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SEC Fearless Predictions , Week 5, Part 2
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CollegeFootballNews.com Posted Sep 22, 2006
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Preview and predictions for the week five SEC games ... Part 2
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SEC
East
Florida
| Georgia
| Kentucky
| South Carolina
| Tennessee
| Vanderbilt
West
Alabama
| Arkansas
| Auburn
| LSU |
Ole Miss
| Miss State
- Part SEC Predictions:
Week One |
Week Two |
Week Three |
Week Four
How are the picks so far? SU:
34-4 ... ATS: 19-14-1
SEC Fearless Predictions, Week
Five
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Get Tickets for These Games
Central Michigan
(2-2) at
Kentucky
(2-2) 6:00 PM EST Saturday
September 30th
Why to Watch: These two teams
might not have stellar records, but
they're not all that bad and are in the
thick of the bowl game hunt. Kentucky
needs this win or dreams of an extra
game could quickly be dashed leaving
little margin for error the rest of the
way, while Central Michigan could use a
trophy win before getting back into MAC
play. The Chippewas beat Akron and
Eastern Michigan to take a big step in
the hunt for a MAC title, but a win over
an SEC team would go a long way to
getting the MAC's second bowl slot if
they don't win the title. These are two
entertaining teams with interesting
offenses, so it should be a good battle.
Why Central Michigan Might Win:
If CMU can finally get its running game
on track, it should be able to blow past
the UK defensive front. Quarterback
Brian Brunner, back from a concussion
suffered against Boston College, and Dan
LeFevour, if he plays through back
spasms, can each run effectively, and RB
Ontario Sneed is way overdue for a big
game. UK allowed 363 rushing yards to
Louisville, 205 to Ole Miss, and 235 to
Florida. Getting to 200 shouldn't be a
problem for CMU.
Why Kentucky Might Win: Teams
have been picking apart the Central
Michigan secondary like it's not even
there. Boston College and Akron each
threw for over 300 yards without much of
a problem, and UK should be able to do
the same. QB Andre Woodson has been
excellent so far mixing up the deep
passes with an efficient short game with
plenty of big plays against average
defenses. CMU's defense qualifies.
Who to Watch: Does Kentucky have
its running game back? Top back Rafael
Little missed out on the Florida game
after his injured knee wasn't quite
ready yet, and he had to sit and wonder
on the sidelines what kind of a
difference he might have made when the
game was still tight early on. Making
matters worse was a bruised shin problem
for Tony Dixon leaving Alfonso Smith as
the main runner. With the SEC schedule
kicking back in next week, the Wildcats
need their runners to be healthy and
productive, so it'll be interesting to
note how much work each of the backs
gets.
What Will Happen: Kentucky will
hit on several big plays to overcome a
big day from the CMU ground game. UK WR
Keenan Burton will score on two long
passes killing a little bit of early CMU
momentum.
CFN Prediction: Kentucky 27 ...
Central Michigan 20 ...
Line: Kentucky -6.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the
birth of your first born - 1 Studio
60 on the Sunset Strip)
... 2
Temple
(0-4) at
Vanderbilt
(1-3) 7:00 PM EST Saturday
September 30th
Why to Watch: Vandy is in the
easy, meaty part of its schedule with
Tennessee State last week and Ole Miss
ahead wrapped around an almost certain
layup against Temple. If this isn't' the
first time Vanderbilt has been a
34-point favorite, it's certainly one of
the few. Temple is deep into the
rebuilding mode looking to find
something, anything to get excited
about. After a season opening overtime
loss at Buffalo, the Owls have been
blasted 165 to 7 over the last three
games.
Why Temple Might Win: This is
still Vanderbilt we're talking about.
The offense didn't exactly blow up
against Tennessee State with only 308
total yards, and it's unlikely to crank
out too many big plays. Turnovers killed
TSU, so if Temple can limit mistakes and
somehow go on a few long drives early,
this might be stunningly close well into
the second half. However ...
