The defense continues to be among the best in the nation even after allowing Colorado to move the ball a little bit. The Bulldogs have only given up two touchdowns on the year and is ninth in the nation in total defense allowing 231 yards per game. This isn't the D the Rebels' inefficient, inconsistent offense needs to face. It ran well against Kentucky, and then only came up with 26 in last week's loss to Wake Forest. The Georgia defensive front has been great at getting into the backfield and should disrupt everything Brent Schaeffer wants to do.
Why Ole Miss Might Win: Georgia's offense has only produced when the defense and special teams have provided the easy opportunities. There have been a few decent drives hear and there, but there's not nearly enough overall production to throw a scare into the Rebel D. If Schaeffer and the Ole Miss offense can somehow come up with a few points early, like Colorado was able to last week against the Dawgs, it might make the Georgia offense press a little bit. With no receiver production, comebacks and big plays have been hard to come by, so if Ole Miss could have a shot to win late if it can stop the run and prevent some big kick and punt returns.
Who to Watch: Is Schaeffer still the Ole Miss starting quarterback? Unable to generate enough scoring drives over the last few weeks, Schaeffer's play has forced the Rebel coaching staff to take a long look at junior Seth Adams, who isn't a great runner but can throw a little bit. Orgeron has said that Schaeffer will remain the starter, but that could quickly change if Georgia gets up big early. For the Dawgs, Kregg Lumpkin will take over as the starting tailback for an ineffective Thomas Brown. A bruising back, Lumpkin led the team with 52 yards last week showing the form he had before a knee injury knocked him out in 2004. Brown has been the main starter for the last two years, but he's not producing with the low point coming with a painful -7 yards against Colorado.
What Will Happen: It's not going to be pretty. Georgia's offense will continue to sputter and cough, but the defense will completely shut down the Rebel attack.
CFN Prediction
: Georgia 26 ... Ole Miss 6 ... Line: Georgia -17.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the birth of your first born - 1 Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip) ...
2.5   


SEC Fearless Predictions, Week Five
| Get Tickets for These Games