Why Vanderbilt Might Win: ...
this is such a young Temple team that
it's almost certain to give the ball
away at least three times. Western
Michigan's defense is hardly a brick
wall, but it was able to keep the Owls
to nine rushing yards and 140 through
the air. All it'll take is a few scores
to put this away for the Commodores.
Who to Watch: So is anything
positive happening for Temple? Not
really, but this is a young, young,
young team that's taking its lumps now
in the hopes that there's a payoff down
the road. Freshman RB Jason Harper was
the top recruit in the class this year
and has shown off a little bit of pop
when he gets room to run. A slippery
back with good moves in the open field,
he's averaging close to five yards per
carry with starter Tim Brown out. As the
season goes on, the coaching staff will
find more and more ways to get him the
ball.
What Will Happen: Vanderbilt
will be able to call its shot. It'll get
up 14-0 after two drives and will coast
from there.
CFN Prediction: Vanderbilt
38 ... Temple 7 ...
Line: Vanderbilt -34
Must See Rating: (5 skip the
birth of your first born - 1 Studio
60 on the Sunset Strip)
... 1.5
Georgia
(4-0) at
Ole Miss
(1-3) 9:00 PM EST ESPN2 Saturday
September 30th
Why to Watch: Georgia's 4-0, but
it's a very, very shaky 4-0 after
needing a last minute touchdown pass to
get past a struggling Colorado 14-13.
Fortunately for the Dawgs, Ole Miss is
up next. After a season opening win over
Memphis with the offense looking like it
might be, at the very least, passable,
things have gone into the tank losing to
Missouri, Kentucky and Wake Forest by a
combined score of 92 to 24. The team
desperately needs a big, splashy win in
the young Ed Orgeron era, and with
Georgia's offense as inconsistent as
it's been, this might turn out to be a
bit of a battle. The Dawgs have
Tennessee up next and could get caught
looking ahead.
Why Georgia Might Win: The
defense continues to be among the best
in the nation even after allowing
Colorado to move the ball a little bit.
The Bulldogs have only given up two
touchdowns on the year and is ninth in
the nation in total defense allowing 231
yards per game. This isn't the D the
Rebels' inefficient, inconsistent
offense needs to face. It ran well
against Kentucky, and then only came up
with 26 in last week's loss to Wake
Forest. The Georgia defensive front has
been great at getting into the backfield
and should disrupt everything Brent
Schaeffer wants to do.
Why Ole Miss Might Win: Georgia's
offense has only produced when the
defense and special teams have provided
the easy opportunities. There have been
a few decent drives hear and there, but
there's not nearly enough overall
production to throw a scare into the
Rebel D. If Schaeffer and the Ole Miss
offense can somehow come up with a few
points early, like Colorado was able to
last week against the Dawgs, it might
make the Georgia offense press a little
bit. With no receiver production,
comebacks and big plays have been hard
to come by, so if Ole Miss could have a
shot to win late if it can stop the run
and prevent some big kick and punt
returns.
Who to Watch: Is Schaeffer still
the Ole Miss starting quarterback?
Unable to generate enough scoring drives
over the last few weeks, Schaeffer's
play has forced the Rebel coaching staff
to take a long look at junior Seth
Adams, who isn't a great runner but can
throw a little bit. Orgeron has said
that Schaeffer will remain the starter,
but that could quickly change if Georgia
gets up big early. For the Dawgs, Kregg
Lumpkin will take over as the starting
tailback for an ineffective Thomas
Brown. A bruising back, Lumpkin led the
team with 52 yards last week showing the
form he had before a knee injury knocked
him out in 2004. Brown has been the main
starter for the last two years, but he's
not producing with the low point coming
with a painful -7 yards against
Colorado.
What Will Happen: It's not going
to be pretty. Georgia's offense will
continue to sputter and cough, but the
defense will completely shut down the
Rebel attack.
CFN Prediction:
Georgia 26
... Ole Miss 6 ...
Line: Georgia -17.5
Must See Rating: (5 skip the
birth of your first born - 1 Studio
60 on the Sunset Strip)
... 2.5
SEC Fearless Predictions, Week
Five
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Get Tickets for These Games
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